Let's start a trade rumor: the Nashville Predators should go after Atlanta's Bryan Little
Over the last few days, the presence of two members of the Atlanta Thrashers organization on press row in Nashville stirred up talk of a possible trade between the two teams, with hockey's most infamous rumor-monger touting a potential deal for Ilya Kovalchuk. His reasoning was that the Predators ownership was interested in making a big, splashy acquisition to drive fan interest and ticket sales.
This (like his earlier hyping of the Preds pursuing Marian Gaborik as a free agent, or trading for Alex Ovechkin) was stupendously stupid on a number of levels. First, I highly doubt that with David Freeman selling off assets to pay his taxes, he's going to turn around and write a huge paycheck for any player, just on the hopes that the fans would flock to the ticket window and pay for him.
Besides, have you seen what ticket sales have been like in Atlanta? It's not like Kovalchuk is packing the house there...
Nevertheless, the fact that front office personnel from the Thrashers did come here for a couple games is noteworthy, so let me share with you a conversation I had recently with a Thrashers blogger as to a trade situation that might indeed make sense between Atlanta and Nashville...
The following conversation between myself and The Falconer of the outstanding Bird Watchers Anonymous took place over the last few days. Note that this is all informed speculation, we make no pretense of having access to mysterious "sources" on this matter:
Me: It looks like Atlanta's assistant GM and director of player personnel have attended each of the last two Predators games, and since the teams don't play until the end of January, that's fueling a lot of trade speculation, some of which (Ek talking up Kovalchuk) is beyond idiotic. So who might the Thrashers be willing to part with, and what might they be looking for? I'd love to see Slava Kozlov help boost Nashville's power play, for example.
The Falconer: To be honest I wouldn't read too much into it. If a trade were brewing then I would expect Rick Dudley to show up... But let's play this game anyway.
Kozlov has a no trade clause, so not him. Kovalchuck isn't going anywhere other than the KHL. The Thrashers are about to have 8 healthy D with the return of Boris Valabik so that would be my guess. Also Bryan Little has struggled mightily. Slater or Reasoner perhaps. Kari Lehtonen is probably not going to be a Thrasher next year, but who trades for an injured goalie.
The Thrashers are 7-1-1 since Kovalchuk's return so there is no urgency at our end, the team is earning points. Also there are glaring roster needs. If I had to guess I'd say the defenseman logjam--perhaps Anssi Salmela who really is a power play specialist.Me: Dudley and Dobson were the names mentioned as in attendance, for what that's worth. If excess defensemen is Atlanta's problem, then I really don't see a match here, because that's probably Nashville's greatest strength right now. Might the Thrashers be interested in Dan Ellis, perhaps? David Poile said before the season that if Rinne proved a worthy #1, that they might deal Ellis, and that's certainly proved out so far. That would also make sense as to why the Thrashers would be in town the last two days, because that's been the likeliest opportunity to watch Ellis play for the last few weeks.
The Falconer: Hmm, well if both Dudley and Dobson were there than that's much more interesting. From the ATL end, Hedberg is playing his best hockey ever in a Thrashers uniform. With Lehtonen returning sometime in the spring, I can't see them adding Ellis unless NSH takes a goalie back the other way. I really find this a head scratcher because I don't see an obvious fit. What are the needs from NSH side?
Me: As far as what Nashville needs, I'd say a goal-scoring winger and/or a playmaking center (long term that's Colin Wilson, but I'd like to see a one-year band-aid until he's ready). Strange stuff, and it doesn't help that Ek is hyping Kovalchuk. I don't see that as even close to realistic.
The Falconer: If they were going to trade Kovalchuk they would probably have to fire Waddell first. He's not going to make that trade. If anything we could see a repeat of the Bouwmeester drama only this time the player departs for the KHL after his contract is finished.
It is possible that Bryan Little might be available but he's so young NSH would need to offer something of value in return.
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Now there's an idea worth pursuing - might Bryan Little make a good fit with the Predators?
Scouting Report
| Assets | Is a top playmaker from the wing position, mainly because he's a natural center. Owns a good wrist shot and sound defensive instincts. Is a tireless worker. |
| Flaws | Lacks ideal NHL size and strength, and is only average in the skating department. Needs to play with more consistency. |
| Career Potential | Scoring winger. |
Last season, Little scored 31 goals, but is off to a slow start this year, having perhaps lost some prime-time duty since the Thrashers acquired Nik Antropov and Maxim Afinogenov. I would think that in Nashville, there is ample opportunity to earn power play time. As a "scoring winger" with "sound defensive instincts", his scouting report certainly reads like something the Predators would be interested in. And we all know what a change of scenery can do for a player's offensive opportunities, right Rich Peverley?
An added boost here is Little's flexibility to play wing or center. Nashville has struggled for years to get any offensive production down the middle after Jason Arnott and David Legwand, and a player like Little would give the team a short-term solution if they wanted to put him between Martin Erat and Patric Hornqvist, for example, and then move him over to the wing when Colin Wilson is ready for full-time NHL duty. Relying on Wilson to provide that punch this season might be expecting too much of a player stepping up from the NCAA.
At 22 years of age, Little is set to become a restricted free agent this summer, and makes $850,000 this year; with only the single productive season, he shouldn't command a budget-busting contract quite yet, so from a financial perspective this is a player that David Poile should be able to work into both his short- and long-term plans.
Offensive talent + good defense + hard working + cheap = ideal acquisition target for Nashville?
At no little cost, however
The flip side to the question, of course, is what it might take to acquire a player like Little.
