2010-11 Nashville Predators Report Card: Sergei Kostitsyn
With the season now over, it's time to take a look back and examine each player's individual performance. We'll briefly break it down, and then offer a letter grade for the year. It's report cards, Nashville Predators-style, from Blum to Wilson. Next up: Sergei Kostitsyn.
The Skinny: Acquired off of Montreal's scrap-heap for a pair of free agents (Dan Ellis and Dustin Boyd) who weren't going to return to Nashville anyway, Sergei Kostitsyn came in as the ultimate "all upside" play by David Poile. At the time I questioned why the Predators, who talk so much about drafting players with strong work ethic and character, traded for a player best known for quarreling with his head coach and not reporting to his minor league team. By signing him to a bargain-basement one-year contract for $550,000, however, Poile maintained his flexibility in case things didn't work out.
Here's what fantasy hockey guru Darryl Dobbs contributed to our season preview for SK74:
I think the new environment will help. The talent is there. But he has a lot of baggage. I think under Trotz, the way they switch up their scoring lines, most forwards will be in that 40-50 point range and SK will be one of them. But on a different team with a coach who gives the freedom he could be really special.
If he leads Nashville in scoring with 55-60 points I will be very surprised - but I'll probably be the least surprised out of anyone on the planet outside of his mother.
As it turns out, he did grow into a large role on the team - 4th among Nashville wingers in both even strength and power play ice time per game, with a dash of penalty killing work, too. The nice thing about his offensive performance is that it came along with responsible defensive play.
The Performance: Sergei's season got off to a slow start due to a broken toe (through the end of November he had just 1 goal and 2 assists in 19 games, and I didn't like what I saw at the time). Then he started working his way up the Preds' depth chart, eventually playing alongside Martin Erat and Marcel Goc, then later joining Mike Fisher and Patric Hornqvist. He hit his stride in December & January, scoring 10 goals and adding 13 assists in 27 games, and ultimately led the Predators in both goal-scoring and total points.
In the playoffs, he struggled to make an impact, but I'd argue that the problem there was that he was in over his head playing on a top scoring line. Until he takes another big step forward, he's more of a complementary piece, a player who provides heads-up playmaking and solid puck support, rather than a guy who drives the attack.
The Grade: Graded relative to expectations, you can't help but give Sergei an A. He came in as a crap-shoot, and ended up leading the team in scoring. As I've argued several times, he rode the fortunate bounces to his 23 goals and doesn't shoot nearly enough, but if he can pop in 15 a year going forward he can still be a useful piece in the Predators' puzzle, a 40-point winger on a secondary line and special teams option. That's a great asset to pick up off the sidewalk, which is basically what David Poile did.
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Get to Legwand already...........
The truth is always the right answer....
by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on May 25, 2011 1:07 PM EDT reply actions
I'm going B
Outside of Suter, Weber and Rinne, we don’t have an A guy on the Preds. Especially at the forward position.
But he was a great find, and I look forward to him getting better and playing on a line with Radulov and Brad Richards next year will really help his game!
The truth is always the right answer....
by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on May 25, 2011 1:11 PM EDT up reply actions
IM W/ YA ON THE B
but i wasnt involved in the heavy drinking resulting in the rest of your comment. he dissappeared in the playoffs and to get an A he needed to at least have had an impact on 1 of the series. he didnt. just as an aside, did anyone else wonder why we couldnt have had those refs last night in our OT loss to the nucks. im not for total whistle swallowing (which they did), but they wouldnt have called weber for hooking… thats for sure.
by predswilrule on May 25, 2011 2:45 PM EDT up reply actions
Don't forget...
Game 3 against Anaheim, SK had the no-look, backhand pass to the game-winning goal by Mike Fisher. Fisher got all the credit for scoring, but honestly it was the pass that made the play.
Other than that one play, though, you’re dead on.
Do you have your 3,200 word Legwand diatribe ready to copy/paste into the comment section? Looking forward to your comments – high expectations…you’d better not disappoint!
What's a diatibe?
I shouldn’t have much to say.
Unless they make up some BS statistic to show that he was worth his weight in salt. Or that Spaling isn’t anywhere near as valuable as Legwand. Or that his playoff performance and circus shots against Vancouver in the playoffs makes up for the rest of the season’s dismal performance. Or that he couldn’t score cause he was too busy hustling and playing defense. Or that we couldn’t live without him.
So I’ll probably be busy that day.
The truth is always the right answer....
by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on May 25, 2011 4:08 PM EDT up reply actions
Gave him an A.
