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Does arbitration signal the premature end of the Shea Weber era?

Well, the deal didn't get done, and the Nashville Predators actually went into salary arbitration with star defenseman Shea Weber. A ruling is expected Thursday morning on a 1- or 2-year contract, with the term chosen by the player.

I know we're all fans here and want this team to succeed, but there's no question that this is a troubling development, which can lead one to question the statements from both sides all along. Was the team really willing to make Weber one of the highest-paid defensemen in the league? Does Shea really want to stick around long-term, or would he rather just get to free agency and control his future?

Star-divide

All throughout the season, Weber spoke often about getting the deal done, but I don't recall if he made similar statements after switching agents in late June. Was there a sea-change in his thinking, perhaps? We probably won't know for another couple days, as the two sides aren't supposed to talk about the substantive matters in the proceedings until the arbitrator releases his decision.

Interestingly, however, Weber's agency fired off this update on Twitter:

Just on a break at Shea Webers arbitration hearing. 1st time in NHL history a "team elected arbitration" has gone to hearing.    

I have no way to verify that information, but it would be interesting to research.

Here today, gone tomorrow?

Teams and players that go through this process tend not to stick together long-term. In Preds history, Denny Lambert was traded just days after his hearing, and Ville Koistinen was gone a year after his. Daniel Winnik was traded by Phoenix within a year of his award in 2009, as was Milan Jurcina in Washington and Blake Wheeler (2010) in Boston. By my count, 11 players have gone through arbitration in 20082009, and 2010, and 10 of those players had moved to a new team within a year.

The uncomfortable, but natural question coming out of all this is whether the Shea Weber era in Nashville might end before it even got rolling.

Given the situation as it stands today, is this the guy the Preds really want wearing the "C"? Does he even want it? And what does this mean for the prospect of locking up Ryan Suter and Pekka Rinne as well?

I'm not trying to be alarmist, but arbitration most often signals the beginning of the end of a player-team relationship, and it's stunning to see the Predators and their captain get to this point.

Poll
Is the sky falling?
Yes, how did we get here?
326 votes
No, Shea will be a Pred next season and they can still negotiate.
288 votes
The sky has fallen and it can't get up.
174 votes

788 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 141 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Comments

Display:

Quick!

Give the “C” to Suter! Maybe he’ll stay!

by musamonster on Aug 2, 2011 12:08 PM EDT reply actions  

or Poile

60% of the time it works every time

by Creeping Death on Aug 2, 2011 12:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Lack of good faith

For more than a year, both Shea Weber and David Poile have repeatedly assured Predators fans that both agreed Weber would captain the team into a future full of promise. It’s now clear both of them were more than a little disingenuous. A less charitable observer would conclude that they both lied repeatedly. The losers here are not Weber or the Predators but the fans. We’ve been played.

by Hockey Hillbilly on Aug 2, 2011 12:16 PM EDT reply actions  

That's assuming

they don’t get a long term deal done. We still don’t know what the sticking points are, or what influence this new agent has had.

by musamonster on Aug 2, 2011 12:19 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

So this is your first day watching sports?

by lethargic on Aug 2, 2011 2:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hardly. It’s simpy the first time I’ve seen Poile’s actions so clearly expose the emptiness of his words. Going back to the decision to let Hamhuis go, and continuing through the Franson giveaway, he has stressed the team’s intent to amass enough funds to pay Weber what he wants. Meantime he has assured the fan base that he and the team captain were on the same page. Similarly Weber has brushed off the new contract issue as secondary to building the Predators into a Stanley Cup contender. Normally both men are more or less taciturn. Watch sports? Partner, I’m one of the thousands whose season tickets help pay for it.

by Hockey Hillbilly on Aug 2, 2011 2:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oh, literal Hockey Hillbilly.

by lethargic on Aug 2, 2011 3:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

Time to Move on

Might as well ShoP him while we can still get something for him……sigh

by 901predfan on Aug 2, 2011 12:19 PM EDT reply actions  

I wouldn’t go that far.

