Trying to make sense of Nashville's Brian McGrattan claim
This afternoon's news that the Nashville Predators claimed enforcer Brian McGrattan from the Anaheim Ducks, and placed Zack Stortini on waivers, has many Preds fans scratching their heads, not just due to the swap of these two players, but in light of other roster developments as well.
The more I think about it, the more I wonder if there might be broader implications from this move. Join me after the jump for some pure speculation...
Stortini vs. McGrattan comparison
This swap of Stortini for McGrattan represents an upgrade in fisticuffs, but a downgrade in hockey talent. At least Stortini averaged between 7 and 9 minutes a game over the last few years; McGrattan's range has been more like 3 or 4. In 14 of the 34 games he played in his last NHL season, McGrattan spent more time in the penalty box than he did on the ice (by point of contrast, that only happened in 3 of 15 games for the late Wade Belak).
In the old-school (and I'd argue, outdated) mindset that drives teams to employ enforcers, McGrattan represents an ICBM-class deterrent to opponents who might mess with your stars. The problem is that in the modern NHL, these enforcers haven't been shown to really prevent anything, as they aren't even on the ice long enough to make an impression.
So here's how his value to the Predators strikes me - McGrattan is more of a specialist in the role of tough guy, without even the pretense of adding to the team's forecheck or penalty killing.
23-Man Squeeze
We also face the issue of the 23-man Active Roster, which is about to come under pressure as Mike Fisher and Francis Bouillon come off Injured Reserve. In light of those developments, I could understand why Stortini might be sent through waivers in the hopes of assigning him to Milwaukee, but again, why bring in McGrattan at the same time?
3 Lines vs. 4 Lines
Maybe, then, the Preds are going through a change in mindset as regards their forward lineup. Rather than spread the ice time out relatively evenly across four lines (only Stortini is averaging less than 10 minutes per game right now), they could look to move to a 3-line setup, with the remaining three forward spots taken up by specialists who play only rarely at even strength. Such a roster might consist of a dedicated power play/shootout man (for example, Cal O'Reilly), a penalty killing checker (someone like Jerred Smithson or Matt Halischuk), and a goon (McGrattan) filling specific roles, while three main lines did most of the heavy lifting.
The problem with such a lineup is that shortening the bench up front has not typically been a smart move for Nashville, a team loaded with good, but not great, forwards ("death by a thousand bee stings", indeed). A sample lineup might look as follows:
Wilson - Legwand - Smith
Kostitsyn - Fisher - Erat (once healthy)
Smithson - Spaling - Hornqvist
Halischuk - O'Reilly - McGrattan
Even with this group, I've left names like Jordin Tootoo, Niclas Bergfors, and Blake Geoffrion out of the mix, but they could just as easily be swapped into the 3rd or 4th lines, as two forwards watch from the press box each night (assuming the Preds want to continue carrying 22 or 23 guys with the team).
Still, we're currently looking at 15 forwards, who could use a jolt of star power if they're really going to run with more of a 3-lines-and-some-supporting-specialists mindset.
A Quantity for Quality Trade In The Works?
Perhaps, then, the Predators may be positioned to make a trade in order to relieve some of the numerical pressure on their roster and upgrade their Top 9 talent up front. While some guys like Blake Geoffrion could be sent to Milwaukee and help pare the Active Roster to 23, most of the other names (Bergfors, O'Reilly, Halischuk, etc.) would require waivers to go down, and would almost certainly get claimed.
So which teams might make a trade partner in such a scenario? Anyone looking to undertake a long-term rebuild and shed mid- to high-price talent, I would think. I'll leave the identification of possibilities as an exercise for the comments below...
To sum up:
- The presence of McGrattan on the roster undermines the ability of the team to field a competitive 4th line
- If the Preds want to focus more ice time on the top 3 lines, they need an influx of established star-quality talent
- The Predators will soon be under pressure from the 23 Active Player max, and have a limited number of players who could head to Milwaukee without passing through waivers (Blake Geoffrion, Colin Wilson, Craig Smith, Jonathon Blum, Mattias Ekholm & Anders Lindback).
- There is supposedly room in the budget to add talent at some point during the season, with the mid-point of the cap range ($56.3 million) being the likely upper limit of their range
Now remember - this is pure speculation on my part. For all we know, David Poile may be content to have McGrattan watch from the press box most of the time, and stands ready to send younger players to Milwaukee when Fisher and Bouillon return to active duty.
So what do you think? Do you smell further moves coming as a result of this, and if so, which teams might make viable trading partners?
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Comments
did you mean O’Reilly instead of O’brien?
60% of the time it works every time
by Creeping Death on Oct 11, 2011 10:29 PM EDT reply actions
yes, corrected now
Managing Editor of On the Forecheck, SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators, and founder of HockeyGearHQ, a site devoted to hockey equipment and accessories.
Trade Mcgratten and Hillen for Rookie Gretzky.
World Wide Weber.
There is no tenderness or humanity in fanaticism.
~Joe Strummer
+1
The truth is always the right answer....
by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on Oct 12, 2011 12:34 PM EDT up reply actions
Hell...
…I’d rather have Dumont back on a 3rd or 4th line rather than McGratten. Didn’t J.P. get a hat trick with the Halischuk/Mueller line?
I don’t know about this one. I’m perplexed.
"Our strength is our numbers. We're like a pack of wolves. We're going to come after you." - Barry Trotz
Dear LORD!!!
