OtF First Round Prediction Tracker

by OddManRush on Apr 23, 2011 7:02 PM EDT

Before the playoff games kicked off, several of us offered our picks for who would win each series. I grabbed each person's selections in order to track all of our prognostications to see which of us ends up with the most correct choices.

So in the interest of historical accuracy, follow the jump to see everyone's picks in a nice, clean format.

NAME	1 WSH vs 8 NYR	2 PHI vs 7 BUF	3 BOS vs 6 MON	4 PIT vs 5 TB	1 VAN vs 8 CHI	2 SJ vs 7 LA	3 DET vs 6 PHX	4 ANA vs 5 NSH	POINTS
Dirk	WSH in 5	PHI in 6	BOS in 5	TB in 7	VAN in 5	SJ in 5	DET in 7	NSH in 6	14
Chris	WSH in 5	BUF in 7	MON in 6	PIT in 6	CHI in 7	SJ in 5	DET in 6	NSH in 6	8
Marc	WSH in 5	PHI in 5	MON in 7	PIT in 6	VAN in 4	SJ in 5	DET in 6	ANA in 7	7
Ryan	WSH in 6	PHI in 5	BOS in 6	TB in 6	VAN in 5	SJ in 7	DET in 5	ANA in 6	7
JRTheByLineGrinder	WSH in 5	PHI in 5	MON in 7	PIT in 6	VAN in 6	SJ in 6	DET in 4	NSH in 6	14
IG-PRED8	WSH in 6	PHI in 7	MON in 6	TB in 5	VAN in 5	SJ in 6	PHX in 7	NSH in 6	12
MattBen	WSH in 5	BUF in 7	BOS in 6	PIT in 7	VAN in 6	SJ in 6	DET in 5	NSH in 7	10
DonBorvio	WSH in 4	BUF in 6	BOS in 7	PIT in 7	VAN in 7	SJ in 5	PHX in 7	NSH in 6	11
OddManRush	WSH in 6	PHI in 6	BOS in 7	PIT in 6	VAN in 5	SJ in 7	DET in 6	NSH in 6	11
Miles Melvin	WSH in 5	BUF in 7	BOS in 6	TB in 5	VAN in 5	SJ in 4	PHX in 6	NSH in 6	10
GrizzledBear	WSH in 7	PHI in 7	BOS in 6	TB in 6	VAN in 7	SJ in 4	DET in 7	ANA in 7	11
dnorm4	WSH in 6	PHI in 6	BOS in 7	PIT in 7	VAN in 5	SJ in 5	DET in 6	ANA in 6	8
Aditya	WSH in 6	BUF in 6	BOS in 6	PIT in 7	VAN in 5	SJ in 5	DET in 7	NSH in 5	6
Michaeltastic	WSH in 5	BUF in 7	BOS in 6	TB in 6	VAN in 6	SJ in 5	DET in 7	ANA in 7	8
SVTMike	WSH in 6	PHI in 7	BOS in 6	PIT in 6	VAN in 5	SJ in 5	PHX in 7	NSH in 6	10
Only Fan In J.C.	WSH in 5	BUF in 7	BOS in 6	TB in 7	VAN in 6	SJ in 5	DET in 7	NSH in 6	13
BradPerala	WSH in 5	PHI in 7	MON in 6	PIT in 6	VAN in 5	SJ in 7	DET in 6	NSH in 5	10

Winner: Correct number of games	3 pts.
Winner: Incorrect number of games	1 pt.
Incorrect winner	0 pts.

In keeping a tally, I think we can use the following point scale: 3 points if you picked the winner in the correct number of games, 1 point if you picked the winner in an incorrect number of games, and 0 points if you picked the losing team. I will be updating this post manually as each series closes out. (Since this is manual, let me know if there are any errors in calculations or if I have incorrect picks for people.)

Once Round 1 of the playoffs is complete and we know the matchups in the next round, it would be good to get predictions for the next set of series, and we might as well accumulate the points as the playoffs continue on. So leave your predictions in the comments. If you didn't get in on this first set, feel free to join in!

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Comments

Cool

This is really neat, thanks for doing this.

Also, JR…killing it.

I live in the OC.
The one in OH.

by MattBen on Apr 23, 2011 10:57 PM EDT reply actions

This is awesome!

Now we have reason to complain about 3 point games again!

