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Predators Game Thread #7: Nashville @ Washington

Nashville Predators at Washington Capitals, Oct 17, 2009 7:00 PM EDT


Caps_medium

 Date: October 17, 2009 Location: Washington, DC
Time: 6:00 PM CDT
Arena: Verizon Center
TV:

None

(check Center Ice free preview)

SBN Affiliate: Japer's Rink
Radio: 97.1 FM
Season Series
0-0-0

For today I'm combining the Game Thread with the Game Day Preview. This one's a biggy folks! Our embattled Preds head to Washington to take on Alex Ovechkin and the Capitals. While there is no local TV (note: how do you make up a TV schedule and not include this game?), the NHL Center Ice package is still available on free preview on most cable and satellite systems, so check your listings to see if you can catch the Washington feed.

Follow after the jump for the skinny on this matchup, and join us in the comments during the game.

Star-divide

Meet the Enemy

In case you haven't heard, the Caps are widely considered to be the most exciting team in the NHL; not only is Alex Ovechkin the NHL's most dynamic goal-scorer, but they've also got Alexander Semin, Nicklas Backstrom, Mike Green, and a whole lot more.

There's hope for opponents, however, in that as much as the mighty trio of Ovechkin, Backstrom and Semin are able to create offense, they give up even more when they're on the ice. For a Nashville team that has had a hard time putting the puck in the net, that's one positive angle to work.

Meet the Good Guys

The latest lineup shuffle involves Cody Franson joining the defense, while Dan Hamhuis recovers from an upper-body injury. Center Ben Guite has also been dismissed to Milwaukee, opening up interesting possibilities down the middle. Will Cal O'Reilly play the pivot in favor of David Legwand, who still hasn't scored? 

It also appears likely that the top line of Sullivan - Arnott - Dumont will be broken up, so it sounds like the forward groupings are completely up for grabs. On defense, it will also be interesting to see how the team adjusts to the loss of Hamhuis. Does the Bouillon/Laakso pairing stay intact and get more ice time, or does Bouillon team up with Klein and play more minutes?

Even Strength Play

The Caps have outscored their opponents 19-12 in 5-on-5 action, while the Preds have been outscored 13-6. That's about as big a mismatch as you'll see at this point in the season. The best hope for Nashville is to weather the storm when the big guns are on the ice for Washington, and break through against their depth players.

Washington PP vs. Nashville PK

For all that talent at the top end of their roster, Washington is a surprising 16th in the NHL on the power play so far. Also surprising is Nashville's 27th ranking on the PK; typically a team strength, the penalty killing gotten worse lately (giving up 4 goals on 8 PK's over the last three games) rather than better.

Nashville PP vs. Washington PK

Don't ask. Just.... don't.

Goaltending

For the Predators, Dan Ellis will hope to rebound from an awful start (3 goals on 3 shots) against Edmonton Monday night. The biggest key, obviously, will be for the team in front of him to prevent wide-open opportunities for the Caps.


Dan Ellis

#39 / Goalie / Nashville Predators

6-0

188

Jun 19, 1980

GP MIN W L T EGA GA GAA SA SV SV% SO
2009 - Dan Ellis 4 171 2 1 9 3.16 78 69 .885 0

For Washington, Semyon Varlamov will get the start. Jose Theodore is injured at the current time, which forced the Caps to call up a prospect from their ECHL team to act as backup. For more on Varlamov, check out the recent interview with him by Dmitri Chesnokov.


Semyon Varlamov

#40 / Goalie / Washington Capitals

6-2

209

Apr 27, 1988

GP MIN W L T EGA GA GAA SA SV SV% SO
2009 - Semyon Varlamov 3 134 2 0 8 3.58 71 63 .887 0

Summary

Let's face it, folks; there's no logical reason to believe that the Preds have any business winning this game.

That's why we watch, though; often enough, logic gets turned on its head.

0 recs  |  Comment 60 comments |

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We're gonna get rocked.

I don’t know if I should watch it.

"As strong as a team as we are on paper, you have to go out and prove it. We have yet to prove that we're the team we think we are,'' Keith Bulluck
"This is the only building in the NHL that the fans get up and cheer for no apparent reason just to support us." - Dan Ellis

Official Graphic Designer/Researcher/Grammar Police of MCM.
Official Graphic Goon of OTF.

by Aditya T (smashville) on Oct 17, 2009 5:04 PM EDT reply actions  

The Caps often had a tough time last year with winning convincingly in games they should’ve won, well, convincingly. It’ll be a closer game than most would expect, I’d wager.

