Better rumor-mongering through automation
by Dirk Hoag on Mar 5, 2009 4:47 PM EST
9 comments
Now that the NHL Trade Deadline is in our collective rear-view mirror, it's time get to down a serious review of performance. No, not of the GM's who swapped assets like eBay addicts, but instead of the "Anonymous Hockey Blogger" who plies his trade over at HockeyBuzz and purports to dish out inside information.
As I noted a few weeks ago, the boys at HockeyBuzzHogWash.com have been tracking the success rate of the rumors that get floated over at the site. My challenge was a simple one; that a few rudimentary rules could kick out a list of trade possibilities that were likely to be more correct than those spun by the old fashioned way; presumably involving late-night hours perusing message boards, a Ouija board, and an assortment of mind-bending drugs.
The rules were simple. First, I took the pending UFA's on teams that were outside the playoffs. Next, I created 17 scenarios for each. The first one had them remaining with their existing team, while the other 16 involved them going to one of the teams that was, at the time, in playoff position.
There were 104 such players, thus yielding 1,768 scenarios (which I published for all to review in a Google Spreadsheet). In the end, 94 of those turned out correct, yielding a 5.5% success rate.
Yeesh, that sounds kinda bad, doesn't it?
Maybe not compared to Eklund's 3.2!
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(e5)
Hyphens cause writers more trouble than any other form of punctuation, except perhaps commas.
by David Driscoll-Carignan on Mar 5, 2009 6:00 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
That’s great stuff.
Broad Street Hockey - SB Nation's Philadelphia Flyers Blog
Because the Broad Street Subway is orange for a reason.
by Travis Hughes on Mar 5, 2009 6:11 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Woooooooo, this is solid work. I’m going to show this to my kids when they get older (they’re still not born yet, but the day will come).
Rec city.
Fear The Fin: Where The Second Round Is Overrated
by Mr. Plank on Mar 5, 2009 6:14 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
If you initiate a F 1-5 system, start misspelling every third word, and learn to modify timestamps, I think you’re on to something sir.
Well done.
'Nucks Misconduct - Housing Swedish Millionaires Since 2000.
by Yankee Canuck on Mar 5, 2009 6:15 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Freaking awesome. Well done Dirty Dirk!
by HockeyJoe on Mar 5, 2009 6:32 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
With a success rate of 3.2%, it’s a good thing I didn’t jump on his “Mario Lemueix out of retrement, signs with Coytes (E4)” rumor.
Follow the Penguins on SBN @ Pensburgh.com
by FrankD on Mar 5, 2009 6:32 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
NICE Me rec’ing this post is an JF5 on the ol’ rumor board.
Eklund getting a quart of Cherra Garcia to dull the pain of another failed deadline. (E4)
Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
by John Fischer on Mar 5, 2009 10:38 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Nicely done, F!
So I’m to assume Eck still has a body of readers? I’ve got land in the Everglades I’d like to sell…
by Donny Rivette on Mar 6, 2009 7:04 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
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Dirk Hoag is the Forechecker, churner of NHL stats and analysis.
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