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Predators Game Day Preview: Chicago @ Nashville, Game 4

[SB Nation] - [Second City Hockey] - [ NHL] - [Chicago Tribune] - [Tennessean]

Tonight, the Nashville Predators have a chance to do something they've never done: put a team on the cusp of elimination in the Stanley Cup Playoffs. History shows that when a team goes up 3 games to 1, they have a 91.3 % chance of advancing to uncharted territory.

The problem? The Chicago Blackhawks are mad as hornets. They've been outscored, outworked, outhit, and out-goaltended. Tonight will be the biggest test of their character this season, and failure to respond would mean disaster. 

Star-divide

Ten thoughts on tonight's game:

  • Despite all the hullabaloo about Chicago's wonderful shot differential, the Predators put 35 shots on Antti Niemi compared to just 27 on Pekka Rinne in Game 3. Do that again and I'd bet the results are similar. 

  • Speaking of Pekka Rinne, remember how pundits said he had to be spectacular for Nashville to win? Gaaleaders_medium
  • David Legwand has been the best skater in this series, and its not close. He leads the series with 5 points (1 GWG, 4 assists), all while holding Jonathan Toews and Marian Hossa to 2 points and a combined -6. 
  • While the Predators' power play still hasn't broken through, Game 3 was encouraging. They were able to hold the zone and generate good chances for extended periods.
  • I haven't been particularly impressed with the play of Jordin Tootoo. In fact, the only time I noticed him on Tuesday was when he missed a huge check in the offensive zone. A little disappointing for a player who had vastly improved his game early in the year. 
  • Signs are pointing to the Hawks' Brian Campbell playing tonight, which is a significant help in terms of breaking the Preds' "crazy good" forecheck. While I don't advocate injuring another player, a solid Shea Weber or Francis Bouillon check could be just what the doctor ordered to keep 'Soupy' off his game.
  • One advantage that some weren't anticipating at the beginning of the series is in the coaching department. Barry Trotz has (so far) outsmarted Joel Quenneville, showing a willingness to adapt as the game progresses. 
  • Hawks fans are calling on Chicago to bring more effort than Nashville tonight. If there's one thing I've learned, its that while the Predators will get outplayed or outclassed, they'll almost never get outworked. 
  • Joel Ward and Kevin Klein each recorded their first career playoff points on Tuesday (goal and assist respectively). Here's to more tonight. Also, in a bit of a strange one, Dan Hamhuis led all Preds in ice time. 
  • Finally, if you're headed to the game, the team needs an even stronger effort from the crowd tonight. They fed off your energy on Tuesday, but this is a wounded Hawks team that will be looking for blood from the get-go. Make noise, get on your feet, whatever- just bring it. 

Lineups

Nashville:

Forwards
Wilson - Arnott - Erat
Sullivan - Goc - Ward
Smithson - Legwand - Dumont
Tootoo - Spaling - Boyd
Defense
Suter - Weber
Hamhuis - Franson
Bouillon - Klein

Pekka Rinne

#35 / Goalie / Nashville Predators

6-5

206

Nov 03, 1982

GP MIN W L EGA GA GAA SA SV SV% SO
2009 - Pekka Rinne 3 177 2 1 4 1.35 86 82 .953 0

Chicago:

Some changes, per SCH. Namely Ben Eager and Colin Fraser out, Adam Burish and Bryan Bickell in. 

Forwards
Bickell - Toews - Kane
Hossa - Sharp - Kopecky
Ladd - Bolland - Versteeg
Brouwer - Madden - Burish
Defense
Keith - Seabrook
Hjalmarsson - Byfuglien
Sopel - Hendry

Antti Niemi

#31 / Goalie / Chicago Blackhawks

6-2

210

Aug 29, 1983

GP MIN W L EGA GA GAA SA SV SV% SO
2009 - Antti Niemi 3 179 1 2 82 2.01 82 76 .927 1

Fearless Prediction

I'm desperately trying to stay realistic when it comes to the result of this series. The problem? This team is playing the negativity right out of my mind. Its Joel Ward, Shea Weber, David Legwand, heck, even The Cube has earned a place in Preds lore at this point. Despite all my good feelings, however, doubts linger that the Predators can bring an identical effort tonight. Chicago 3, Nashville 2 (OT).