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Oct 17, 2009 5:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

Remember the stretch run last year?

Arnott, Legwand and Erat all hurt, but the guys pulled out some clutch wins. You just never know…

More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.

by Dirk Hoag on Oct 17, 2009 5:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

The Caps’ goalie today, Varlamov, hasn’t looked right all season. And the Caps have a habit of going into a shell if they give up a bad goal. The first goal of this game is critical.

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Oct 17, 2009 5:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Varly has been decent. He had a bad 3rd period against Toronto, but the whole team did. He played bad against the Flyers, and then pretty good in relief against the Sharks. If he, and the defense, plays like they did Thursday, but with better rebound control, he should be fine.

He still doesn’t have a regular season regulation loss to his credit in his career too!

by hockeyman33 on Oct 17, 2009 5:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

Varlamov

In the OTF Fantasy Hockey league I auto-picked Varlamov a few rounds ahead of where I would have liked, but was content to stick with the pick. However his early struggles this season left me no choice, but to trade him for Ryan Miller late last week. So far it’s paid off, I can only hope it continues to reap it’s rewards tonight!

Varlamov has struggled with rebounds, therefore the Preds have got to go in with an attack mindset on offense, throw pucks on net from all angles, and get bodies to the crease to capitalize on any opportunities given up by Varlamov. If we can rattle his confidence early tonight who are the Caps gonna turn to? Varlamov’s backup was brought in from the ECHL, I don’t think they are counting on any action for him…

Predators Hockey: Live it, Love it...

by SLake on Oct 17, 2009 6:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

What else did you have to give to get Miller?

Miller is fantasy money.

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Oct 17, 2009 6:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nothing…it was a total steal!!! It’s not a keeper league either…

Predators Hockey: Live it, Love it...

by SLake on Oct 17, 2009 6:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wow. That’s ridiculous. Nicely done.

Atta dinnin stick a who!

by Gould Old Days on Oct 17, 2009 6:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

First goal

Definitely, the team that scores the first goal tonight will be at a huge advantage. Both are reeling to some extent mentally and that boost could be a big difference maker and right the ship for one of these teams…

Predators Hockey: Live it, Love it...

by SLake on Oct 17, 2009 5:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

That’s true; heck, if Legwand scores the first goal, the Caps might as well head back to the locker room, as obviously the hockey gods will have spoken.

More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.

by Dirk Hoag on Oct 17, 2009 5:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

First goal

I’m taking Ward for first goal by a Pred tonight. He has been playing pretty solidly in his return and loves to pounce on rebounds in and around the crease…

Predators Hockey: Live it, Love it...

by SLake on Oct 17, 2009 6:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wilson with the assist?

Any speculation as to the lines with Trotz’s statement about breaking up SAD?

I would like to see:

Legwand-Arnott-Dumont
Sullivan-Wilson-Erat
Jones-O’Reilly-Ward
Smithson-Goc-Belak

Although I wouldn’t mind swapping Ward and Erat either.

I don’t know how confident Trotz is with O’Reilly yet however. Legwand took the vast majority of the draws against Chicago even though he was supposed to be on the wing. And it wasn’t just on the draw either. O’Reilly seemed to play just as much wing as Legwand did.

My Blog @ http://hockeyindependent.com/blog/?author=59

by David Singleton on Oct 17, 2009 6:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Woops...

I meant Hornqvist-O’Reilly-Ward on the third line and Jones-Goc-Belak on the fourth.

Sorry.

My Blog @ http://hockeyindependent.com/blog/?author=59

by David Singleton on Oct 17, 2009 6:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

By the way,

Caps affiliate that’s broadcasting the game is 642on DirecTV.

"As strong as a team as we are on paper, you have to go out and prove it. We have yet to prove that we're the team we think we are,'' Keith Bulluck
"This is the only building in the NHL that the fans get up and cheer for no apparent reason just to support us." - Dan Ellis

Official Graphic Designer/Researcher/Grammar Police of MCM.
Official Graphic Goon of OTF.

by Aditya T (smashville) on Oct 17, 2009 6:11 PM EDT reply actions  

It's in HD too.

