On the Forecheck: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Jeff Sullivan's MLB Trade Deadline Primer

Predators Game Day Preview: Atlanta @ Nashville

Tonight on home ice, the Nashville Predators try to stop their 5-game losing streak as they host the Atlanta Thrashers. Atlanta comes into this one atop an 8-team pileup in the Eastern Conference, where the #6-13 spots in the standings are separated by a mere two points.

In case you need any extra motivation to come out to tonight's game, come celebrate Hockey Weekend Across America. If that isn't enough, the Preds are hosting a fund-raiser for the Monroe Carell Jr. Children's Hospital at Vanderbilt, which receives 25% of the ticket revenue this evening, and all of the silent auction proceeds. And to top it all off, the Atlanta Thrashers Fan Club is making a road trip to this game, so Nashville will need to defend its turf in the stands as well as on the ice.

For discounted tickets to this or any other Nashville Predators home game, you can follow this link and use the special offer code "PREDS".

Follow after the jump for the breakdown...

Star-divide

Meet the Enemy

The big story with Atlanta, of course, revolves around Ilya Kovalchuk. After a series of deadlines had passed to work out a contract extension, it becomes more likely by the day that he's not coming back to the Thrashers after this season. The question, then, is 1) whether he gets traded as a playoff rental, 2) whether he signs a long-term deal with another NHL team after such a trade or over the summer, or, 3) he bolts for the bright lights and home-cooked borscht of the KHL. For all things Thrashers, check out Bird Watchers Anonymous.

Besides Kovalchuk, however, there are some interesting stories going on with this team. Evander Kane, the #3 overall pick in the 2009 Draft, has been a regular presence in the lineup at the tender age of 18 and has 11 goals. Lately, fringe player Jim Slater has been the hot hand, so much so that he's pushed veteran winger Slava Kozlov to the press box as a healthy scratch. Keep an eye on the Colby Armstrong-Jim Slater-Evander Kane line tonight.

Forwards
Afinogenov - Antropov - Kovalchuk
Armstrong - Peverley - Kane
Slater - Little - White
Boulton - Reasoner - Thorburn
Defense
Bogosian - Hainsey 
Enstrom - Kubina
Valabik - Salmela 

 

Meet the Good Guys

The Preds are a frustrated bunch these days. Their current 5-game losing streak has included several missed opportunities at victory, or at least stretching a game to overtime. In the battle for playoff position, teams like Calgary and Detroit have lost more of their games in overtime, so they're right on Nashville's heels despite the Preds having won more games.

Carrying over from last night, the lines looked as follows (most of the time). The wild card is if any of the wounded players can return to action tonight:

Forwards
Sullivan - Arnott - Hornqvist
Smithson - Legwand - Erat
Jones - O'Reilly - Dumont
Thuresson - Spaling - Tootoo
Defense
Suter - Weber
Hamhuis - Klein
Bouillon - Franson

Even Strength Play

GP GF GA GF/60 SF/60 SPCT GA/60 SA/60 SPCT +/- per 60
 Atlanta 53 115 118 2.8 29.8 9.5 2.9 32.3 .911 -0.1
 Nashville 53 103 98 2.4 29.2 8.3 2.3 29.0 .920 +0.1

The Thrashers are definitely a more "high-event" team than Nashville, scoring a few more goals but giving up a lot, lot more. Will the visitors be able to dictate an up-tempo pace, or will the Preds take command? During 5-on-5 action, I'd give a slight nod to Nashville here.

Special Teams

Atlana Nashville
PP % 17.5 (19th) 76.7 (26th) PK %
# of PP's 206 (14th) 176 (28th) # of PK's
Advantage: Atlanta
PK % 80.2 (21st) 15.5 (29th) PP %
# of PK's 202 (16th) 194 (22nd) # of PP's
Advantage: Atlanta

It's still a head-scratcher to me that Nashville's penalty killing has been so poor this season. The guys who left over the summer (Vern Fiddler, Scott Nichol, Greg Zanon) were all among the worst Preds last season in Goals Against while on the PK.

The Predators certainly can't afford to head to the box early, like they did in Detroit last night.

Goaltending

Forget the stats - Johan Hedberg has perhaps the goaltending highlight of the year so far.


