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Tuesday's notes: Which young gun will take the lead for the Preds?

We already know that youth will be relied upon more than ever in the upcoming season for the Nashville Predators, but what catches my interest this morning is the question of which young forward will score more in the year ahead? Sergei Kostitsyn, or Colin Wilson?


Sergei Kostitsyn

#74 / Left Wing / Nashville Predators

6-0

210

Mar 20, 1987



GP G A P +/- PIM PPG SHG GWG
SOG PCT
2010 - Sergei Kostitsyn 77 23 27 50 +10 20 4 1 2 93 24.7

He came out of nowhere to lead the Preds in scoring last season, but as I'm sure you're sick of me saying, that Shooting Percentage figure has "fluke" written all over it. Can he learn to drive the puck to the net more aggressively, and keep producing when the level of competition rises?

Kostitsyn finished last season on a line with Mike Fisher and Patric Hornqvist, a combination which, if left intact, could lead to plenty of prime opportunities.


Colin Wilson

#33 / Center / Nashville Predators

6-1

214

Oct 20, 1989



GP G A P +/- PIM PPG SHG GWG
SOG PCT
2010 - Colin Wilson 82 16 18 34 +9 17 2 0 2 101 15.8

Willy appeared to take a step forward through the early part of the season, but after the All-Star Break things took a turn for the worse, and his ice time often dropped to less than 10 minutes a game from March onward. Things didn't get any better in the playoffs, as he appeared in only 3 games of the Vancouver series.

The departure of Steve Sullivan would appear to open the door to a full-time Top 6 role that's waiting for Wilson if he can earn the trust of the coaching staff. Can he step up in what is a critical contract year for him?

Feel free to debate the question of which of these two will outscore the other in the comments below after reading your morning hockey notes...

Star-divide

Nashville Predators News

2011 | Toast of Music City
Congrats to the Section 303 gang, which will represent the Predators fan base again as finalists in the "Best Blog" category of the Tennessean's annual poll. Among recommendations we shared in our Hockey Fan's Guide to Toast of Music City voting, Bridgestone Arena is a finalist for Best Music Venue, Vanderbilt is in the running for Best Hospital, Carrie Underwood is up for Best Celebrity, Willy Daunic is a finalist for Best Sports Reporter, and Pekka Rinne is a candidate for Best Local Pro Athlete.

Pekka Rinne a finalist in 2011 Toast of Music City… | Section 303
Pekka's a finalist for more than just the Vezina this year, and Jeremy sees that as another sign that the Preds are making inroads in the overall Nashville market.

Three Minutes With (Preds prospect edition): Taylor Beck… | Section 303
For a guy like Beck, there is ample opportunity to earn an NHL job in this organization. Probably not this year, but down the road? His will be a very interesting season to follow.

Hockey Night in Nashville: NHL12 Preview
Robby previews the latest version of hockey crack the EA Sports staple.

Preds On The Glass: POTG Tuesday Headlines, News, and Links
Buddy had to suffer through a Blue Screen of Death yesterday, but still brings the morning links as usual.

Speculative Friction | The Predatorial
Jeremy compares the polar extremes of the fan base which either trusts in Poile to do the right thing, and those who aren't happy with what they've seen this summer. Personally, I don't doubt Poile's ability to deliver another 5-8th place finish in the West in 2011-12, but I have serious reservations about anything north of that, based on where things stand today. The big question is, what sort of expectations do people have?

Red Light District: Off-Season Grades: Central Division
Ryan gives David Poile the worst grade among his divisional peers.

Around the NHL

Looking ahead to 2011-12: Ranking the NHL’s top 25 centers - Puck Daddy
If you're prone to jealousy, it's best not to look here, Preds fans.

NHL goalies net less pay than scorers, defensemen - USATODAY.com
One has to wonder how the evolution of the goalie market will affect Pekka Rinne's next deal. I get nervous about the idea of the Preds tying him up for $5 million+ annually, when you can get something decent for around $2 million.

Bettman's salary tops $7.5-million - The Globe and Mail
Business has been growing for the league at large...