I know I would feel better if a long term deal was made but I dont see it happening. YET.

I could see tha arbitration going through then before the start of the season, a longer contract be signed.

by jerljr on Aug 2, 2011 12:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

You spelled Daniel Winnik's name wrong.

Perhaps a Freudian slip over your favorite OTFer.

The truth is always the right answer....

by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on Aug 2, 2011 12:28 PM EDT reply actions  

Corrected, thx

We really need a spell-check that’s integrated with the NHL roster system.

Managing Editor of On the Forecheck, SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators, and HockeyGearHQ, a site devoted to news, reviews, and deals on hockey equipment and accessories. Catch me on Twitter, or join OTF on Facebook!

by Dirk Hoag on Aug 2, 2011 12:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

So whats the Salary going to be?

I bet it’s like 6.375 . (Looks like the arbitrator put more thought into it as opposed to what 6 or 6.5 would look like)

:(

by IG-PRED8 on Aug 2, 2011 12:28 PM EDT reply actions  

I think he is worth that.

Do you think he should get lower?

"We’re gonna win the Stanley Cup. Then, you know what, we’re gonna win it again,"
-Terry Pegula

by bgred105 on Aug 2, 2011 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

Really?

I think that we would sign Myers to that type of contract long term to keep in Buffalo, and his sample size of play is much smaller then that of Weber’s. Are you saying that he is not worth the money, or that Poile is not willing to spend that much money on one player? I would agree with the latter, though I think he really should…that type of defenseman is rare in the NHL.

"We’re gonna win the Stanley Cup. Then, you know what, we’re gonna win it again,"
-Terry Pegula

by bgred105 on Aug 2, 2011 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

On the contrary....

….I think Weber is worth at least $7M per season. If they came in at $6.4M, that would be an insult, and I think he should walk if he’s disrespected like that.

And I"m not saying anything, cause I have no idea what’s going on in negotiations. Personally, I want us to sign him to a long-term deal, but he’d never do it for that kind of money.

And its nice to see the Sabres’ owner is spending cash. If only the Bills would follow suit to strengthen their franchise (Brockport, NY native transplanted to Nashville).

The truth is always the right answer....

by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on Aug 2, 2011 1:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Awesome.

Thanks for the clarification. We have discussed this a bit on today’s links at DBTB, and while we would love to have him, we would also love to see him stay in Nashville. He is the kind of player you can build around and bring instant credibility to a franchise…it would be awful if he left.

Cool that you are a local as well. I have only been to Brockport for D-III SUNYAC hockey games (Fredonia State vs. Brockport….GO BLUE DEVILS).

"We’re gonna win the Stanley Cup. Then, you know what, we’re gonna win it again,"
-Terry Pegula

by bgred105 on Aug 2, 2011 2:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

Boooo Fredonia!

What a small world. I’m actually going home next week to enjoy the Western NY summer and play some golf.

And perhaps visit the Canadian Ballet?

LOL!

The truth is always the right answer....

by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on Aug 2, 2011 2:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

He is worth it,

Was pointing out that the Arbitrator will pick a number that looks like he spent a lot of effort to come up with.

:(

by IG-PRED8 on Aug 2, 2011 12:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

Gotcha….thanks.

"We’re gonna win the Stanley Cup. Then, you know what, we’re gonna win it again,"
-Terry Pegula

by bgred105 on Aug 2, 2011 12:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Normally I'd be freaking out but...

I think he just wants to wait for the new CBA

by Brenthrax on Aug 2, 2011 12:41 PM EDT reply actions  

Say it together everyone...

“We’re not the Islanders! We’re not the Islanders!”

by musamonster on Aug 2, 2011 12:45 PM EDT reply actions  

We don't play in a dump...

so we are already much better off.

by TNGuy04 on Aug 2, 2011 12:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Question....

