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Preds not far from winning formula

If the Predators can keep working on chances around the Chicago crease, good things will happen.

The Nashville Predators and Chicago Blackhawks face off Tuesday and Thursday at Bridgestone Arena this week, presenting the Preds with an opportunity to take charge in their Western Conference Quarterfinal series (which, like every other series around the NHL, stands at 1-1 after two). The mood among certain portions of the fan base, however, is dark coming off the 2-0 loss last night in Chicago.

If you flip those two games around, however, and assume a 2-0 loss in Game One followed by a 4-2 triumph in Game Two, the attitude would be quite different. The bottom line is that this is now a best-of-five series in which the Predators have home-ice advantage, and there's good reason to believe they can put the Blackhawks in a hole before heading back to Chicago for Game 5 - if they follow a few simple directives...

Star-divide

Storm the Crease

Of course, getting more presence in front of the net is critical, as Colin Wilson told WKRN's Cory Curtis after last night's game:


Unfortunately, we won't really know whether Hornqvist is good to go until we see him on the ice for Game 3. All indications were that he'd be fine last night, but he was scratched from the lineup at the last minute. I highly doubt that's because he pulled a muscle lacing up his skates. In today's NHL, however, the teams don't have to give out specific injury information, so there's no reason for them to do so.

Joel Ward got some credit for working the Chicago crease, but the Preds need to get that sort of effort from every line in order to cash in the chances they're creating. Dustin Boyd and Nick Spaling did some good work deep in the Blackhawks zone in Game Two, and I wouldn't be surprised to see Boyd get a shot on one of the top lines in Game 3, especially if Hornqvist can't play.

Stay "On the Forecheck"

A blatant blog plug? You bet, but it's also a winning gameplan. The Blackhawk defensemen are ready and willing to cough up the puck under pressure, and Nashville needs to complement that initial forechecker with a trailer keeping an eye out for that cross-ice, D-to-D pass. On this front, Jordin Tootoo in particular needs to show some more jump. He has the speed and hitting ability to create havoc for the Chicago defense, but without the proper support, any effort is wasted and he ends up getting caught behind the play.

Plug in the Power Play

An oldie but a goodie. The power play has been ineffective so far, with no goals on seven chances in the first two games. Hopefully Denis Grebeshkov will add some dynamism to this unit very soon, as right now it seems the sole focus is setting up a one-timer from the point. The Blackhawks are familiar with this, having played Nashville six times this season, and frankly there's a real danger that a mishandled puck near the blueline can turn quickly into a shorthanded breakaway for the speedy Hawks.

Guys away from the puck need to start moving into various shooting lanes, instead of just shimmying side-to-side to try and get open for a shot. That requires coordination between wingers and D to make sure defensive responsibilities are covered, but it's not rocket science.

Stay out of the Penalty Box

The 3rd-period penalty parade was unusual for the Predators, and they need to get back to the disciplined game they've played all season long. It's not just a matter of keeping Chicago off the power play, but it's also about allowing guys like Jason Arnott, Martin Erat, Steve Sullivan et al to get more ice time in 5-on-5 play. When you have multiple penalties in the same period it screws up the rotation of the lines, and you end up with some of your best offensive players sitting on the bench for 10 minutes at a time.

Feed Off the Crowd

The energy at Bridgestone Arena could prove to be a critical element for the Preds. While it's natural for crowds to yell themselves out at the start of a game, it's important that folks be ready to bring it later on in the 2nd and 3rd when the outcome hangs in the balance.

Anyone who was there during the last playoff series against Detroit knows what a visible boost the Preds get in such moments, and it can provide the difference when the game is on the line. At the very least, it can help drown out communication for the Chicago defenders.

Don't Overreact

The biggest thing to remember is that on home ice, Barry Trotz will have the advantage of the last change, which allows him to match lines as he sees fit. That should open up greater opportunities for Erat-Arnott-Wilson, and put Cody Franson into the situations in which he can best succeed.

Despite all that star power in the Chicago lineup, Nashville has been able to get shots on net and create some scoring opportunities. Now they have to cash a few of them in, and get the Blackhawks back on their heels. Nobody plays with the lead like the Nashville Predators... they just need to go out and get one early in Game 3.

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Offense, offense, offense...

…offense, offense, offense.