Statement from Ryan Boogaard regarding younger brother Aaron Boogaard | StarTribune.com
Mike Russo got reaction from the Boogaard family to the charges recently leveled against Aaron in the death of his brother Derek.

The Theory and Nature of Current Advanced Hockey Analysis | FlamesNation
A good "lay of the land" review of hockey stats analysis from Kent Wilson. 

An Introduction to Hockey Analytics Part 3: The Perils of Sample Size - Lighthouse Hockey
Also known as, "why I don't think Matt Halischuk should be relied on yet."

Down Goes Brown: Countdown to opening night: Remaining offseason tasks for the Winnipeg Jets
Here's one: "Figure out some way to make ice in time for the home opener on October 9th, since every flat surface in Winnipeg isn't normally covered in several inches of ice until October 15th."

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Kris Draper is one those rare guys who prospered, and remained in, a supporting role for a long time.

2012 Draft-Eligible Goalies - The Goalie Guild
Just in case you're wondering who the Preds might pick next summer.

In which gossip columnists invade the Philadelphia Flyers offseason - Broad Street Hockey
Well, it's certainly hard to justify the Mike Richards and Jeff Carter deals based on pure hockey criteria.

How to clean your hockey equipment | Hockey Gear HQ - news, reviews & deals
Besides the need to fight The Stench, that foul, uniquely characteristic odor which emanates from nasty hockey gear, there are also safety issues to consider.

Poll
Which player do you think will score more in 2011-12?
Sergei Kostitsyn
160 votes
Colin Wilson
286 votes

446 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 43 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Comments

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Honestly, OTF should have been one of the top 3.

This is the only Preds blog that I check daily. Also who voted for Cortland Finnegan? He is like the Alex Burrows of football.

by Predmonton on Jul 26, 2011 10:24 AM EDT reply actions  

To be fair...

…he’s the only guy who at least attempts to fight like a hockey player.

Gonna miss you Joel Ward...

Go Predmirals!

by Poiju on Jul 26, 2011 12:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Cortland does a lot of stuff for the community

He’s a real good guy off the field and was the main reason the Titans had any work outs at all during the lockout. Go read about his relationship with a cancer patient named Kelsey Towns.

I currently star in the new MTV3 series,
"Jersey Shore: Lake Erie Edition"
Cleveland Rocks!
Read it and weep

by MattBen on Jul 26, 2011 5:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Rudy Kalis?

That guy couldn’t say s—t if he had a mouthful. He is the worst.

The truth is neither libelous nor slanderous.
Reason and logic instead of hope and faith.
Pro athletes--it's not what they say, it's what they do.

by shoot the puck on Jul 26, 2011 6:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

I love that Top 25 (with 5 honorable mentions)...

… of NHL centers….

OH WHY IS DAVID LEGWAND NOT LISTED?!

by djzielin on Jul 26, 2011 10:32 AM EDT reply actions  

Just so I can be sure.....

(this comment is meant to be an attempt at humor…..we’re allowed to do that about Legwand, right?)

by turd-ferguson on Jul 26, 2011 12:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

to be fair

they also misspelled Mike FIsher as “SIdney Crosby”

Keys to the game: GA<GF

by flyalder on Jul 26, 2011 2:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

We have to have huge years from...

Tits, Bergfors, Cal O’Reilly and Colin Wilson or we’re doomed.

by Brenthrax on Jul 26, 2011 10:33 AM EDT reply actions  

Mark my words...