Can both sides still reach an agreement, as long as it is before the arbitrators ruling? Maybe this could happen?

by TNGuy04 on Aug 2, 2011 12:45 PM EDT reply actions  

Yes

but is doesn’t change the harsh words

by musamonster on Aug 2, 2011 12:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Maybe

DP, Weber and the Arbitrators are out playing Golf, and The deal has already been struck.

:(

by IG-PRED8 on Aug 2, 2011 12:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

if nothing good comes of this, does it usher in the “Poile’s Last Stand” era?

60% of the time it works every time

by Creeping Death on Aug 2, 2011 12:53 PM EDT reply actions  

And bring who?

A guy who overspends on everybody and make us miss the playoffs every year?

by musamonster on Aug 2, 2011 12:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

I will do it

60% of the time it works every time

by Creeping Death on Aug 2, 2011 12:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’ve been pretty successful on NHL 11 at Be a GM, how hard can it be?!

"Who own da Chiefs?!"
"Jesus, what did the old man trade for these a$$holes, a used puck bag? "

by predhead33 on Aug 2, 2011 1:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree

Let’s bring in some fresh faces. I’ve already led the Preds to the Stanley Cup 3 years running while also playing as starting RW. I’d do it for League minimum too.

by RemoWilliams84 on Aug 2, 2011 1:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

I play LW!

1300 games, 3400 points! I’ll play for league minimum too!

Gonna miss you Joel Ward...

Go Predmirals!

by Poiju on Aug 2, 2011 1:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hell

who needs weber if we can sign someone with those numbers

by jerljr on Aug 2, 2011 1:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

I played as a tough guy and in 10 games had like 150 PIM or something

"Who own da Chiefs?!"
"Jesus, what did the old man trade for these a$$holes, a used puck bag? "

by predhead33 on Aug 2, 2011 1:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

I picked up Parise, Alzner, Teemu and Nash by trading Dumont, Sully, Ward and Goc and won the cup. Franson wanted 8.25 million after an All-Star year and I didn’t resign him (Not that I had the money to sign him, either). Funny thing is no team picked up Franson for that year and his asking price is down to 6.5 million after laying out a season.

World Wide Weber.
There is no tenderness or humanity in fanaticism.
~Joe Strummer

by cisar on Aug 2, 2011 1:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

That still happens?

I play NHL 07 and that’s a problem. Cap would be at $45 mil, and FAs would want the max contract ($9 mil a year)…so no one would pick them up, and they would just stay FAs all year long.

"We’re gonna win the Stanley Cup. Then, you know what, we’re gonna win it again,"
-Terry Pegula

by bgred105 on Aug 2, 2011 2:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

Why do

Other fan bases salivate when another team might loose a big time player? If every team had a 1 out of 29 chance to get him then it makes it more likely he would join your divisional opponents rather than your team (Unless the player is already in your division). I guess they all just think that their team will land the player.

by IG-PRED8 on Aug 2, 2011 1:14 PM EDT reply actions  

Because they're vultures who feast on Schadenfreude?

I mean, that’s my best guess. I only like it when a team I hate loses a player I like or at least am neutral to – like when you guys got Mike Fisher (one of the few non-disgusting Senators) from Ottawa. Best of luck Nashville, as Sabres fans I’m really pulling for you to keep him. Good luck with Peks & Suter too.

by Katemc on Aug 2, 2011 2:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Change of heart Kate?

Cause I see you just trashed us over at DBTB.

Did you know that Boots is no longer an owner of the Predators?
Did you know that we have a credible “conglomerate” of owners that are all on financially stable ground?
Did you know that the Sabres lost more money last year than the Predators?
Did you know that the Sabres’ ticket website’s first line says this:

The package price for all Season Ticket Holders will increase by approximately 5% for the 2011-2012 season. This increase is necessary to keep pace with League-wide revenues and to ensure the Buffalo Sabres continue to qualify for NHL revenue sharing.