The Preds are a terrific team when it comes to holding opponents to one or two goals, but it seems that one or two goals is all it takes to beat us since our offense is so streaky. Like Mr. Hoag said so eloquently, aggressive fore checking is what (in my opinion) we need to be doing (and doing well) to win. I don’t worry about Rinne, he’s been playing rock solid. I don’t worry about our defense (although they got a little sloppy last night). I worry about our inability to just outright score goals. Although, this one goal point isn’t lost on our coaching staff. Even Trotzy said, "We’re not the kind of a team that’s going to blow you out 5-1. We’re used to those tight games and I think that helps. It makes us more resilient. I think the tight games are when you find out a lot about your team.’’

Go Preds. My beard is extra-thick for thee.

by rusherman on Apr 19, 2010 3:59 PM EDT reply actions  

Hey, they didn’t say it was a lot. Hooray for generalizations!

by rusherman on Apr 19, 2010 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

I thought we played a pretty decent game Sunday.

I’m still very confident in this team of ours. Once we can get that puck to go that extra 2 inches (possibly 6 to 10 inches vertically <- I’m looking at you Boyd) then we’ll really be able to start pushing Chicago back. This is by no means over… Dirk makes an excellent point, now it’s a 5 game series with home ice advantage. Let’s hope that at the end of this work week we’ve managed to retain our home ice advantage.

Just giving Boyd a hard time, there were a couple of excellent saves by Niemi.

NHL 10 for XBox 360 is like paying $60 for bipolar disorder...

by Poiju on Apr 19, 2010 4:30 PM EDT reply actions  

Last night's loss tasted bad, but....

… I think a little creative re-shuffling of the lines might do us some good. Something is askew when you’re fourth line is having the best shifts. Just when you think those top lines are kickin’ butt, they don’t show up. Arnott’s 5 hits in the 1st game, and 0 hits in the 2nd is a good example of what I mean. I thought “cool! Arnie’s finally throwing his weight around out there” and I assumed I would see more of the same in game 2, but it wasn’t there. That stuff makes a difference! Especially from our Cap’m. It is frustrating. You never quite know which guy will show up sometimes. That being said, the sky is not falling, and I think we are in a great spot to take out the Hawks. We can do it, but everyone has to show up every game.

- also, anyone know the reason for the late start time tomorrow? seems a bit odd.

by hockeydekefreak on Apr 19, 2010 4:45 PM EDT reply actions  

Ok, cool

I figured so, but wasn’t sure.

by hockeydekefreak on Apr 19, 2010 4:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

thankfully....

I’m glad that Versus is at least showing part of the game, as it might allow me to actually see the guys play! It’d be nice if the start was a bit earlier as I’m getting too old to be up at midnight and still get up for work in the morning, but the playoffs are all about sacrifices. :)

TN Sports fan in Hoosier Country....

by Evanbio on Apr 20, 2010 7:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

i agree w/ the traffic to the net ( only horndog seems comfortable doing this), especially stay out of the box, but boyd wont move up. if horndog plays he likely will sit. he created chances but couldnt convert any. in the end he didnt help. also absolutely on the mark w/ the feeling being different if the games had happened in reverse order. by the same token, its important( at least for the fans) to win tuesday. even a well played loss will make it hard to be optimistic, at least for me.

by predswilrule on Apr 19, 2010 6:49 PM EDT reply actions  

Most disappointing of all last night...

was the lack of discipline. I turned off the game after Weber’s bonehead cross-checking penalty late in the third. Every slump we’ve had this season has been directly related to taking excessive and stupid penalties.

"Get to the Choppa!"

by PredHead on Apr 19, 2010 7:21 PM EDT reply actions  

I can't say that I was impressed with the preds...

because I expected them to be tough, and they were. To paraphrase a NFL coach, “The preds are who I thought they were.” I knew coming into this series that it would be rough on both sets of fans. I don’t see it getting any easier for the next few games. I believe the Hawks have the tools to beat any team in the NHL in a seven game series, but it remains to be seen if the tools are used consistently. We have two hard fought games behind us, and more to come.
I would obviously like to see the Hawks win out, but the only way I would bet on it is if I was using my ex-wifes money. >:-)
I would be willing to bet that antacid sales are rising sharply with the way the “Stanley Sixteen” is going…

/Note unceasing sarcastic laughter in background.

by burpchelischili on Apr 19, 2010 10:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

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