Barring any serious injuries, and provided they are on the same line together, Bergfors will be our goal-scoring leader and O’Reilly will be our assist leader. Book it!

by gojersey on Jul 26, 2011 10:35 AM EDT reply actions  

If we had re-signed Goc,

You could change this statment with Tits being the goal leader, and Goc being the points leader, IMHO.

by turd-ferguson on Jul 26, 2011 12:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

Pfffft

I watched theat sumbit play every game for the Thrashers last year (when he wasn’t picking at the buffett table in the press box) and I can tell you that although he occasionally has moves of offensive genious I think you saw him play in Jersey), he’s often a shift-ghost and defensively very lazy. Summarize:The boy needs to man-up and move his feet. I hope you’re right my bro, I predicted 25+ goals out of him last pre-season, but if he plays for Trotz like he did for Rammer in 10-11, he’ll bypass Milwaukee and it’s off to obscurity in the Swede League or KHL.

by Gumpucks on Jul 26, 2011 12:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not a bad prediction. I hope you’re right, because that means Bergfors was another steal for GMDP and it means that O’Reilly is back where he was. Crossing my fingers on O’Reilly because I thought he had a great first half last year.

Kostitsyn will score more points, but Wilson will score more goals. Love SK74 but he’s another guy that would prefer a cross-crease pass instead of shooting into an open net. Not sure how he got to 20 last year — some really weird goals — but I don’t expect that kind of production again. His assists will go up, though.

by el pucko on Jul 26, 2011 10:45 AM EDT reply actions  

Willy

As long as Trotz gives Willy all the playing time he deserves, he just may have a break out year. It may depend on the line he’s on, maybe he’ll be paired with 0’Reilly! However, they’re both centers, so maybe put Willy on as a winger and see how that works.

I think SK74 really needs to be more aggressive, and shoot more also. He did have some good goals, and some weird ones too. But as we all saw.. he sort of lost fuel towards the end of the season and during the playoffs.

I can’t wait for next season!

by MeSoHornqvsit on Jul 26, 2011 11:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

Say Hey Willy

I have no real science behind my choice other than I think SK is a pompous, self important blowhard and as much as I want to see the Preds succeed I would be happy to see him fail miserably.

by Melissa Vanderpool Wallace on Jul 26, 2011 11:19 AM EDT reply actions  

Haha, and I thought I was the only one who felt this way!

by WTPuck?! on Jul 26, 2011 11:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

Is he a jerk? Or is he just from Belarus? You know, language barrier and all. I don’t know the guy except for what he seems (Eastern European, ’80s alt rock vibe, etc.). I like 20-goal scorers, though.

by el pucko on Jul 26, 2011 11:51 AM EDT reply actions  

Gotta agree with you el pucko. I think the language barrier may make him appear to be aloof, but has anyone ever tried greeting Sergei in Sergei’s native language. Could break the ice a bit. I’ve heard Pekka say he loves seeing signs to him written in Finnish. Maybe a few banners in Belarus would help.

online 24/7 at www.chas-e.net

by Chas-E on Jul 26, 2011 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

This.

Not a bad idea at all!

Gonna miss you Joel Ward...

Go Predmirals!

by Poiju on Jul 26, 2011 12:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Rec'd

Gonna miss you Joel Ward...

Go Predmirals!

by Poiju on Jul 26, 2011 1:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Radulov knows what this means.

Wilson’s gonna have a great year…as long as Trotz doesn’t mess with his head too much.

The truth is always the right answer....

by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on Jul 26, 2011 3:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

Language barriers can be tough. We possibly saw a better Tits because he became more comfy. I’m expecting more shots from him and more points too, because remember, he didn’t get all that many minutes early on the year. This year, he will.

by Predator Don on Jul 26, 2011 1:21 PM EDT reply actions  

Wasn’t SK74 injured in training camp? Broken foot or something?

I’m hoping that both of these guys step it up this season. They both have a huge incentive to have a great year since they’ll both be negotiating contracts next summer.

"I'm a firm believer that in life, if you're happy then happy things will happen for you."--Bernie Parent
Part Predator, part Lightning.

by CAustin on Jul 26, 2011 1:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

forgive me if i'm mistaken...