Comment 23 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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I think if this building is rocking, there’s no way these Hawks will go out with a win. I never was in this building before but I can imagine what the heck is going on there! Come on Preds, two more WINS!!

by Alexander Priss on Apr 22, 2010 5:15 AM EDT reply actions  

who needs realism???

Come on Dirk, if I want realisism, I’ll look at a game preview for any other hockey site. I’m here for the Predators and optimism. I think the team deserves it the way they’ve been playing.

That being said, my prediction is Nashville 3, Chicago 2. Unless we get a couple empty netters at the end.

TN Sports fan in Hoosier Country....

by Evanbio on Apr 22, 2010 8:02 AM EDT reply actions  

Just calling it like I see it. Chicago’s too good to not show up again. I think it’ll be close because we’ve been the better team, but not quite enough.

On the Forecheck/Twitter/CLS
"What do you think this is? Major League Baseball?"- Shea Weber

by Chris Burton on Apr 22, 2010 9:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

Nothing wrong with slow playing your hand

We have to respect our opponent, and thinking that we’re going to crush this team for lack of effort is foolish. The Preds will have to break their will, and the crowd will have to stay in the game.

It can be done. The hawks aren’t as invincible as people thought. Still dangerous though.

by ExcellenceThroughGuesswork on Apr 22, 2010 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks

Since the playoff pairings were determined, we’ve seen and heard all sorts of experts pick Chicago’s glamor team over Nashville’s “ugly ducklings of the NHL,” as Pierre LeBrun puts it. It hasn’t been heartening to see that consensus parroted in one of the Predators’ better blogs. Let’s hope our Preds pay as much attention to this guy as they have all the others.

by Hockey Hillbilly on Apr 22, 2010 11:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

Just so we’re clear, I picked the Preds in seven if we won game one, which we did. Don’t confuse thinking Chicago will eke out a win with me predicting the apocalypse. Fact is, Chicago has to win three games. We only have to win two.

I can’t sit here and write something that I don’t think will be true. Thats what a blog is: its for the author’s thoughts; and those are mine today. I want them to prove me wrong tonight worse than anything.

On the Forecheck/Twitter/CLS
"What do you think this is? Major League Baseball?"- Shea Weber

by Chris Burton on Apr 22, 2010 1:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

TO BE FAIR!!!

Chris is often wrong in his predictions! =P Hahaha!

NHL 10 for XBox 360 is like paying $60 for bipolar disorder...
Go Predators!!!

by Poiju on Apr 22, 2010 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

Err...

Dirk too… Hell, no matter how much I love this team, I would NEVER bet on game they were involved in.

NHL 10 for XBox 360 is like paying $60 for bipolar disorder...
Go Predators!!!

by Poiju on Apr 22, 2010 4:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

But...

Chris has guessed the winner of all 3 games in this series correct, I believe.

Graphic Designer/Researcher/Writer at Music City Miracles.
Official Graphic Goon of On The Forecheck.

by Aditya T (smashville) on Apr 22, 2010 5:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

SHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!

On the Forecheck/Twitter/CLS
"What do you think this is? Major League Baseball?"- Shea Weber

by Chris Burton on Apr 22, 2010 5:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

That was last week!

This week started today and it’s completely different!

NHL 10 for XBox 360 is like paying $60 for bipolar disorder...
Go Predators!!!

by Poiju on Apr 22, 2010 5:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

First off, Chris not Dirk wrote this piece. Second, he’s giving an honest evaluation. Isn’t that what he should do. If you want blind homerism you can listen to yourself I assume.

