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Predators Game Day Preview: Phoenix @ Nashville

The Nashville Predators take on the Phoenix Coyotes tonight in yet another important Western Conference matchup. Since we last saw them, the Coyotes have put some distance between the two teams, but Nashville recently broke a losing streak and will be back on the prowl tonight. The Coyotes are eight points ahead of Nashville with 71, and the Predators could sorely use a win to put heat on the teams around them. Marcel Goc will return for the Predators, which will be a welcome tonic to their poor penalty kill.

Continue after the jump for some game analysis. 

Star-divide

Nashville coming in

The Predators defeated the Thrashers on Saturday to end a miserable five-game losing streak. Jason Arnott finally broke his goal-scoring slump, potting the game winner in the third period off a masterful feed from Cody Franson. The special teams, however, continue to suck. And that, frankly, is putting it rather delicately. There seems to be no plan when on the power play other than repeatedly dropping it back to Franson or Shea Weber for the one-timer. While that is certainly effective, teams figure it out much too quickly. It may be fair to say that Nashville played better in a loss against Detroit than in the win against Atlanta. They need a tour de force performance in front of the home crowd tonight.

Phoenix coming in

The Coyotes are headed in a totally different direction than the Predators were as of Saturday. Winners of four straight, they are rolling through the West even without leading goal scorer Scottie Upshall, who was recently lost to an ACL tear. The credit can certainly be shared for their success, but captain Shane Doan and coach Dave Tippett have been crucial to their season. Tippett could very well be on his way to some hardware at season's end. Their special teams aren't anything to write home about, but with the Predators' being so poor it'll once again be an x-factor. Be sure and check out the excellent and underappreciated Five for Howling.

Who's hot

I love this kid. The pass to spring the Arnott breakaway was enough to get him in this spot, but he's been doing well defensively, too. His +/- is good for 2nd on the whole team:

GP G A P +/- PIM PPG SHG GWG GTG SOG PCT
2009 - Cody Franson 42 5 11 16 11 14 1 0 2 0 70 7.1

'Yotes captain Shane Doan was recently named the NHL's 1st star of the week:


GP G A P +/- PIM PPG SHG GWG GTG SOG PCT
2009 - Shane Doan 56 17 26 43 -3 35 5 0 4 0 169 10.1

Who's not

For Nashville, David Legwand has come to a screeching halt offensively, highlighted by his failure to roof the puck into an open net against Detroit:


GP G A P +/- PIM PPG SHG GWG GTG SOG PCT
2009 - David Legwand 54 10 19 29 -4 16 0 1 3 0 112 8.9

For Phoenix, a combination of me not really knowing and the Coyotes being on such a tear is enough to leave this spot blank for now. 

The Guys in Goal

Glennon reports that Pekka Rinne will get a chance to build on what was a much improved performance against Atlanta. 


Pekka Rinne

#35 / Goalie / Nashville Predators

6-5

206

Nov 03, 1982



GP MIN W L EGA GA GAA SA SV SV% SO
2009 - Pekka Rinne 35 1897 19 10 89 2.81 909 820 .902 2

For Phoenix, the workhorse will continue to be the same.


Ilya Bryzgalov

#30 / Goalie / Phoenix Coyotes

6-3

199

Jun 22, 1980



GP MIN W L EGA GA GAA SA SV SV% SO
2009 - Ilya Bryzgalov 48 2814 29 14 110 2.35 1350 1240 .919 5

Projected Lineups

For the Preds, John Glennon reports these slightly adjusted lines from yesterday's practice:

Forwards
Sullivan - Arnott - Erat
Smithson - Legwand - Ward
Hornqvist - O'Reilly - Dumont
Tootoo - Goc - Jones
Defense
Suter - Weber
Hamhuis - Klein
Bouillon - Franson

 

I expect Phoenix's lines to be mostly the same from our last game against them, with the exception that they will be missing Scottie Upshall:

Forwards
Mueller - Lombardi - Doan
Prucha - Hanzal - Vrbata
Pyatt - Lang - Boedker
Bissonnette - Fiddler - Korpikoski
Defense
Jovanovski - Michalek
Aucoin - Vandermeer
Lepisto - Yandle

 

Fearless Prediction

This section hasn't been kind to me lately, but I'll attack it anyway, because after all, its a fearless prediction, right? I'm hoping for a good crowd tonight, and I think the victory against Atlanta has the chance to be a stepping stone to a good week. The Coyotes will be tough, however, so it won't be a walk in the park. Scottie Upshall was Phoenix's entire offense two weeks ago, and as mentioned will be out tonight. I'm thinking that Nashville is going to take down Phoenix, but grant them a loser point in a 4-3 win.

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leggy

if you are right the lines are back to what produced so well in november/december. however i would put goc up on the 3rd line after he gets a game or 2. its about time. next- hammer and klein.

by predswilrule on Feb 2, 2010 7:49 AM EST reply actions  

Pekka has a short, but stellar track record against Phoenix

In 3 career games against the Coyotes, Pekka is 3-0-0, with a 0.67 GAA, .973 Save Percentage, and one shutout.

More fun than a stick to the face!
On the Forecheck is SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators.

by Dirk Hoag on Feb 2, 2010 10:57 AM EST reply actions  

no jinx!

;)

I’d love to see a superhuman performance out of him. I got too used to those last year. Remember his glove save in that 8-0 game? Friggin’ awesome. He’s got the stuff, and if he gets some momentum Ellis would likely be done for.

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by Chris Burton on Feb 2, 2010 11:07 AM EST up reply actions  

Noted in passing

Goc on the fourth line instead of the third? Klein and Hamhuis together yet again?

by Hockey Hillbilly on Feb 2, 2010 12:15 PM EST reply actions  

yes

- In regard to Goc, I’d guess the thinking behind this is that a) he needs a little time to get back to game speed and b) O’Reilly’s skillset is more suited to playing with Dumont and Hornqvist than Marcel’s. Goc can play either of these roles well, O’Reilly just the one.

-With DH/KK, take a look at a piece Dirk linked to in his notes post. It shows that they play against the best competition out of the three Pred d-pairings. While frustrating, certainly, they aren’t quite as bad as all that.

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by Chris Burton on Feb 2, 2010 12:23 PM EST reply actions  

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