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Which one area is most important for the Nashville Predators to fix this summer?

While the Nashville Predators surprised most outside observers by reaching the 100-point plateau and qualifying for the playoffs last year, there is certainly work to be done to build upon that success and take the franchise to new heights.

The question before you today, Preds fans, is which single statistical area is most important to improving the team? Follow after the jump for a few suggestions, but feel free to make your own case in the comments if you have another area for consideration...

Star-divide

Power Play

Complaining about power play performance is a long-standing tradition in Nashville, but in the 2009-10 season the Preds' PP sank to new depths. Whether measured by the traditional PP percentage (which has its flaws) or by the 5-on-4 goal-scoring rate from Behind the Net, the power play hasn't exactly been something to fear from the Predators over the last three seasons. We look here only at 5-on-4 goal scoring because other situations (5-on-3, 4-on-3) reflect a tiny minority of PP ice time (less than 10%). A more typical GF/60 rate (around 6.0, for example) would have yielded 7-8 more goals over the course of a season.

Nashville Predators Power Play
2007-8 2008-9 2009-10
 PP % 14.8 (27th) 15.7 (26th) 16.4 (24th)
 5-on-4 GF/60 5.2 (23rd) 4.9 (28th) 5.0 (29th)

What are the prospects looking ahead here? Jason Arnott was one of the few effective PP scorers, and will likely be replaced by a stronger role for Colin Wilson, along with the newly acquired Matt Lombardi.

Penalty Killing

Normally a "core competence" of the Nashville Predators, the penalty kill took an unexpected dive last season. That 8.2 GA/60 rate, if brought to the league average of around 6.0, would have saved about 13 goals.

Nashville Predators Penalty Kill
2007-8 2008-9 2009-10
 PK % 85.4 (3rd) 82.5 (10th) 77.1 (28th)
 4-on-5 GA/60 4.6 (2nd) 5.1 (3rd) 8.2 (27th)

The pairing of Dan Hamhuis and Kevin Klein took the brunt of the damage here, so will the departure of Hammer actually lead to an improved PK? I doubt it, as he was a big part of the successful units in prior years as well. Lombardi played a supporting role on the PK in Phoenix, and handled himself well, but it remains to be seen how the Preds will re-establish their dominance here.

Faceoffs

As I chronicled in nauseating detail a few weeks ago, the faceoff-winning performance of the Predators varied widely last season. The basic FO% stat on NHL.com doesn't reflect the fact that teams on the power play win about 55% of their faceoffs, and PK'ers (naturally) about 45%, and an imbalance in workload, either at the individual or team level, can skew the results.

It looks like Jerred Smithson and Marcel Goc were the standout performers for Nashville, but the question becomes, do you want to give them an expanded role merely to take advantage of their ability to win draws? Or do you target them for especially important ones, i.e. defensive and offensive zone, but not so much at center ice?

Poll
Which one statistical area of the team do the Nashville Predators most need to improve upon in 2010-11?
Faceoffs
8 votes
Penalty Kill
47 votes
Power Play
237 votes
other
7 votes

299 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 20 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Frustrating

I’m more aggravated by the fact our Penalty kill slipped so much, than the power play, which has been a thorn in Trotz’s foot since day one.

I’m optimistic about this year, but if nothing changes, there has to be a shakeup in the assistant coaching staff.

The Home of Cellblock 303 - Section303.com

by codeyh on Jul 5, 2010 9:19 AM EDT reply actions  

Personally, I disagree that the departure of Hamhuis won’t improve the penalty kill. Hamhuis may have been an important part of the penalty kill in the past, but that was when he was paired effectively with other defensemen who could lead the pairing. Trotz’s stubborn insistence that Klein and Hamhuis be put on the ice in penalty kill situations was mind boggling. He won’t have the option of screwing that up anymore.

I think Klein suffered from being paired with Hamhuis more than Hamhuis suffered being paired with Klein. Klein was quite good when paired with Bouillon. Now he’ll have another year under his belt and we should see a much improved Klein as a result.