"You ever use smelling salts, every time you type a bad blog?" Brooks Laich

by Carl Putnam on Apr 22, 2010 2:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

caravan from Chatt again

leaving at 5:00 from downtown if anyone’s interested…
Here’s to hoping the boys are as pumped up as we are about tonite. No doubt the ‘Hawks will come out with a vengeance, but if the Preds can match their intensity from Game 3, I don’t see how we could lose.
LET’S GO PREDS!

by Broadwaybully on Apr 22, 2010 8:45 AM EDT reply actions  

Realism?!

pashaaaw! If Niemi continues giving up those juicy rebounds, this one wont be close either. That said, REALISM!!!

by southernfriedhockey on Apr 22, 2010 9:10 AM EDT reply actions  

BIG GAME

I think about allt he times that Trotz has given the “pep” talk to this team in the locker room. Tonight has to be the big one. We either go back into Chicago tied 2-2 or we go back with momentum 3-1. We have said it before…but guys, we are staring Round 2 right in the face. This team has been put down by the media from day 1 and proven them wrong. Even now, we get no recognition. It is time to claim what is ours! Nashville has love for the game of hockey and the “backwood hicks” are showing the love. We have overcame so much. I see a huge “Cinderella story” in the making! Go get em boys! Do you realize that if we win this series, that Nashville will be somewhere that we have never been? The momentum will be unreal to us! We may have rioting in the streets! My dream is that one day my team—the Nashville Predators will lift the Stanley Cup in front of there home crowd. Can you see Hornqvist lifting the cup with that excited look on his face? That would be so sweet! And to see Jason Arnott lift it again………fellow Preds fans….it could happen this year. We have the opportunity. GO PREDS!

by SinBinPred on Apr 22, 2010 10:20 AM EDT reply actions  

Burton Burton Burton

“Chicago’s too good to not show up again”
The Preds showed how good WE were, and looked what happened. The Hawks showed up last game – then they got beat down. What happens if WE show up again? If you want to ‘believe’ that Chicago is a better team, by all means believe it. But I ‘believe’ that WE are the better TEAM. In our town, in our building, with two nights in their own beds, with our crowd, with our noise AND matching the line change?
I’ve got to go with the Preds tonight. I’ll be bringing it, like every other game, from my seats, challenging negative nancys and screaming myself hoarse.
Preds 4-2.

by cisar on Apr 22, 2010 12:28 PM EDT reply actions   2 recs

I agree with you- Nashville is the better team. Chicago didn’t score the 3rd most goals in the league for no reason, though; and they have to know a loss tonight means heads will roll.

On the Forecheck/Twitter/CLS
"What do you think this is? Major League Baseball?"- Shea Weber

by Chris Burton on Apr 22, 2010 1:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

only thing that scares me

is this team has never had any sense of killer instinct. I hope that changes tonight.

Section 326 is in the house!!!

by beta103 on Apr 22, 2010 12:33 PM EDT reply actions  

Believe...

We’ve never been in this position before…never had the opportunity to break an opponents’ back in the playoffs. This is a hungry team…more focused than any other Preds team I’ve seen. They can do it…have faith (some of us have alot more than others).

by TitanPredBearFan on Apr 22, 2010 12:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm with you TPBD ...

I think this team is very aware of the opportunity they have, and they aren’t going to let the proverbial foot off the gas pedal now. I think Campbell’s return will have an impact, though. So, I’m predicting we only win 3-1 tonight (with one being an empty-netter). Go Preds!

by expatwildcat on Apr 22, 2010 12:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Dear Predators

Please put the Blackhawks on the brink of elimination. Once long ago I didn’t mind the Blackhawks that much, but then I met some of their fans. I know you may not like Sharks, or their fans from our past encounters, but please put Blackhawk fans in a near suicidal state. That would be amazing.

Thanks,
Sharks fans

"Douglas Murray is a humongous human being." – Drew Remenda

by Evilducks on Apr 22, 2010 1:10 PM EDT reply actions  

RE: Dear Predators

We’re cool now. At least until this series is over.

Thank you!
Preds fans

NHL 10 for XBox 360 is like paying $60 for bipolar disorder...
Go Predators!!!

by Poiju on Apr 22, 2010 4:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

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