"The Final Countdown" is now playing in your head. You're welcome.

by Michaeltastic on Apr 23, 2011 11:31 PM EDT reply actions

I think I said Phoenix in 7, but it matters not. ~~Coyotes~~ Jets just bent over for that one. JR perfect so far! GJ.

"My, my, here's one for the (no) neck. Don't relax, 'cause you're next for the check!"

by DonBorvio on Apr 24, 2011 1:03 AM EDT reply actions

I will go back and doublecheck later on today. I was doing that during work hours and many predictions were coming in fast.

by OddManRush on Apr 24, 2011 8:14 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions

Yeah – it was in 7 games, so I made that adjustment just now. Added in the Preds series in here as well.

by OddManRush on Apr 25, 2011 9:05 AM EDT up reply actions

Preds and Canucks could earn me six more points today!

Known by George Plaster since 4/13/2011
Your favorite member of the mainstream media
The Velvet Hammer

by JRTheByLineGrinder on Apr 24, 2011 10:01 AM EDT via mobile reply actions

Same except Preds and Buffalo.

"My, my, here's one for the (no) neck. Don't relax, 'cause you're next for the check!"

by DonBorvio on Apr 24, 2011 3:24 PM EDT up reply actions

This is awesome. And JR is the man.

Writer at OnTheForecheck.com. On twitter at @OTFMarc and @MarcTorrence.

by Marc Torrence on Apr 24, 2011 12:30 PM EDT reply actions

Somebody else rec this so it stays up top.

"The Final Countdown" is now playing in your head. You're welcome.

by Michaeltastic on Apr 24, 2011 9:16 PM EDT reply actions

This is awesome. I hate you, JR.

Lemme quote the late, great Colonel Sanders. He said "I'm too drunk to taste this chicken."

by Chris Burton on Apr 24, 2011 9:45 PM EDT reply actions

Uh

I’m #9 in the world?

Contributor at Music City Miracles. and On The Forecheck.

Muha.

by Aditya T (smashville) on Apr 24, 2011 9:57 PM EDT reply actions

I guess I’ll just have to one-up you.

I’m #6 currently. : P

by JasonF on Apr 25, 2011 1:33 AM EDT up reply actions

I take that back. Now that it’s updated, I’m 977 but still at 99.0%. :(

by JasonF on Apr 25, 2011 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions

Are you doing another one for the second round?? Can I jump in on this?

by davisca on Apr 25, 2011 4:59 AM EDT reply actions

I started keeping track on a whim and it grew into this. Once the 2nd round matchups are set, we can all just make our picks here in the comments section, and I’ll do the same thing. I mentally set the cutoff time as the start of the first game of that round, so we will yet have some time to do that once the teams are matched.

by OddManRush on Apr 25, 2011 9:07 AM EDT up reply actions

Awesome! Thanks!

by davisca on Apr 27, 2011 8:25 PM EDT up reply actions

So if the kings win

No one will get points!

"without imperfection, neither you nor I would exist" -Hawking

by IG-PRED8 on Apr 25, 2011 10:06 AM EDT reply actions

By the way this is awesome

I checked back at my predictions. I had the Preds in 6. Its blank for me here.

THX

"without imperfection, neither you nor I would exist" -Hawking

by IG-PRED8 on Apr 25, 2011 10:10 AM EDT up reply actions

Wow. This is the problem with doing things manually. My mind must have seriously been playing tricks on me, because I remember there being someone who picked the Preds but didn’t give a number of games. Obviously that wasn’t you, so I don’t know what to say except I was in a hurry to get all the picks down. I’ll fix that in a second.

And here’s the reference for the original picks.

(Haven’t mentioned it before, but love the SW reference for your nick. Sounds much more menacing than Zuckuss or Bossk.)

by OddManRush on Apr 25, 2011 10:24 AM EDT up reply actions

No problem on missing the 6 games

Indeed 88 would eat them for breakfast, That is if he ate organic matter.

"without imperfection, neither you nor I would exist" -Hawking

by IG-PRED8 on Apr 25, 2011 4:09 PM EDT up reply actions

And Chris is the only one that’ll get points if the Hawks win lol

"My, my, here's one for the (no) neck. Don't relax, 'cause you're next for the check!"

by DonBorvio on Apr 25, 2011 1:03 PM EDT up reply actions

He will get the number of games right as well!