Did you know that you said this:

I realise that one can’t expect the team to prosper if they’ve got nothing to work with, but it feels wrong to go signing multiyear contracts with league subsidized money and it feels like poor business sense to stick the team with new multiyear contracts while it’s looking for an owner.

And this:

In a salary-cap league, I don’t think it’s unfair that the Nashvilles and Colorados are on a somewhat uneven footing to compete financially with (today’s) Chicagos and Buffalos.

And this:

I realise that one can’t expect the team to prosper if they’ve got nothing to work with, but it feels wrong to go signing multiyear contracts with league subsidized money and it feels like poor business sense to stick the team with new multiyear contracts while it’s looking for an owner. There should be some sort of limit on new contracts in this situation – one year only, compulsory arbitration for RFAs (unless they agree to a contract below a certain amount) and a cap on individual salary. It’s not exactly fair to the players, but then no one would fault them for abandoning ship. Yes, it’s a little draconian, but that’s too damned bad. Other teams have found themselves in similar ownership situations for reasons entirely beyond their control, and they bailed themselves out – because they were well-run teams with a more than marginal fanbase.

And weren’t the Sabres bankrupt before the Prince of Paychex bought them so they wouldn’t have to be relocated?

Fortunately, despite reports to the contrary, the Preds were NEVER in the dire situation that your self-professed model franchise was in just 8 years ago.

Sounds like those who live in a glass house should not be throwing stones right about now.

You can go and troll somewhere else now. Maybe Phoenix or Winnipeg would appreciate your wisdom and two-facedness more than me.

The truth is always the right answer....

by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on Aug 2, 2011 8:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Context:

She was talking about the possibility that we can’t resign Weber.

The truth is always the right answer....

by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on Aug 2, 2011 8:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wow, thorough ownage.

Hockeymetricians, they're ever so pious. Are they doing real science or confirming their bias?

by DonBorvio on Aug 2, 2011 9:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

I invite you to go read what I actually wrote with a sober and open mind.

I think you’ll see that SBfP has both misinterpreted and misrepresented my opinions.

by Katemc on Aug 2, 2011 11:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Fair enough, he’s good at that. I sometimes wonder if he’s a lawyer or politician, or maybe Bill O’Reilly. LOL

Hockeymetricians, they're ever so pious. Are they doing real science or confirming their bias?

by DonBorvio on Aug 3, 2011 7:01 AM EDT up reply actions  

Wow

FIrst of all, when I referred to the “criminal franchise owner” I was speaking of past ownership – in the cases of both the Sabres and the Preds. Trust me, I know we had a mess on our hands. I was just pointing out that we’ve got a lot of similarities even beyond the way we’ve built our teams. And secondly, you need to settle the hell down and make sure you’re getting the full context of my arguement before you flip out. I really like the Predators, and I think I said some extremely nice things about them. Your problem is that you’re attributing things I said about the Coyotes as things I said about the Preds. I assumed that would be clear to anyone with a good working knowledge of current affairs around the league. Clearly one or the other of my assumptions was wrong.

But I can’t believe that you read this and didn’t realise that I was talking about two different teams:

The only "problem" with Nashville is that as a relatively young franchise that hasn’t yet fulfilled its market potential, it has to be fiscally conservative. Which is fine and the responsible thing to do. BUT! if your team is bankrupt, ownerless, and immersed in a local culture with little organic connection to or interest in hockey and you’re being propped up by the league’s commissioner, sure, go right ahead and sign your fantastic young stud defenseman to a sweet multiyear contract. Eff that.

I also said quite clearly that the Nashville is a good market for hockey and that it’s been successful in growing its fanbase. I think you’ve been cherry-picking things to piss you off (none of which were even meant to apply to the Preds) and blowing right by everything I said that would’ve clued you in to the fact that I was arguing FOR the team, not against it. So please try to be more circumspect in your reading comprehension before you call friendly visitors names.

by Katemc on Aug 2, 2011 11:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

Friendly Visitor?