It was pointed out above that Atlanta already has 8 healthy defensemen, so a current blueliner is probably out, but what about a prospect like Jonathan Blum? His upside may well be higher than most of what Atlanta already has. I'm sure Nashville would love to get some value out of Ryan Jones in trade, as he's toiling away in Milwaukee making NHL money.
There are also draft picks, which might be of interest to an Atlanta team that is preparing to empty the bank vault for Ilya Kovalchuk, and will need to complement him with younger players on entry-level deals.
I'm sure the price would be significant, but quite less than what Phil Kessel would have cost in trade. Bryan Little might be the kind of meaningful, but not outrageous acquisition that can help make the Predators a more dangerous team come playoff time.
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A 30 goal, 22 year old player, making below 1M, that could only cost Ryan Jones + a pick (or something)? I’m in. Dirk, do you give any merit to the Preds needing/wanting Bobby Ryan?
Another team might be interested in Jones to fill the role that Hornqvist is filling for Nashville. They might offer a better fit for him.
More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.
by Dirk Hoag on Dec 2, 2009 6:24 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
I understood that Jones was stuck in Milwaukee not because we already have a player in his role but because he just wasn’t playing well enough. Maybe this is too pessimistic but it seems like Atlanta wouldn’t want to trade a successful scoring winger away for an unsuccessful one, hoping that a change of scenery will turn him around.
By no means do I think that a simple Little for Jones one-for-one would work, just that including Jones in a deal might be a preference for Nashville, and fill a potential need for Atlanta.
More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.
Bobby Ryan would be dynamite, but I’m guessing he’d cost a lot more both in trade and a future contract, than Little. Definitely worth thinking about, though.
More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.
by Dirk Hoag on Dec 2, 2009 6:26 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Depends
Dirk, I believe the best course of action would be to bring in that elite or superstar player. Oddly enough timing-wise, I talk all around some of these things in my last blog.
If Kovulchuck is available, then Poile should move just about anyone short of Weber, Suter, Rinne and Wilson to get him. Not paying Kessel was a big mistake on Nashville’s part provided he was willing to come to Nashville (to which I have no real clue).
This team already has a glut of very good forwards. They also have a lot of talented youngsters (although I don’t think they are used properly). Staying this path will keep this a streaky team as Trotz shortens his bench and wears out those veterans.
Given the glut of good forwards, Nashville can part with one, plus a couple of solid prospects and draft picks to free up the salary and obtain an elite player.
While I’ve not see Little that much, I don’t feel comfortable saying he’s in that group. Bobby Ryan may get there one day. I like him better overall.
Good discussion.
While it would be neat to have a superstar like that in Nashville, it’s just not realistic to expect a payroll addition of $5 million+, and it’s not practical to move that much salary back the other way in trade.
Eklund seems to love teasing Nashville fans with fantasies like Kovalchuk, Gaborik and Ovechkin, however.
More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.
Why?
Why can Atlanta be $7 million under the cap and still pay Kovulchuk?
Why can the Kings the $7 million under the cap and still pay Ryan Smyth and Anze Kopitar between $6 and $7 million each?
Why can the Blue Jackets be nearly $9 million under the cap and pay Rick Nash nearly $6 million?
It’s not unrealistic. Those teams (and others) chose to pay a superstar. That didn’t mean they went cheap everywhere else.
Building a roster with a budget (whether that budget is the midpoint or the ceiling of the cap) means balancing the right amount of cheap youth, low cost role players, mid-level cost good veterans and some number of elite/superstar players (especially forwards).
The teams I mentioned did it while having at least one elite forward. Nashville has chosen to do more in the way of mid-level cost good veterans than most teams. That was their choice. It was also their choice to pay slightly too much for both Legwand and Erat. They also aren’t using enough of their cheap youth (players on relatively cheap entry level contracts). Right now, there’s too much pressure on a group of players that can’t hold up consistently for the entire season.
If a player doesn’t have a restriction to playing in Nashville, there’s no reason Poile couldn’t make it happen.
by David Singleton on Dec 2, 2009 8:45 PM EST up reply actions
Hornqvist and Santorelli
Playing on a line with Belak. That’s really going to produce.
Doing that means that the others will absolutely have to pick up that slack.
It’s like going into a fight with one hand behind your back. What’s the point?
by David Singleton on Dec 2, 2009 8:49 PM EST up reply actions
If you were drawing up a team from scratch you could do something like that, but Nashville can’t right now. Arnott, Dumont, Erat and Legwand all have no-trade clauses (I would assume Sully too, but don’t have confirmation on that), so they’re going nowhere. You’re not going to move Suter or Weber as part of such a deal, so that means you’ve already got too much money allocated to also bring in a $6-10 million guy and still fill out a 23-man roster.
Besides, in my opinion there are very few guys paid at the elite level that are really worth it. I would rather have good 3rd line depth than have a star on the 1st line, and more scrubs filling in elsewhere.
More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.
True
David Poile has painted themselves in a corner with all of the NMC/NTC given out.
Keep in mind that Kessel and Nash are very near the Legwand and Erat salaries. As much as I like both of those players, they are both significantly below Kessel and Nash in offensive skill and talent.
Just because you have a superstar doesn’t mean you are relegated to scrubs- all three of the teams I mentioned aren’t loaded with scrubs.
The separate point is that Nashville is not utilizing their low priced talented youth. This is the bigger concern as that talent is in house and unused. The other topic is admittedly more sexy.
by David Singleton on Dec 2, 2009 9:04 PM EST up reply actions
BTW, I already had your piece linked for tomorrow morning!
More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.

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