Too bad he didn’t play to an A in the playoffs, but regular season, hard to beat that kind of production, especially when he gets paid less than Belak.
by HardCorePredFan316 on May 25, 2011 1:14 PM EDT reply actions
A maybe B+
I really Liked the E-K-G line. Maybe it was the Eastern European connection that made it work, but it worked. Thought he had great confidence in the early and mid parts of the season but started to tighten up at the end. Just trying to hard to make the brilliant pass and not just letting it loose. He was worth every penny and should get a nice bump this year. Hopefully we can hold on to him and get him to loosen up and put up 30 next year. … lol…just have to wait and see.
is he Ovechin no...
but he’s much better than a 15 goal a year guy, def. 20-30 goal guy once he’s cooking a whole season. I think he was keyed on in the playoffs by the other team’s D and needed to tighten up his game to compensate for the close checking and just never made the adjustment. My biggest gripes on him are more shots and work on his playmaking.
agree 100% - he's certainly much better than 15 goals a year and instead is 20-30....
….keep in mind this sight has such a hard time with acqusitions (the first postings about Fisher effectively asked how he was any different than Leggy….the worship Leggy crowd just cannot help itself.
SK74 is a great find, he’s only 23 and we need to let him grow and see where the talent and his efforts take him. one doesn’t float on a Trotz team so Sergei may just be getting started based on his talent and willingness to work hard.
by keepellisingoal on May 25, 2011 10:25 PM EDT up reply actions
B from me...
… he stunk so bad in the first third of the season there should be no way he gets an A.
B
Kostitsyn was the season’s biggest surprise, and its clear he has a significant amount of talent and hockey sense. He exceeded expectations, and was valuable all over the ice. Sure, he rode an unsustainable shooting percentage to that goal total, and I’m guessing he doesn’t score as many next year unless he starts to shoot a lot more, but there’s no arguing with the results.
What’s keeping me from giving an A are two things, one more important than the other:
1) Horrible start to the season. Can’t ignore it. More importantly, though…
2) ….the playoffs. These grades are given (or should be, anyway) relative to expectations, and Kostitsyn’s superlative regular season justifiably upped what was expected of him. In short, he failed, and while there were certainly extenuating circumstances, his 4 points in 12 playoff games can’t be ignored.
B for Sergei, and I truly hope he’s brought back on a fair deal.
Lemme quote the late, great Colonel Sanders. He said "I'm too drunk to taste this chicken."
Whoops, sent that post before I was finished! Not sure we make the playoffs without SK adding those 20+ goals out of nowhere this season. The good thing with him is that he has the talent to be even better! Just needs to be more involved more consistantly and he’ll be an A player for us.
But as with Ward, we can’t throw to much money at him based on one decent season (or playoff in Ward’s case). 1.5M to 1.75M range sounds about right to me.
by Grizzledbear on May 25, 2011 6:28 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Definitely an A
….along with SWFP cannot wait for the Leggy write up.
will say it again, package Leggy up with Wilson and trade them both for someone another team wants to buy out, hopefully in the $3M range (that is how another team will take Leggy, when we effectively reduce his salary by taking a buy out hit but one less than his $4.5 Million monstrosety of Leggy’s contract). Waive Klein and reduce Sully to $1.5 M, buy out JP. We save $12M a year, with $3.5M going to the buy outs, $3M going to Weber, $4M going for a real scoring threat/sniper, $500,000 raise going to Wardo and $1.5 Million raise going to Kostitsyn. The numbers work becasue we would resign Goc at the same salary (he takes Leggy’s spot), Cube comes back in place of Klein, the sniper takes Wilson’s role and JP (and I hate this but its the case) was getting scratched. Sully goes fourth line and adds energy and punch to it for $1.5M (with a bonus for performance) and its a line where he won’t need to be available for all 82 games. It works. Hopefully we’ll do it.
by keepellisingoal on May 25, 2011 10:34 PM EDT reply actions
No need for such drastic measures.........
Not to go thru all the salary related figures again here, but once you add up the raises for Weber, Ward & SK74 and deduct the savings by letting Sully go and buying out Dumont, and also account for a likley bump in our payroll to close to 54M, we’ll have about 4M to work with to add a skilled forward this off-season. In the unlikely event someone like Parise becomes available, then you consider moving a kid like Wilson (which would free up another 1.75M to enable us to sign a guy like Parise). But at any rate, we’ll have some decent money to work with this summer as long as we don’t give to much money to guys like Ward and SK74, but I think we can sign both of them for under 2M each.
by Grizzledbear on May 26, 2011 12:07 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Don't forget about Rinne and Suter next year...
…they gotta get a cut of the pie too.
The truth is always the right answer....
by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on May 26, 2011 9:47 AM EDT up reply actions
By then we’ll have other contracts coming off the books (Legwand I think) and the following year Lombardi is off as well (if he doesn’t retire before then), so we’ll have some added space to sign at least one of those two. But it will be tough in any case to sign both of them and Weber.
by Grizzledbear on May 26, 2011 6:33 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
I was way off on Legwand's deal!
He and Erat are signed for longer than I first thought…………that doesn’t help the situation. :/
by Grizzledbear on May 26, 2011 6:38 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Haha, an albatross indeed.
Forgot about Lombardi’s contract….good point.
The truth is always the right answer....
by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on May 26, 2011 7:06 PM EDT up reply actions

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