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Game Day Preview: Nashville Predators @ San Jose Sharks

Tonight the Nashville Predators enter the HP Paviliion to take on Dan Boyle (22),  Joe Thornton (19), and the rest of the Pacific Division-leading San Jose Sharks.

More photos » Jeff Chiu - AP

Tonight the Nashville Predators enter the HP Paviliion to take on Dan Boyle (22), Joe Thornton (19), and the rest of the Pacific Division-leading San Jose Sharks.

As they continue to battle their way through an early-season schedule loaded with road games, the Nashville Predators (7-7-1) head into San Jose to face a 12-4-2 Sharks team that has yet to lose in regulation on home ice. Last season, the Sharks won their first 9 home games before the Preds came to town and beat them in overtime. Does Nashville have it in them to break up another San Jose streak?

After the jump, let's break down the matchup...

Star-divide

Meet the Enemy

The Sharks have assumed their usual spot atop the Pacific Division, eclipsing the feel-good starts of both Los Angeles and Phoenix. San Jose won't be content with yet another successful regular season, however, they're geared for the playoffs, and that's what the acquisition of elite goal-scorer Dany Heatley was meant to address. There's also been a bit of a leadership shakeup, with defenseman Rob Blake taking over as team captain from Patrick Marleau.

As they continue to get healthy players back in the lineup, the forward lines are likely to look as follows, per Fear the Fin:

Heatley - Thornton - Setoguchi
Marleau - Pavelski - Clowe
McGinn - Malhotra - Ortmeyer
Shelley - Nichol - Vesce

Containing the top line is obviously going to be a challenge for any club, but the 2nd line is dangerous as well.

Fear the Fin also has the outlook for tonight from the San Jose perspective.

Meet the Good Guys

Nashville might also get a big name back in action tonight as Shea Weber was able to practice yesterday. Obviously it's critical to have your #1 defenseman available for a big game like this, but he's also the Preds' leading goal-scorer, too. If Weber does play, here's what the Preds should look like:

Forwards
Sullivan - Arnott - Hornqvist
Erat - Santorelli - Thuresson
Smithson- Legwand - Ward
Scatchard - Goc - Tootoo
Defense
Suter - Weber
Bouillon - Klein
Hamhuis - Franson
With Jody Shelley a possibility for San Jose, Wade Belak might skate for Nashville. We shouldn't be surprised, either, if Tootoo reacquaints himself with Brad Staubitz, who broke Tootoo's nose in a fight last year.

Even Strength Play

 Team GP GF GA GF/60 Shots For/60 Sht % GA/60 Shots Ag/60 Save % +/- per 60
 Nashville 15 19 25 1.6 26.5 6.1 2.1 29.2 .928 -0.5
 San Jose 18 38 27 2.7 31.6 8.7 2.0 28.0 .930 +0.8

Just like last year, the Sharks are among the most prolific 5-on-5 shooting teams in the league, and a healthy advantage in Shots For/Against shows just how regularly they tilt the ice in their favor. While both teams boast superior goaltending in this situation, the difference really lies in shooting; not only do the Preds not put as many shots on net, but they don't score very often when they do; that 6.1 Shooting Percentage in 5-on-5 is 3rd-worst in the NHL.

San Jose PP vs. Nashville PK

At 25.3%, the San Jose power play is, as you'd expect, one of the most lethal in the NHL. What makes them doubly dangerous is that they get lots of PP opportunities, due to the high-skill forwards who force opponents into hauling them down.

The Nashville penalty killers are slowly improving after a wretched start, and currently sit 24th in the league. Already one of the least-penalized teams, the Preds will need to take special care to stay out of the box tonight.

Nashville PP vs. San Jose PK

Getting Weber back will provide a nice boost for the power play, which was just starting to click when he hurt his foot. At 12.3%, the Preds PP is still dead-last in the NHL, and it will be up to agitators like Jordin Tootoo to get under the Sharks' skin and create some chances for Nashville. San Jose is normally a pretty disciplined group, but with the bad blood between these two teams there could be some fireworks tonight.