The power play is horrendous. I can’t understand why Horachek still has a job. Putting Sullivan on the point, breaking up normal line combinations, having a design plan that includes dump and chase, pass around the perimeter until Weber can take a shot that oft times misses by a wide margine isn’t a good plan. No one is ever in front of the net, no one is ever positioned low post. The power play needs to improve the most. I believe it was this one aspect of the Preds game that kept them from beating Chicago in round one.

by Predaceous on Jul 5, 2010 10:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

Powerless Play

Nashville’s 5-on-4 put the Predators at a “man disadvantage” last season. What has long been a team weakness—except, perhaps, in the two years Paul Kariya was a Pred—became an embarrassment. Why Peter Horachek still draws a paycheck is entirely beyond me.

The PK is bound to revert to form now that Dan Hamhuis and Kevin Klein will not be playing on the same blue line.

by Hockey Hillbilly on Jul 5, 2010 11:32 AM EDT reply actions  

improvement in face-offs leads to better PP

Can’t put the cart before the horse here. With a better face-off percentage, comes a better power play. Lombardi should help with that and Colin Wilson was quite a face-off stud in college, let’s just hope that translates to the NHL level.

While the PP is the obvious answer, I voted forr face-offs because better face-offs = more sustained time in the zone. Which, in turn, = more power play chances. Which, in turn, = (hopefully) more power play goals.

Jeremy K. Gover
section303.com

by Gover on Jul 5, 2010 12:00 PM EDT reply actions  

2 tied together

the PP sucks and seemingly always has. i believe the real answer is the connection of winning faceoffs and the PK. losing nichol and fiddler hurt us tremendously on the dot. they were both good PKillers, but i think their faceoff expertise had as much to do w/ that as anything. i actually like the lombardi signing w/ the one exception of his faceoffs. while i agree w/ gover that faceoffs help the PP, nichol and fiddler did little work there so the regaining the edge in our zone will go a long way toward determining our ranking while short a man. until last year PK has typically been a strength. the demise of it last year was more of our detriment than the PP IMO. we seem to be accustomed to winning w/o a good PP.

by predswilrule on Jul 5, 2010 12:30 PM EDT reply actions  

Magnify

The penalth kill is only magnified because the PP is so ineffective. Everyone is picking on Horacheck but it’s Trotz who’s the man in charge. He says what goes on. Trotz designates who does what like Petersen handles the defense pairing and Horachek handles the forward pairings. So specifically does Horachek handle the PP? I think it’s a collective effort with Trotz the final say. I think they should bring in a PP specialist coach. They have a coach for goaltending why not for the PP. There are many problems connected with the PP. The first is they have no let’s say quarterback to man the PP either on the first unit or second one. The players that usually carry the puck into our zone are Erat and Suter. Sometimes Sully or Legwand will carry the puck in. Erat is most effective but he has problems too. Suter just slams the puck in and we play dump and chase. Sully tries to split the D and more times than not looses the puck. Legwand can usually get the puck in the zone but his first pass once he does that is always bad. The other teams have figured our game plan as well. They know that Weber fires missles so they don’t let him get wound up. When the obvious play is to move the puck down low we continue to fire from the point which they knows is coming. When Kariya was here he quarterbacked from the sideboards and now Erat and Legwand tries to do that as well without much sucess. Erat is the most effective. Legwand shouldn’t be on the PP in my opinion he makes too many bad passes but they have all camp to get him to relax and let the play come to him. There is just no imagination on our PP at all. I know if I can figure out what they are doing then the other team can see it as well. Please get Sully off the point!!!!

by roseyc on Jul 5, 2010 1:00 PM EDT reply actions  

The team needs to slay a two headed monster …. 5on4 scoring and PK faceoffs.

When the team’s scoring is 11th or better in every ES or PP situation except for 5on4 that’s an easy one to spot as a glaring problem. With our top PP TOI forward gone we’re forced to at least switch up personnel and hopefully put Sully back on the left halfboards where he does best.

We had only one guy with more than ten PK draws who was over 50% at the dot … Smithson, and one just below 50% .. Goc. That was a significant drop from 08-09 where the team enjoyed 4 players in the high 40s-50s percentage wise at the PK dot with a significant number of draws. I might be misremembering events which didn’t happen, but, it sure seemed that a lot of the goals we gave up on the PK were immediately following lost draws in our zone.

by 101st on Jul 5, 2010 1:44 PM EDT reply actions  

Jibes all too well (painfully?) with my memory, too.

by Hockey Hillbilly on Jul 5, 2010 2:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Faceoffs

winning faceoffs make it easier to clear the puck faster on the pk, and keep the puck in the zone on the PP. Granted they both need improvements away from the dot as well, but a good start can set the tone for the rest of the 2 minutes.

by flyalder on Jul 5, 2010 1:57 PM EDT reply actions  

*the self imposed spending limit

Poile could do scary things if he could add some more offense.