"As strong as a team as we are on paper, you have to go out and prove it. We have yet to prove that we're the team we think we are,'' Keith Bulluck
"This is the only building in the NHL that the fans get up and cheer for no apparent reason just to support us." - Dan Ellis

Official Graphic Designer/Researcher/Grammar Police of MCM.
Official Graphic Goon of OTF.

by Aditya T (smashville) on Oct 17, 2009 7:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

You ask Me

The Preds might break out of the scoring slump they’ve been in. The Caps are pretty horrible on the back end, and their best defensive player in general is David Steckel, who’s a center. The Caps are the 2nd worst defensive team in the league, and the Preds have the worst offense. Something has to give

Space Weed Says Now Endorsed by Tyler Bozak
"DO NOT get stuck behind Kyle Wellwood in the buffet line. This isn't really etiquette, but it will prevent you from starving to death"- Down Goes Brown on Etiquette for Jason Spezza's wedding

by Kevin Sellathamby on Oct 17, 2009 6:30 PM EDT reply actions  

Morrisonn is also out, right?

I think I read this morning that Shoane Morrisonn is also out tonight as well. He’s been Mike Green’s defensive partner…so the Caps D is going to have some new combinations tonight as well…

Predators Hockey: Live it, Love it...

by SLake on Oct 17, 2009 6:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Jeff Schultz is on the top duo with Green, which i prefer over ShaMo. And they aren’t “pretty horrible.” If they are on their game, (which, when they were, they held both San Jose and Boston to one goal each) then they are a very dangerous team. But I will admit that they have definately had their off days.

by hockeyman33 on Oct 17, 2009 6:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Lineup Suggestion...

I’d like to see a reunion of Arnott and Legwand and Sullivan and O’Reilly tonight. Maybe something like:

Legwand – Arnott – Dumont
Sullivan – O’Reilly – Hornqvist
Erat – Wilson – Ward
Jones – Goc – Smithson

I would hate to be Trotz and Peterson tonight having to work out the d-pairings…

Predators Hockey: Live it, Love it...

by SLake on Oct 17, 2009 6:31 PM EDT reply actions  

Should Have Read It All...

I like this too, but I would really like to see Wilson centering Sullivan. Wilson has really been making space for his linemates and I think he could really jump start Sullivan.

I’d probably play Belak tonight as well for that extra phyiscal factor.

My Blog @ http://hockeyindependent.com/blog/?author=59

by David Singleton on Oct 17, 2009 6:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oh bou

Klein with a giveaway and bowled over by Ovechkin already…

More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.

by Dirk Hoag on Oct 17, 2009 7:10 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Ward with the SH breakaway!

"As strong as a team as we are on paper, you have to go out and prove it. We have yet to prove that we're the team we think we are,'' Keith Bulluck
"This is the only building in the NHL that the fans get up and cheer for no apparent reason just to support us." - Dan Ellis

Official Graphic Designer/Researcher/Grammar Police of MCM.
Official Graphic Goon of OTF.

by Aditya T (smashville) on Oct 17, 2009 7:13 PM EDT reply actions  

and then Weber!

We really need to convert those.

"As strong as a team as we are on paper, you have to go out and prove it. We have yet to prove that we're the team we think we are,'' Keith Bulluck
"This is the only building in the NHL that the fans get up and cheer for no apparent reason just to support us." - Dan Ellis

Official Graphic Designer/Researcher/Grammar Police of MCM.
Official Graphic Goon of OTF.

by Aditya T (smashville) on Oct 17, 2009 7:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

They've got to convert those chances!

More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.

by Dirk Hoag on Oct 17, 2009 7:15 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Ovi8

is too much to handle.

"As strong as a team as we are on paper, you have to go out and prove it. We have yet to prove that we're the team we think we are,'' Keith Bulluck
"This is the only building in the NHL that the fans get up and cheer for no apparent reason just to support us." - Dan Ellis

Official Graphic Designer/Researcher/Grammar Police of MCM.
Official Graphic Goon of OTF.

by Aditya T (smashville) on Oct 17, 2009 7:16 PM EDT reply actions  

I ain't no coach, but...

Keeping someone within 15 feet of Ovechkin on the PP sounds like a good idea,

More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.

by Dirk Hoag on Oct 17, 2009 7:17 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

So much for breaking up Leggy & Erat

They’re out with Cal.

More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.

by Dirk Hoag on Oct 17, 2009 7:25 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Tough play for Laakso, but he’s really got to play the body there.

More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.

by Dirk Hoag on Oct 17, 2009 7:40 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

I'm relatively happy with the period...

A lack of discipline and a fluky bounce both allow arguably the best player in the league to score a pair, but the Preds were very effective creating chances off their controlled breakouts and didn’t seem to panic like they were earlier this week when the Caps D was pinching down against the breakout.