"without imperfection, neither you nor I would exist" -Hawking

by IG-PRED8 on Apr 25, 2011 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions

hmmm

I knew I shoulda picked Preds in 6. I got scared though. I didn’t think we were that good. It’s nice to see we are though…

I live in the OC.
The one in OH.

by MattBen on Apr 25, 2011 2:06 PM EDT reply actions

Man, I am good at this

Known by George Plaster since 4/13/2011
Your favorite member of the mainstream media
The Velvet Hammer

by JRTheByLineGrinder on Apr 25, 2011 2:23 PM EDT reply actions

Who’s your pick for the Stanley Cup? sheesh.

"My, my, here's one for the (no) neck. Don't relax, 'cause you're next for the check!"

by DonBorvio on Apr 25, 2011 3:17 PM EDT up reply actions

Must be your playoff soulpatch.

So, my tactic with conservation of apex predators is to get people excited and take them to where they live.
~Steve Irwin
There is no tenderness or humanity in fanaticism.
~Joe Strummer

by cisar on Apr 25, 2011 9:38 PM EDT up reply actions

haha, yep he got the SJ series right too. Only one we know he’s wrong on is VAN-CHI.

"My, my, here's one for the (no) neck. Don't relax, 'cause you're next for the check!"

by DonBorvio on Apr 26, 2011 1:02 AM EDT up reply actions

I was hoping I would get the last one wrong! So glad I did.

Writer at OnTheForecheck.com. On twitter at @OTFMarc and @MarcTorrence.

by Marc Torrence on Apr 25, 2011 2:54 PM EDT reply actions

Ha!

It may look like I didn’t have faith, but I am too superstitious to predict my own team winning (in writing at least!). Thanks for setting this spreadsheet up. Pretty cool!

Go Preds!

by dnorm4 on Apr 25, 2011 3:39 PM EDT reply actions

You’re not the only one… Preds would’ve gotten swept if I had picked them.

Writer at OnTheForecheck.com. On twitter at @OTFMarc and @MarcTorrence.

by Marc Torrence on Apr 25, 2011 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions

For me, I figure I’ve predicted both wins and losses, and the team lost anyway, so that wasn’t the common factor.

by OddManRush on Apr 25, 2011 3:48 PM EDT up reply actions

I need a Boston win tonight to get into the dark green!

by Grizzledbear on Apr 25, 2011 5:58 PM EDT via mobile reply actions

Oops, make that tomorrow night (hate 2 days between games in a series)……

by Grizzledbear on Apr 25, 2011 6:02 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions

Sharks in six. Another 3 for me!

Known by George Plaster since 4/13/2011
Your favorite member of the mainstream media
The Velvet Hammer

by JRTheByLineGrinder on Apr 26, 2011 1:04 AM EDT via mobile reply actions

Show off! :p

At least I picked up a point on that series…….

by Grizzledbear on Apr 26, 2011 1:17 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions

Updated!

Just added the San Jose series win in six games. Tonight we will see 2 more series come to a close, possibly three. And we will know which direction the Predators’ flight will be heading.

by OddManRush on Apr 26, 2011 10:07 AM EDT reply actions

Philly and Vancouver could give me one point each. And I need Montreal to win to keep my hopes of a three-pointer alive in that one. Someone should totally pay me to do this stuff.

Known by George Plaster since 4/13/2011
Your favorite member of the mainstream media
The Velvet Hammer

by JRTheByLineGrinder on Apr 26, 2011 11:01 AM EDT up reply actions

It wasn’t until I looked at my picks afterward that I noticed I went with the higher seed in each series except for Nashville. When I realized that, it kind of disturbed me. I really wanted to pick Buffalo but thought the team defense would help overcome the goalie issues they have. And Chicago really surprised me.

by OddManRush on Apr 26, 2011 11:08 AM EDT up reply actions

My brother and I have a bracket going, and I realized just a few days ago I did the exact same thing (all high-seed except Nashville). So far so good! I think I did the exact same thing in the East too… shall be interesting to see what happens!

by davisca on Apr 27, 2011 8:28 PM EDT up reply actions

If all three of these games break the right way for me tonight, I could pick up 9pts.! :o

Roll that dice, baby! :)

by Grizzledbear on Apr 26, 2011 11:23 AM EDT via mobile reply actions

Then I really need a Habs win to stave off your late challenge

Known by George Plaster since 4/13/2011
Your favorite member of the mainstream media
The Velvet Hammer

by JRTheByLineGrinder on Apr 26, 2011 11:25 AM EDT up reply actions

Someone needs to keep you from running away with this thing! :)

by Grizzledbear on Apr 26, 2011 12:02 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions

Woo hoo………two dark greens in the win column tonight! :)

by Grizzledbear on Apr 27, 2011 1:23 AM EDT via mobile reply actions

Yeah – you did well on that one!

by OddManRush on Apr 27, 2011 9:01 AM EDT up reply actions

It's kind of Academic now

But JR has clinched at least a share of the first round title. By my calculations, there are only 2 others who can match the 14 points that he has: Dirk and DonBorvio. In all but one combination of the outcomes of the games tonight, JR will be ahead of the others.