Goaltending

Evgeni Nabokov continues to benefit from playing behind a stellar group of skaters, but according to Preds radio play-by-play man Tom Callahan, it's Thomas Greiss in net tonight for the Sharks:


Thomas Greiss

#1 / Goalie / San Jose Sharks

6-1

200

Jan 29, 1986

GP MIN W L GA GAA SA SV SV% SO
2009 - Thomas Greiss 2 87 1 1 2 1.38 47 45 .957 0

For Nashville, Dan Ellis is expected to get the start, building on a 27-save performance in L.A. on Saturday:


Dan Ellis

#39 / Goalie / Nashville Predators

6-0

188

Jun 19, 1980

GP MIN W L GA GAA SA SV SV% SO
2009 - Dan Ellis 9 436 3 3 20 2.75 212 192 .906 0

Summary

The Preds should come into this one with a "nothing-to-lose" mentality, and really all the pressure is on San Jose here. After topping the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-0 Saturday, there's definitely the possibility of the letdown on the part of the Sharks. If Ellis can put together another strong effort, and Weber can resume his dominance on the blueline, the Preds will have a puncher's chance tonight.

And speaking of a puncher's chance... here's a bit of a flashback to November of last year...


0 recs  |  Comment 12 comments |

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Good luck tonight,

You might need it since the Preds IR list is so long. FYI, Blake replaced Marleau as captain…

by Pizzle on Nov 10, 2009 2:28 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Whoops – I’ll make the correction, thanks!

More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.

by Dirk Hoag on Nov 10, 2009 3:03 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think Rinne should start.

"We really feel like we can go 10-0 in these last ten games...we’re trying to do something nobody has ever done." Chris Johnson
"This is the only building in the NHL that the fans get up and cheer for no apparent reason just to support us." - Dan Ellis

Official Graphic Designer/Researcher/Grammar Police of MCM.
Official Graphic Goon of OTF.

by Aditya T (smashville) on Nov 10, 2009 2:47 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Yea

Rinne is the starter, let’s stop with the hot hand stuff, especially after two off-days.

by Sam Page on Nov 10, 2009 2:53 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Couple things

1) Weber is in the lineup according to a Tweet from Callahan this afternoon. Glennon reporting that Sulzer will sit.

2) I too don’t understand Ellis getting the start unless there was something behind the scenes that wasn’t liked about Rinne’s performance at Anaheim or even his reaction to it. It could also be that he is battling a cold for all we know…

3) SJ will be sitting Nabakov. That is a huge break, but still we have to capitalize. Griess has one start this season – October 25th at Philadelphia – where he stopped 37 of 38 shots on the night and got the victory. His only other appearance this season came in relief where he also allowed just a single goal, but got the loss. If Griess allows just a single goal again tonight, I don’t like our chances…

Predators Hockey: Live it, Love it...

by SLake on Nov 10, 2009 4:34 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Humbling stats

Goals: Patric Hornqvist Nsh 3 – Dany Heatley SJ 11
Assists: J.P. Dumont Nsh 8 – Joe Thornton SJ 18
Points: J.P. Dumont Nsh 11 – Joe Thornton SJ 22

by Lil cutie on Nov 10, 2009 5:54 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Another more relevant stat...

Heatley – $7.5 million
Thornton – $7.2 million

Hornqvist – $713,333

SJ Projected Payroll – $57,402,004
NSH Projected Payroll – $45,052,945

The teams are built differently and run differently off the ice. None of that matters on the ice tonight when that puck is dropped…

Predators Hockey: Live it, Love it...

by SLake on Nov 10, 2009 6:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

True, but the discrepancy really jumped off the page. At this rate our leading scorer will have about 16 goals this year.

by Lil cutie on Nov 10, 2009 7:53 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Atually

Hornqvist isn’t our leading scorer…Weber has 5 goals.

"We really feel like we can go 10-0 in these last ten games...we’re trying to do something nobody has ever done." Chris Johnson
"This is the only building in the NHL that the fans get up and cheer for no apparent reason just to support us." - Dan Ellis

Official Graphic Designer/Researcher/Grammar Police of MCM.
Official Graphic Goon of OTF.

by Aditya T (smashville) on Nov 10, 2009 7:59 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

*Actually

"We really feel like we can go 10-0 in these last ten games...we’re trying to do something nobody has ever done." Chris Johnson
"This is the only building in the NHL that the fans get up and cheer for no apparent reason just to support us." - Dan Ellis

Official Graphic Designer/Researcher/Grammar Police of MCM.
Official Graphic Goon of OTF.

by Aditya T (smashville) on Nov 10, 2009 8:00 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

FYI-Shelley is out lines for SJ according to Pollock:
Heatley-Thornton-Setoguchi
Pavelski-Marleau-Clowe
Ortmeyer-Nichol-Malhotra
Staubitz-Vesce-McGinn

Just b/c you don’t mention it Blake is out with an injury.
Joslin is up.

by Mogen_david on Nov 10, 2009 6:29 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

Thanks for the update!

More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.

by Dirk Hoag on Nov 10, 2009 8:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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