Belak appears to be benched and with good reason. Smithson magnified the situation by taking the cross-checking call in front of the net after we killed off Belak’s mistake. You cannot give the Caps back to back PP’s early in the game. Belak’s penalty was stupid, but it was being aggressive. Those calls are usually killed off. Smithson’s cross-check was stupid and unnecessary too, but that is the type of penalty that doesn’t normally get the kill.

Franson looks good through one period of action. Very poised with the puck, although in his own end he is glued to the front of the net. Bouillon very active yet again, making plays, keeping things alive, but getting into trouble when he tries to do too much. Suter and Weber seem to be on the ice just about every shift. They are playing together some, but mainly with different partners each shift. Laakso was the victim of a horribly unlucky bounce on the second goal, but he’s got to maintain inside position, especially on a bouncing puck against Ovechkin.

Like the offensive pressure we are getting. Need to take the puck to the net a little more and that will open up some room to the outside to work the cycle. Lines aren’t that much different, but appear to be playing with some pretty good chemistry early. Gotta bury one of those two SH breakaways early. That’s definitely gonna come back to hurt us, but alas we are still not out of this game.

Look for Washington to adjust to the ever changing Predators style (doing a good job making adjustments to the systems since I called them out on it Wednesday night). With a two-goal lead the Caps will become tighter defensively and look to pounce on turnovers by the Predators, but don’t expect them to drop back into full on clock kill mode, that is simply not their style…

The Preds need to come out with the same intensity level, mark Ovechkin whenever he is on the ice, and become a little less pickier with their shots. I thought that Ward had the best opportunity of the night thus far for the Preds when he backed away a little from the defense and unleashed a bullet on Varlamov just before the mid-way point of the period. On those long cycles, we have to find a way to get someone open somewhere in the slot to make a pass out to. Plenty of bodies heading to the net after every shot, that’s not the issue, but generating more high-quality opportunities at the net is what is going to lead to more opportunities to capitalize on some rebounds.

Next goal wins…

Predators Hockey: Live it, Love it...

by SLake on Oct 17, 2009 7:56 PM EDT reply actions  

I hope you're right about that last part

Weber scores!

More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.

by Dirk Hoag on Oct 17, 2009 8:24 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

270 minutes since our last goal!

"As strong as a team as we are on paper, you have to go out and prove it. We have yet to prove that we're the team we think we are,'' Keith Bulluck
"This is the only building in the NHL that the fans get up and cheer for no apparent reason just to support us." - Dan Ellis

Official Graphic Designer/Researcher/Grammar Police of MCM.
Official Graphic Goon of OTF.

by Aditya T (smashville) on Oct 17, 2009 8:20 PM EDT reply actions  

You could hear Weber yelling ‘back, back’ and thankfully Horny gave it to him. Lets keep it going

by jerseypredsfan on Oct 17, 2009 8:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Great job by Hornqvist setting it up and creating traffic.

"As strong as a team as we are on paper, you have to go out and prove it. We have yet to prove that we're the team we think we are,'' Keith Bulluck
"This is the only building in the NHL that the fans get up and cheer for no apparent reason just to support us." - Dan Ellis

Official Graphic Designer/Researcher/Grammar Police of MCM.
Official Graphic Goon of OTF.

by Aditya T (smashville) on Oct 17, 2009 8:23 PM EDT reply actions  

That was a lucky goal!

"As strong as a team as we are on paper, you have to go out and prove it. We have yet to prove that we're the team we think we are,'' Keith Bulluck
"This is the only building in the NHL that the fans get up and cheer for no apparent reason just to support us." - Dan Ellis

Official Graphic Designer/Researcher/Grammar Police of MCM.
Official Graphic Goon of OTF.

by Aditya T (smashville) on Oct 17, 2009 8:27 PM EDT reply actions  

Who is this team wearing blue and white?

Pressure to the net…good shots…

"As strong as a team as we are on paper, you have to go out and prove it. We have yet to prove that we're the team we think we are,'' Keith Bulluck
"This is the only building in the NHL that the fans get up and cheer for no apparent reason just to support us." - Dan Ellis

Official Graphic Designer/Researcher/Grammar Police of MCM.
Official Graphic Goon of OTF.

by Aditya T (smashville) on Oct 17, 2009 8:30 PM EDT reply actions  

Do you cable or satellite?

Center Ice is still on free preview.