The only case where there will be a tie at 14 points will be if TB wins and BOS wins. JR would remain at 14 and Dirk would add 4 to his total. All other cases will result in JR winning outright!

by OddManRush on Apr 27, 2011 9:08 AM EDT reply actions

Was about to make the same comment. I am FIRST ROUND CHAMPION.

Known by George Plaster since 4/13/2011
Your favorite member of the mainstream media
OtF Resident Rascal

by JRTheByLineGrinder on Apr 27, 2011 9:47 AM EDT up reply actions

But a first round win does not a Stanley Cup prediction contest winner make! :D

But congrats on your early round success (stupid Bruins!).

by Grizzledbear on Apr 27, 2011 11:22 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions

whaterr

My guitar could have out-picked you.
Regardless, congrats.

I live in the OC.
The one in OH.

by MattBen on Apr 27, 2011 3:38 PM EDT up reply actions

Man, I get 7 of 8 series winners right but still trail in this contest……….I demand a new point system! :D

by Grizzledbear on Apr 27, 2011 10:44 PM EDT via mobile reply actions

Well, you get what you pay for. Anyway, I had thought about making it even more complicated, based on how many games away from the actual number of games played, but that became more of a headache. Plus I had to come up with something quick as I was ready to publish and get it out there.

by OddManRush on Apr 27, 2011 10:59 PM EDT up reply actions

It’s all good. :)

No time to waste with games in the 2nd round tomorrow night! Should we put our picks here or in a seperate thread?

by Grizzledbear on Apr 27, 2011 11:10 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions

Make them here, please. I will make the second round post once I get everyone’s picks formatted, and it’ll keep the comments section clean for discussion while that round is going on.

by OddManRush on Apr 27, 2011 11:30 PM EDT up reply actions

In the end

Dirk got all his picks. Bravo to you, sir.

I live in the OC.
The one in OH.

by MattBen on Apr 27, 2011 11:03 PM EDT reply actions

What do ya'll say about

Philly vs. Boston in Round 2?

by Only Fan In J.C. ? on Apr 27, 2011 11:04 PM EDT reply actions

“Are you ready for a war?!!” is all I can think of. That should be entertaining, and I’m not sure PHI is completely settled with blindly using Boucher the rest of the way. But BOS has looked inept a lot, so who knows.

by OddManRush on Apr 27, 2011 11:08 PM EDT up reply actions

I don't know much about the East

so I really don’t have much idea how these teams will match up. My gut would say that Thomas should be able to steal some games for them, but I thought Miller would be able to do it for Buffalo too. Price seems like he was quite a decent goalie, probably a lot better than Boucher. But I don’t want to be embarassed by the same team a 2nd time, and they do have Pronger back now. What I really wonder is if Boston’s scoring will come to life any against Philly.

by Only Fan In J.C. ? on Apr 27, 2011 11:13 PM EDT up reply actions

One thing that really helped me get to know a lot of the teams in the East was years ago when I started playing Fantasy Hockey. By doing the research on players and seeing who contributes what statistically and having to keep up with teams and the waiver wire, you get to know the other teams much better. Not everyone has time for that, I know, but it is a fun way to keep up with more than just your favorite teams.

by OddManRush on Apr 27, 2011 11:28 PM EDT up reply actions

I'm actually doing my first fantasy hockey

with this playoffs.
I put together a team from the FHS link that was offered here. I’m not doing very well, but at least Pavel Datsyuk, Shea Weber, and all three of my goalies (Thomas, Rinne, and Neuvirth) advanced. Actually I don’t think that any of my roster has been ko’ed from the playoffs yet. I went pretty much only with players on teams that I was pretty sure would advance.

by Only Fan In J.C. ? on Apr 27, 2011 11:43 PM EDT up reply actions

So now the Round 2 matchups are set!