On a related note, power play. What if their PP was actually good this past season? Bye bye Chicago? Defense is good enough, and PP boosts the offense really fast.

Cидни Kросби: Александр Oвечкин, он твой папа теперь
матовая Клими, Михал нуивирт ваш папа теперь
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by red army line on Jul 5, 2010 2:35 PM EDT reply actions  

player development

Development of Kevin Klein will probably be the biggest question mark next season. Klein’s inconsistent play last season cost Nashville about 6 to 8 games alone… he tends to be weak on the Puck from time to time, which must be addressed. He has the. Physical ability to body up… Ala Shea Weber And Ryan surer style, but often lets up on opposing players. This flaw is especially true behind and infringement of the net. He often looks like a spectator when on the pk. Other players must develop too. Wilson must take a bigger role as well as the new comer from Wisconsin.

If Klein continues to struggle, the predators are better off eating his oneway contract in millwaukee.

by jjcarlso on Jul 5, 2010 2:45 PM EDT reply actions  

For a vivid reminder of Klein’s need to develop, see:
http://video.nhl.com/videocenter/console?id=61864

by Hockey Hillbilly on Jul 5, 2010 4:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ouch, I had tried to block that from my memory. Hopefully we will not see a play like that again this upcoming year.

by jerseypredsfan on Jul 5, 2010 4:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

worst part is..

Hammer trips over Klein on his way to try to intercept! So glad 2-8 is no longer a possibility. I’d like to see Klein get better, hopefully playing more with the Cube will help.

by DonBorvio on Jul 6, 2010 3:52 AM EDT up reply actions  

Datsyuk did that to much more seasoned veterans than Klein. I can’t really get down on him for being one in a long line of Datsyuk’s takeaway victims. Especially given his level of experience. However, did you see Hamhuis spin, bounce off a Red Wing like a pinball then trip himself over Klein? This is one example of why I hated that pairing. Hamhuis had no business being the leading that defensive pairing. Klein played much better when paired with Bouillon. I wonder why that is.

I also read an article by Glennon where he specifically mentioned Hamhuis’ blunderings and how Klein had to overcompensate for the fact that Hammer was constantly out of position. I think we’ll see a marked improvement in Klein this season. He’s finally has a full year under his belt, and Hamhuis is gone.

by Predaceous on Jul 5, 2010 5:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

Penalty Kill

I think the PK needs more work than anything, although the Pred’s are a very disciplined bunch having a weakness like that stands out. The PP is nothing special But, various times last year they had some above average success, and with there solid yet unspectacular 5 on 5 play it seems to somewhat even out. Losing Fiddler and Nichol killed us in that regard. They showed a few small flashes of solid penalty killing in the playoffs, so we shall see Lombardi should help in that regard and Kostitsyn if we sign him.

by hitmaneraser21 on Jul 5, 2010 5:31 PM EDT reply actions  

The Killer instinct is what the team is missing.

Perhaps that comes with confidence and confidence comes from having all your ducks in a row….good power play, disciplined pk….etc. Last season it got pretty frustrating watching games the team was winning, hoping they didn’t cough up the lead by letting off the gas. Great teams know how to go for the jugular when they’re ahead….we could use more of that.

by Tim P on Jul 5, 2010 6:56 PM EDT reply actions  

More Scoring Fix the Powerplay!!!!

An even scoring differential for the year tells me that the pred need to fix the powerplay. To many times the preds play what I call the a four corners style of powerplay. From the goal line to the top of the left/right circle to the opposite side back to the goal line or behind the net back to the top again. Too many times it seemed that the team was trying to get the best shot instead of just shooting at the net. I prefer the Redwings style of powerplay. Shoot from the puck from anywhere and create opportunities to score. They had a plus thirteen scoring differential for the year. Fix the powerplay =more scoring….. More Predators wins.

by jmkiii58 on Jul 6, 2010 12:27 PM EDT reply actions  

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