Nashville Predators 30-Game Report Card: The Wingers

It's OK, Big Ern. In this case, fighting helps you on this Report Card.

It's time to wrap up our series of 30-Game Report Cards with the wingers, the guys whose job it is to battle along the boards and light up the scoreboard for the Nashville Predators. Which one are delivering the results, and which need to step up their game?

Just follow after the jump to find out...

Save money on Preds tickets by taking the OTF Discount!

First up, the advanced stats from Behind the Net, including a little extra prestidigitation on my part (legend at bottom). The grades, as with the others in this series, are relative to reasonable expectations for that player heading into this season.

Name GP TOI CORSI CORSI REL Net ZS Adj Corsi SPCT SVPCT PDO G/60 A/60 Pts/60 CORSI Rel QoC CORSI Rel QoT
Martin Erat 22 14.3 -9.14 -5.20 -28 -3.28 10.0 927 1027 0.76 1.33 2.09 +1.37 +1.75
Matt Halischuk 30 10.6 -19.63 -13.30 -16 -16.31 8.3 944 1027 0.94 0.57 1.51 +0.52 -2.74
Patric Hornqvist 29 12.7 +5.23 +18.60 +14 +2.71 6.8 921 989 1.14 0.66 1.80 +0.77 +3.93
Sergei Kostitsyn 24 13.2 -3.42 +7.60 +10 -5.51 7.7 926 1003 0.57 1.33 1.90 +0.64 +1.07
Brian McGrattan 20 5.6 -9.69 +2.30 -4 -7.32 6.5 915 979 0.00 1.08 1.08 -1.38 -5.32
Jordin Tootoo 28 13.0 -15.64 -8.20 -34 -9.48 7.8 946 1025 0.49 0.99 1.48 +0.31 -4.04
Colin Wilson 30 13.6 +3.97 +18.60 +4 +3.32 9.8 881 979 0.44 1.02 1.46 +1.07 +3.96


Martin Erat

#10 / Left Wing / Nashville Predators

6-0

201

Aug 29, 1981

Expectation: Offensive leader



GP G A P +/- PIM PPG SHG GWG
SOG PCT
2011 - Martin Erat 22 5 12 17 2 10 0 1 1 34 14.7

Marty faces the toughest opponents night-in, night-out, and has managed to put up decent results so far, even though his special teams work has been fairly mediocre, both on the power play and penalty kill. Our Christmas wish is to have him enjoy a good stretch of health, as it always seems like an injury or two comes along to derail his season each year.

Grade: B


Matt Halischuk

#24 / Right Wing / Nashville Predators

6-0

185

Jun 01, 1988

Expectation: Depth forward



GP G A P +/- PIM PPG SHG GWG
SOG PCT
2011 - Matt Halischuk 30 6 3 9 1 23 0 0 1 44 13.6

The fans love "Hustlechuk" for the occasional goal which is created by his straight-ahead, hard-charging style of play, but I'm not a fan of how too much of his time is spent in the defensive zone chasing opposing forwards. I will give him credit for doing a good job killing penalties so far this season, but in 5-on-5, there's a real mess here. He boasts the 5th-worst Corsi among all forwards with 20 GP and 10 minutes/game of 5-on-5 in the entire league, and unlike Jerred Smithson, that can't be explained away by a heavy dose of tough defensive Zone Starts.

He's an excellent example of how the stats can point out what's going on between the highlights. Yes, those great plays you see once every week or two are endearing, but it's what happens in between that causes concern. I'd be fine with a 4th line of, say, Smithson-Spaling-Halischuk, but playing him above that level right now leaves the team at a disadvantage.

Grade: C


Patric Hornqvist

#27 / Right Wing / Nashville Predators

6-0

188

Jan 01, 1987

Expectation: Offensive leader



GP G A P +/- PIM PPG SHG GWG
SOG PCT
2011 - Patric Hornqvist 29 8 5 13 0 18 1 0 1 75 10.6

Just call him the Swedish Streak. Outside of a torrid fortnight in late October/early November, Hornqvist has been largely invisible this season (just look at that lack of production on the power play). At least he's still creating shots, so there's hope that the goal-scoring will come around, but things need to pick up soon.

