Nick Spaling 2011-2012 Season Preview - Completing the puzzle

NASHVILLE, TN - OCTOBER 01: Nick Spaling #13 of the Nashville Predators passes the puck past Zac Dalpe #22 of the Carolina Hurricanes at the Bridgestone Arena on October 1, 2011 in Nashville, Tennessee. (Photo by Frederick Breedon/Getty Images)

One of the great surprises from the 2010-2011 Nashville Predators season was the development of Nick Spaling as a penalty killer and checking forward, which saw him assume a regular spot in the lineup. He moved ahead of more heralded draft picks, and is being touted for an even more prominent position on this year's team.


Nick Spaling

#13 / Center / Nashville Predators

6-1

198

Sep 19, 1988

2011-2012 Salary: $1 million Restricted Free Agent in 2013

Drafted in 2nd Round (58th) by Nashville in 2007

74 GP 8 Goals 6 Assists -10, 20 PIM, 75 Shots, Avg. Ice Time 13:56


What are Nick's prospects for delivering the goods and becoming a productive two-way forward this season? We'll examine them after the jump...

2010-2011 Recap

Nick actually didn't make the Preds out of training camp, but those injuries at center required a call-up in mid-October. He formed a pairing with Jerred Smithson, spending a great deal of time killing penalties and battling other teams' top forwards at even strength.

In the playoffs, he burst through in Games 5 & 6 against Anaheim, scoring two goals in the series-clinching game, and while he added just two assists in the Vancouver series, one of them was on the famous Halischuk double-OT winner in Game 2. Those kinds of memorable moments punctuated a postseason performance that saw him finish 4th on the Predators in scoring.

Milestones Within Reach

None.

Advanced Stats (5-on-5)

Color Key (compared to all player-seasons from 2009-10 & 2010-11 for centers with > 20 GP) Best 10% Best 30% Worst 30% Worst 10%

Individual Numbers (5-on-5)

Season GP TOI Goals/60 Assists/60 Points/60 Shots/60 Shoot % Pn Draw/60 Pn Take/60
2010 28 9.18 0 0.7 0.7 5.14 0.00% 0.00 0.00
2011 74 10.98 0.44 0.44 0.89 4.87 9.03% 0.70 0.70
Average 51 10.08 0.22 0.57 0.79 5.00 4.51% 0.70 0.70

Hmm... the results so far haven't been encouraging if we're looking for offensive production. One could make the argument that so far in his career he's been asked to play more of a heads-down, checking kind of game, but we haven't seen consistent playmaking so far.

Team metrics while on-ice (5-on-5)

Season Corsi Net Zone Starts Adjusted Corsi Team Shoot % Team Save % PDO
2010 -5.60 +3 -6.38 5.26 969 1022
2011 -8.72 -67 -3.10 6.12 924 985
Average -7.16 -32 -4.74 5.69 946.5 1004

Once you take the defensive responsibilities into consideration (see the negative Zone Starts), his Adjusted Corsi is only mildly negative, showing that as a young player pressed into service he did a pretty fair job dealing with adversity.

Special Teams

Spaling ended up 2nd among Nashville forwards in PK time per game, and appears slated for a similar workload this season. If anything, he and Smithson may need to pick up even more time there, considering the departure of Joel Ward via free agency, who was also a penalty killing stalwart.

Shot Chart

As we look at Spaling's Even Strength shots from last season, blue are low-frequency shooting areas, red are high-frequency:

Spaling_medium

Blast From The Past

Nick received rave reviews from many observers at the end of the 2009 Development Camp, in which he stood out from the field:

Now there is something that myself, John Glennon, Paul McCann, and many others do agree on - that Nick Spaling has taken a big step forward and stands out from the pack with an all-around polish to his game. What I look for on days like this is a forward who can execute at high speed, make and accept strong, accurate passes, and use his speed or size to separate from defenders. They're not ripping their best slap shots or getting a chance to show their hockey sense in a 5-on-5 scrimmage situation, but you take what you can get, and Spaling just seems very slick compared to the other prospects right now. Might that translate into a 4th-line/PK opportunity this fall? It could be...

Video Highlight

Here was a slick piece of work he pulled off against the Canucks:


Outlook For 2011-2012

The Positive: Develops into Vern Fiddler 2.0, able to provide spot duty among the Top 6 forwards while serving a primarily defensive role.

The Negative: Fails to rise above the 3rd-line and PK role from last season, hobbling the scoring wingers he's centering before that realization sets in.

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