GP MIN W L EGA GA GAA SA SV SV% SO
2009 - Johan Hedberg 28 1499 12 8 62 2.48 752 690 .918 1


GP MIN W L EGA GA GAA SA SV SV% SO
2009 - Ondrej Pavelec 32 1710 12 13 99 3.47 1016 917 .903 2

I'm guessing that Pekka Rinne gets the start for the Preds tonight, as Dan Ellis played last night and was outdueled by Jimmy Howard. Barry Trotz is desperate for Rinne to start showing the form he had during the second half last season, but we've only seen glimpses of it so far.


Pekka Rinne

#35 / Goalie / Nashville Predators

6-5

206

Nov 03, 1982



GP MIN W L
GA GAA SA SV SV% SO
2009 - Pekka Rinne 34 1837 18 10 86 2.81 883 797 .903 2

Summary

This is a dangerous game for Nashville - Kovalchuk is the type of scorer who can take advantage of the slightest defensive cracks to break a game wide open. 

In front of what should be a large crowd tonight (come on, people, they should time to clear the roads by game time) the Preds need to display the home-ice dominance they've shown in recent seasons. Recently, however, they've been less than impressive at the Sommet Center. Maybe it is time for a new name on the joint.

The stage is also set for Pekka Rinne to take command and lead this team into the Olympic break; can he make the most of his opportunity?

0 recs  |  Comment 2 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Is Ward still a possibility for returning tonight?

Getting him back on the shutdown line will be crucial. Has turns that line into an actual scoring threat, and it allows Erat to go back to a scoring line where he can produce.

"Get to the Choppa!"

by PredHead on Jan 30, 2010 11:01 AM EST reply actions  

i would be driving

from Paducah. how are the roads?

by bluegrassbaby on Jan 30, 2010 3:54 PM EST reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about the Nashville Predators.
Start posting about the Predators »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

Connect_with_facebook

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Newsiteheader_small
Thoughts on Cigarron, Ownership, etc

Recent FanPosts

Small
Turn Legwand Loose...orTurn him Loose
Small
Is anyone else concerned...
Small
which should come first?
Small
Hamhuis and cheap shots at Nashville
Small
Blake Geoffrion Game Worn Jersey
Small
Do we really need to go after a new center?
Pens_ring_small
Thoughts on Hamhuis
Preds1_small
Dan Hamhuis' rights traded to Pittsburgh
Small
Interesting Tidbit

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

On the Forecheck's online store

About Me

Dirk Hoag is the Forechecker, churner of NHL stats and analysis.

Get OTF on your Kindle!

Me_medium_medium

Got a question or a suggestion? Feel free to email the.forechecker@gmail.com.

Follow Forechecker on Twitter

Named by Sports Media Challenge as a Top 10 NHL Blog

On the Forecheck on Facebook

SBNation.com Recent Stories

In this photo taken on Monday, July 19, 2010, Atlanta Thrashers forward Andrew Ladd, formerly of the Stanley Cup champion Chicago Blackhawks, spends his day with the Stanley Cup atop Crown Mountain, British Columbia., north of Vancouver. Ladd, a two-time Stanley Cup champion, was flown by helicopter to the top of Crown Mountain to watch the sunrise. (AP Photo/The Canadian Press,  Mark L. Johnson) +54 updates

NHL Free Agency: Andrew Ladd Avoids Arbitration, Signs With Thrashers

FILE - In this May 7, 2009, file photo, Milan Michalek, front left, of the Czech Republic attacks Swedish goalie Jonas Gustavsson, right, during a quarterfinal at the Ice Hockey World Championship in Bern, Switzerland. Sweden's Carl Gunnarsson is seen behind on left. The Toronto Maple Leafs landed Gustavsson with a one-year contract on Tuesday, July 7, 2009. The 24-year-old netminder, nicknamed "The Monster," was also heavily pursued by Dallas, San Jose and Colorado. (AP Photo/Anja Niedringhaus, File) link

Euro Hockey For Dummies: A Primer On How European Hockey Leagues Work

PITTSBURGH - JULY 27:  Pittsburgh Penguins President David Morehouse addresses the media at the 2011 Bridgestone NHL Winter Classic press conference on July 27 2010 at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh Pennsylvania.  (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images) +2 updates

Penguins, NHL Unveil 2011 Winter Classic Logo At Pittsburgh's Heinz Field

More from SBNation.com >


Managers

Forechecker_35_small Dirk Hoag

Muckers & Grinders

Smashville2_small Aditya T (smashville)

Predsalternate_small Chris Burton