Grade: C-


Sergei Kostitsyn

#74 / Left Wing / Nashville Predators

6-0

207

Mar 20, 1987

Expectation: Two-way Top 6 forward



GP G A P +/- PIM PPG SHG GWG
SOG PCT
2011 - Sergei Kostitsyn 24 4 9 13 -1 16 1 0 0 23 17.3

He earned himself a short stint in Barry Trotz's doghouse during a lackluster early portion of the season, and struggles to assert himself on a consistent basis offensively. He still suffers from the "pass first, second, and third" mentality that has frustrated fans at times, and is actually on pace to put fewer shots on goal than last season.

Grade: C-


Brian McGrattan

#23 / Right Wing / Nashville Predators

6-4

235

Sep 02, 1981

Expectation: Enforcer



GP G A P +/- PIM PPG SHG GWG
SOG PCT
2011 - Brian McGrattan 20 0 2 2 -2 39 0 0 0 6 0

*deep breath*

These grades are set relative to a player's expectation, so you can't complain about McGrattan's performance here. He pounds the snot out of opponents and gets the crowd involved, too. His November 17 bout with Toronto's Jay Rosehill is the top-rated fight of the year at HockeyFights.com, and his battle with New Jersey's Cam Janssen ranks 4th.

Grade: A-


Jordin Tootoo

#22 / Right Wing / Nashville Predators

5-9

199

Feb 2, 1983

Expectation: Two-way forward, agitator



GP G A P +/- PIM PPG SHG GWG
SOG PCT
2011 - Jordin Tootoo 28 4 7 11 -1 45 1 0 1 53 7.5

For the last three weeks or so, Tootoo has been displaying the combination of athleticism, toughness and skill that fans have been awaiting for years. Can he keep it up? There's a contract on the line for this longtime Pred, and it'll be a big one if he can.

The first 19 games were another story, however, as he notched just 3 assists. His overall play is still characterized by forehead-slap-inducing turnovers at times and instances where he gets out of control. In many ways, he reminds me of a young power pitcher in baseball who hasn't learned to take a slight edge off the fastball to gain a bit more accuracy.

He is drawing penalties at a pretty good clip, which is helping to set up what has been a surprisingly strong Nashville power play.

Grade: B


Colin Wilson

#33 / Center / Nashville Predators

6-1

214

Oct 20, 1989

Expectation: Offensive leader



GP G A P +/- PIM PPG SHG GWG
SOG PCT
2011 - Colin Wilson 30 8 11 19 -1 13 4 0 3 55 14.5

Another young forward who is due for a contract this summer, Colin Wilson has definitively taken a step forward this season. His possession numbers are among the very best on the team, and his Plus/Minus of -1 is deceptively low, given the .881 Save Percentage Nashville goalies are putting up while behind him in 5-on-5 play (lowest among the regular players, and you'd be hard-pressed to argue that's Willy's fault).

And the nifty thing is that when you balance how many penalties a guy draws against how many he takes (what I used to tally as Penalty Plus/Minus), Wilson is just a smidge behind Jordin Tootoo in terms of how many power plays he's creating for the Preds. In the offensive zone he's showing greater vision to distribute the puck after creating space for himself, and he's contributing in a larger role on the power play, too.

Grade: A-

Legend
CORSI The balance of Total Shots For & Against per 60 minutes of 5-on-5 while this player is on the ice.
CORSI REL The difference between the team's Corsi when this player is on the ice, and when he's on the bench.
Net ZS How often a player's shift starts in the Offensive Zone minus the Defensive.
Adj Corsi Corsi adjusted for Zone Starts.
SPCT Team Shooting Percentage while this player is on the ice in 5-on-5.
SVPCT Team Save Percentage while this player is on the ice in 5-on-5.
PDO SPCT + SVPCT, this trends strongly towards 1000. Extreme values are typically signs of "puck luck".
G/60 Goals scored by this player per 60 minutes of 5-on-5.
A/60 Assists by this player per 60 minutes of 5-on-5.
Pts/60 Points by this player per 60 minutes of 5-on-5.
CORSI Rel QoC Quality of Competition calculated using Relative Corsi.
CORSI Rel QoT Quality of Teammates calculated using Relative Corsi.
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join On the Forecheck

You must be a member of On the Forecheck to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at On the Forecheck. You should read them.

Join On the Forecheck

You must be a member of On the Forecheck to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at On the Forecheck. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9355_tracker