But doesn’t SK74 become an UFA next summer?

by Preds of State on Jul 26, 2011 1:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

According to capgeek, he’ll be RFA at the end of this contract. I believe the age is 27, but I could be wrong. SK74 is 24 now, CW is 21,

"I'm a firm believer that in life, if you're happy then happy things will happen for you."--Bernie Parent
Part Predator, part Lightning.

by CAustin on Jul 26, 2011 2:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

In the official announcement, the Preds said that he will be an RFA again. That is a huge win.

by kypredsfan on Jul 26, 2011 7:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes he was. A year in our system and more ice time early equals more points. It better…LOL

by Predator Don on Jul 26, 2011 3:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

yes please! :)

"I'm a firm believer that in life, if you're happy then happy things will happen for you."--Bernie Parent
Part Predator, part Lightning.

by CAustin on Jul 26, 2011 3:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think its age 27 or 7 years service in the NHL, so that should be correct.

by WTPuck?! on Jul 26, 2011 2:31 PM EDT reply actions  

Don’t understand why only a one year deal for Kostitsyn. Anybody know why?

The truth is neither libelous nor slanderous.
Reason and logic instead of hope and faith.
Pro athletes--it's not what they say, it's what they do.

by shoot the puck on Jul 26, 2011 6:09 PM EDT reply actions  

Then why sign him at all?

The truth is neither libelous nor slanderous.
Reason and logic instead of hope and faith.
Pro athletes--it's not what they say, it's what they do.

by shoot the puck on Jul 26, 2011 8:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

Cause

he can score goals. Kinda need that.

by musamonster on Jul 26, 2011 9:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

I doubt we'll ever really know

Given how unlikely it is that any actual information on this will ever be made public by the team’s side, all we can do is speculate. There was an interview that SK gave in Russian in which he said he had wanted a two-year deal. IF that is correct, then the one year deal could reflect either a calculation on the team’s side (does he need to prove something to them, for instance? Are there other plans or concerns we don’t know about?) or an inability to come to an agreement on terms so they agree to one year as a way of putting it off for a while. But this is all speculation. There are probably other possibilities I haven’t considered.

"I'm a firm believer that in life, if you're happy then happy things will happen for you."--Bernie Parent
Part Predator, part Lightning.

by CAustin on Jul 26, 2011 6:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

Your right....

and I would think that’s why the Preds overpaid (IMO) him to keep him another year and in order avoid the grievance hearing. But I also think they wanted to make sure he’s not a one year wonder and see how much cap space they have with all of our other signees coming up.

by SFPredsFan on Jul 26, 2011 7:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

Preds want him to prove himself for one more year I guess. I was hoping for atleast a 3 year 9mil deal. Guess I’ll have to wait for 1 more year.

by kypredsfan on Jul 26, 2011 7:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not discounting your theory, but I have to wonder why Hornqvist got a three year deal but Kostitsyn only one. There apparently is something more to the situation.

The truth is neither libelous nor slanderous.
Reason and logic instead of hope and faith.
Pro athletes--it's not what they say, it's what they do.

by shoot the puck on Jul 26, 2011 8:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

It’s because Hornqvist’s offensive production is much more reliable than Kostitsyn’s. Hornqvist has put up big shot totals everywhere along the line, from Sweden to Milwaukee to Nashville. Kostitsyn’s goal-scoring last year had a healthy bit of good fortune mixed in, with his league-leading shooting percentage.

Managing Editor of On the Forecheck, SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators, and HockeyGearHQ, a site devoted to news, reviews, and deals on hockey equipment and accessories. Catch me on Twitter, or join OTF on Facebook!

by Dirk Hoag on Jul 26, 2011 9:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not buying it

Shot totals don’t mean squat if they don’t go in. Hornqvist’s shot totals netted him 9 fewer goals than the year before and 2 fewer than Kostitsyn this past season.

The truth is neither libelous nor slanderous.
Reason and logic instead of hope and faith.
Pro athletes--it's not what they say, it's what they do.

by shoot the puck on Jul 29, 2011 2:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Plus

the Kostitsyn thing got a bit rushed with the whole RFA goof-up. Better to get him to a one year deal then try again next year for longer term.

by musamonster on Jul 26, 2011 9:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Cuz next year we can sign both Sergei and Andrei at the same time!!! :) :) :)

by kypredsfan on Jul 27, 2011 1:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

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