1 WSH vs 5 TB
2 PHI vs 3 BOS
1 VAN vs 5 NSH
2 SJ vs 3 DET

Everyone has until the puck drop of the first game of this round, which will at least be the Preds/Canucks game tomorrow evening, to get your picks for this round in. Any and all comers are welcome to do so. I haven’t had time to think it through as to whether each subsequent round should carry more weight than the prior round, so I’ll sleep on it and reach a decision tomorrow. I’ll start a different fan post once I get everyone’s picks formatted.

by OddManRush on Apr 27, 2011 11:07 PM EDT reply actions

Alright, here we go.........

I’m gonna get stoned for my Preds/Nucks pick, but there’s a contest to win here! These are all tough matchups.

Caps over Bolts in 6
Flyers over Bruins in 7
Wings over Sharks in 6
Canucks over Preds in 5 very close games. :(

by Grizzledbear on Apr 27, 2011 11:46 PM EDT via mobile reply actions

Alright, round 2 FIGHT!

Caps in 7
Bruins in 6
Preds in 5
San Jose in 6

"My, my, here's one for the (no) neck. Don't relax, 'cause you're next for the check!"

by DonBorvio on Apr 28, 2011 12:59 AM EDT reply actions

Round 2, YaY!

Caps in 5
Bruins in 6
Preds in 6
Wings in 7

(Round 3, Preds beat the hell out of the Wings!!!) wait, we’re not there yet….

by Only Fan In J.C. ? on Apr 28, 2011 2:39 AM EDT reply actions

No babies will be punched

since we made it out of the first round.

Caps in 6
Boston Brewins(Dunkin Donuts board at TD Garden) in 6
Preds in 6
Wings in 5

by SVTmike on Apr 28, 2011 11:55 AM EDT reply actions

Ok.

WSH in 6
PHI in 5
DET in 6
NSH in 7

Once again, no real logic behind it. Only gut feelings.

by OddManRush on Apr 28, 2011 12:20 PM EDT reply actions

bleh idk

Caps in 6
Bruins in 6
Canucks in 6
Wings in 6

Thanks right, everything in 6 games. It won’t happen but it’s be cool.
<3

I live in the OC.
The one in OH.

by MattBen on Apr 28, 2011 12:27 PM EDT reply actions

Jumping in for Round 2

Washington in 7
Bruins in 6
Sharks in 7
Preds in 6

If the honor system is allowed, I had 10 pts in Round 1 even though I didn’t submit my picks here on the board.

by Griz-ATL on Apr 28, 2011 12:55 PM EDT reply actions

I choose my winners and # of games using a dice

A D4 and a D8 to be specific. hurrah!

Puck And Punk blog

by 3DLink on Apr 28, 2011 2:38 PM EDT reply actions

nice....

I have Preds in 8!

by Only Fan In J.C. ? on Apr 28, 2011 2:46 PM EDT up reply actions

Got more points than I thought I would in the first round

here is my second round

1 WSH vs 5 TB——————- WSH in 6
2 PHI vs 3 BOS——————- PHI in 7
1 VAN vs 5 NSH—————— NSH in 6
2 SJ vs 3 DET———————- SJ in 5

"without imperfection, neither you nor I would exist" -Hawking

by IG-PRED8 on Apr 28, 2011 5:13 PM EDT reply actions

WSH – TBL = Tampa Bay in 7
PHI – BOS = Philly in 6
VAN – NSH = Nashville in 7
SAN – DET = San Jose in 6

Also (like Griz said), if we’re going honor system on the last one (mine wasn’t on here), I had 14 pts:
Nucks in 6 (7) = 1
Sharks in 4 (6) = 1
Preds in 6 (6) = 3
Caps in 5 (5) = 3
Flyers in 5 (7) = 1
Bruins in 5 (7) = 1
Lightning in 7 (7) = 3

by davisca on Apr 29, 2011 4:54 AM EDT reply actions

P.S. I know I’m late, but I was writing a paper for an exam — any way I could get a little leeway?! :D

by davisca on Apr 29, 2011 4:55 AM EDT up reply actions

I believe I can fit you in. And I’ll note the ‘honor system’ points in the next one, but sadly it can’t count for the final tally because it wasn’t ‘official’. (not that there are prizes or anything at stake…)

by OddManRush on Apr 29, 2011 9:12 AM EDT up reply actions