More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.

by Dirk Hoag on Oct 17, 2009 8:33 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

here

"As strong as a team as we are on paper, you have to go out and prove it. We have yet to prove that we're the team we think we are,'' Keith Bulluck
"This is the only building in the NHL that the fans get up and cheer for no apparent reason just to support us." - Dan Ellis

Official Graphic Designer/Researcher/Grammar Police of MCM.
Official Graphic Goon of OTF.

by Aditya T (smashville) on Oct 17, 2009 8:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Bent, but didn't break...

Then took it to the Caps in the last third of the period…

Preds always struggle in the second period due to the long line change and our struggles breaking out of the zone cleanly. Losing faceoffs magnifies the situation and pins us deep in the zone. Ellis played great that period, making saves when he needed to and gobbling up any loose puck around him to break up the Caps offensive flow from time to time.

Great give and go by Goc and Hornqvist on the breakout sprung Hornqvist into the Caps end with speed, backed in the Caps D, and gave Weber the room he needed to jump up in the play as the Caps forwards went for a change and blast home our first of the night! Hornqvist has to get a little extra credit as well for following straight to the front of the net after making his drop pass making sure to take the Caps D with him and provide a little traffic for Varlamov to contend with.

Dumont on the second goal got that fluky bounce off the skate of the defender and caught Varlamov a little off-guard. Evened out the fluky bounce that lead to Ovechkin’s second goal in the first period, so all in all…I’ll take it!

Must do a better job in the faceoff circle in the third period, especially in the defensive end. Need to clean up breakouts and eliminate any unnecessary turnovers through the neutral zone. Guys seem to have a lot of energy tonight and they should – having not skated in two days. We must look to pressure the Caps D whenever we get the chance. We know that Washington skates like the wind on the offense, but where you’ll wear them down is in their own end.

Sets up for an exciting third period…

Predators Hockey: Live it, Love it...

by SLake on Oct 17, 2009 8:46 PM EDT reply actions  

Apology to Caps forwards...

They were just slow getting back…all three were in the shot, just nowhere near Weber!

Predators Hockey: Live it, Love it...

by SLake on Oct 17, 2009 8:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm kinda liking 29-11-25 as a line

Can play a tight-checking game, but should also be able to take things the other way if the opportunity presents itself. Ward & Smithson can both win battles along the boards.

More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.

by Dirk Hoag on Oct 17, 2009 9:06 PM EDT reply actions  

No Wilson yet in the 3rd?

Have I missed something?

More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.

by Dirk Hoag on Oct 17, 2009 9:09 PM EDT reply actions  

Ellis earning his paycheck tonight

More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.

by Dirk Hoag on Oct 17, 2009 9:23 PM EDT reply actions  

Got a point, now let's go for two!!!

Ellis huge in the third. Great job by Goc stepping in on that final draw and winning it to stop any last chance…

Predators Hockey: Live it, Love it...

by SLake on Oct 17, 2009 9:27 PM EDT reply actions  

I was a little bummed they called that icing in the final seconds. Don’t the refs have the option of waving it off if it was an attempted pass? That’s what it was, a final pass that missed Sully.

More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.

by Dirk Hoag on Oct 17, 2009 9:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

Surprised, but expected

Puck clearly hopped over Ward’s stick at center, but it was clearly in the vicinity. Linesmen have the option of waving it off, but on the road, we’re not gonna get that call…

Predators Hockey: Live it, Love it...

by SLake on Oct 17, 2009 9:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

All told, good to earn an OTL point

Definitely a much better effort than we’ve seen in at least a week.

More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.

by Dirk Hoag on Oct 17, 2009 9:45 PM EDT reply actions  

Did you hear what the announcer said after NOvechkin's shootout goal?

He said that the Caps fans that threw their hats on the ice after he scored in the shootout can retrieve them after the game. First of all it wasn’t a real hat trick, and B, I never once thought about getting my hat back. Once that hat leaves your hand and hits the ice it becomes property of the Hockey Gods.

by jerseypredsfan on Oct 17, 2009 9:57 PM EDT reply actions  

Yeah, found that funny too...

In most arenas that I know of, the hats are bagged and sent to charity for them to sort out.

Predators Hockey: Live it, Love it...

by SLake on Oct 17, 2009 10:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

At VC you can pick up your hat from Customer Services or something after the game; if you don’t it goes to charity. Something like that.

by red army line on Oct 18, 2009 10:00 AM EDT up reply actions  

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