Please take away any and all references to Jean Pierre being a servicable forward on this FREAKING TEAM!!!!
There’s a reason he’s not playing in North America—or anywhere else for that matter!
Geesh!!
by turd-ferguson on Oct 12, 2011 12:34 AM EDT up reply actions
Poile making a trade for offense, LOL!
Dirk is clearly working to hard and long these days……..get a good 8hrs of sleep in and re-read your speculation here. :D
What will probably happen is that we’ll unload Cal for a 4th round pick and put Bregfors on waivers and lose him for nothing. This seems more in line with previous situations like this for this organization.
Check out the injury lists for teams already. If there are any good forwards being made available by any team, there will be a whole lot of competition for those players (Carolina is at the front of that line right now).
Defense keeps you in games........offense wins them!
by Grizzledbear on Oct 11, 2011 11:50 PM EDT via mobile reply actions
Bergfors………talk about needing sleep. :/
Defense keeps you in games........offense wins them!
by Grizzledbear on Oct 11, 2011 11:51 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Nah, we'll just put them on waivers and lose them for nothing....
….see: Jones, Peverley, Dekanich, Santorelli, etc.
Making moves ain’t our style. We don’t have enough room under our cap to sign a legit scorer, plus the triplets, which I think is what they wanna do the most.
Weber for Taylor Hall.
The truth is always the right answer....
by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on Oct 12, 2011 12:38 PM EDT up reply actions
Unload Cal?!
I’m not liiiiistening!
LALALALALALA!!!
Hands go uuppp..... AND THEY STAY THERE!
-nashvillepredators-
Trade Hillen to Colorado for that guy...
I think his name is SHANE O’BRIEN! I dont see why Poile is screwing around with these “Enforcer” players when Shane O’Brien did that job just fine last year. Not to mention he averaged 17 minutes a game and was a top PK defenseman( Which many people forget). And while Poile’s at it, he should call up Toronto and get Lombardi and Franson back.
by TheEraser35 on Oct 12, 2011 12:25 AM EDT reply actions 2 recs
I believe Brian Burke called “no backsies” on the Lombardi/Franson deal.
Managing Editor of On the Forecheck, SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators, and founder of HockeyGearHQ, a site devoted to hockey equipment and accessories.
by Dirk Hoag on Oct 12, 2011 7:14 AM EDT up reply actions 2 recs
The SOB debacle was maddening.
A collossal blunder for sure.
Anybody know how to spell colossal?
The truth is always the right answer....
by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on Oct 12, 2011 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions
M-c-G-r-a-t-t-a-n
Managing Editor of On the Forecheck, SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators, and founder of HockeyGearHQ, a site devoted to hockey equipment and accessories.
by Dirk Hoag on Oct 12, 2011 12:55 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
I thought that was how you spell “blunder”
by Melissa Vanderpool Wallace on Oct 12, 2011 1:10 PM EDT up reply actions
Could it be...
That DP just picked up McGratten as an insurance policy in case Stortini was claimed by someone else? Just so we’d still have a fighter somewhere in the system? If Stortini clears then we go ahead and put McGratten back on the waiver wire and not care if someone else nabs him.
There’s usually method in what we many times consider Poile’s madness, so making judgments about this trade is premature. Really, there is no telling what he has up his sleeve. But like most here, I just wish we had O’brien back! That is the only trade I can’t make sense of. ‘sigh’
"I am you, you are me, and we are all together" Beatles
You can't make sense of it because it makes no sense
It wasn’t even a trade. They just let him walk and sign for less in Colorado. At least Washington is paying Joel Ward, so his absence makes financial sense.
by Melissa Vanderpool Wallace on Oct 12, 2011 1:08 PM EDT up reply actions
Poor Joel. I miss him. He was a machine.
Hands go uuppp..... AND THEY STAY THERE!
-nashvillepredators-
As much as I miss Ward,
I wouldn’t describe him as poor. He got a nice payday going to Washington, and he gets to play with Vokoun now. They can trade old Trotzy stories…. besides, I’m hearing that the DC folks are warming to him really fast for his shutdown role (with the potential for bonus scoring)
by Only Fan In J.C. ? on Oct 12, 2011 11:37 PM EDT up reply actions
Not the first time
Poile has traded out sluggers on the eve of Opening Night. Remember that Wade Belak was a late addition to the team when Nick Tarnasky shipped out to Florida.
by Hockey Hillbilly on Oct 12, 2011 9:59 AM EDT reply actions
…Nick Tarnasky? I don’t know who that IS, and I’m pretty sure I’ve never heard of him. Funny.
Hands go uuppp..... AND THEY STAY THERE!
-nashvillepredators-
Nick played 11 games for us before the Belak trade in 2008. Over the summer he signed with Vityaz Chekhov of the KHL.
by Hockey Hillbilly on Oct 12, 2011 7:54 PM EDT up reply actions
optimal words
“watch from the press box each night”
I wouldnt be surprised if McG is back on waivers and never suits up in a preds uni. Poile made a head scratcher for sure….I was thinking we didnt need another fighter and that was the reason for not keeping Belak around.
it was retirement time for Belak
he was having a lot of physical difficulty and pain, and he was ready to close out the NHL career.
by Only Fan In J.C. ? on Oct 12, 2011 5:28 PM EDT up reply actions

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