Hardly Kate. And you can say that the Preds are the cute little puppies of the NHL who don’t have a bit. That’s essentially what you were saying. And that since we’re financially strapped we have no way to compete with “powerhouses” like Buffalo. And that we deserve to lose Weber.

Eff that Kate.

The truth is always the right answer....

by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on Aug 3, 2011 12:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Are you serious?

What part of

I’m going to be pissed as all hell if the Preds can’t hang on to Weber.
makes you believe I think the Preds should lose Weber? I really hope you guys can keep him. I don’t think the Coyotes should have been able to sign Keith Yandle to the contract he got, given their current predicament. That’s why I’m mad that they get to keep their stud defenseman, but a healthy but (currently) smaller-market franchise like Nashville is on the brink of losing theirs. I don’t think you’re financially strapped – I think you’re financially conservative. The Sabres have been there too.

You’re not reading what I wrote; you’re removing phrases from their context just to pick a fight. Why, I’ve no idea, but you sound a lot like your tin-foilhatted rivals to the North. Screw you.

by Katemc on Aug 3, 2011 12:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Titan Sports Mgmt.

This has all the signs of a Low / small level Agency trying to make the big splash and increase their stock in the Biz. If you look at thier clients they are all low level players. Except for Niedermayer and Helm. I am sure they promised Shea the sun and the moon and maybe a couple planets. I must say they have played it correctly.
1. they have removed the arbitration factor from the next round of talks.
2. they will entertain open bids for Shea at the end of next year and If the Preds Dont match Shea can walk away and the preds still get 5 first round picks.
3 Preds Match and Sheaa still gets a big payday and preds keep captain
4. Other big name players take note and switch to Titan Sports
5. Shea’s agent percentage goes down, He plays in a state without an Income tax and get a piece of the pie at Titan

by DHack on Aug 2, 2011 1:22 PM EDT reply actions  

maybe our big 3 are doing to do a Friends type negotiation and go in and say all 3 of us get the same deal for the same money?

60% of the time it works every time

by Creeping Death on Aug 2, 2011 1:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

If nothing else

You still have a chance to trade his year of service and RFA rights for a massive return. Philly did alright when they lost richards, Weber would command the same if not more. If the money ends up being 7mil, do you keep him or trade him? Im not completely knowledgeable on your finances.

He raged at the world, at his family, at his life. But mostly he just raged.
Aren't you that guy who hates the blues?

by Icion on Aug 2, 2011 1:23 PM EDT reply actions  

Rec'd

Superbly written. I completely agree with everything. And #3 is right on the money. I’m proud to be a Preds fan and will always support the team and whomever they put on the ice.

"Next time someone tells you Nashville’s not a hockey town, tell ‘em to come try some of the home cookin’." - TSN Broadcaster

by Go_Titans_Preds_USC on Aug 2, 2011 2:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

OK, now somebody slap this guy.

Enough of the koombaya stuff. We all love the Preds, and this has nothing to do with the fact that we are louder than any other building in the NHL.

Fact of the matter is, that with this settlement, we WILL find out who the bad guy is. If the deal is short term and less than $7M, then the Preds and Poile are going cheapskate, and Weber needs to walk. And then Poile needs to pack his $hit up and go get another job. On the other hand if its short term for $7M or more, then that means that Shea has been disingenuous to everybody in Nashville, and we need to trade him SOONER rather than LATER. Get busy living or get busy dying to quote Andy DuFrane.

But in the meantime, we all need to keep our cool and just watch this thing play out. Nobody really knows what’s happening, but we certainly will soon enough.

Koombaya my Lord, koombaya………

The truth is always the right answer....

by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on Aug 2, 2011 3:09 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I will bring the smores!

60% of the time it works every time

by Creeping Death on Aug 2, 2011 3:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree….When we see the number, one side is gonna look bad.

Since they couldn’t reach agreement, it’s either 1) the length of contract
2) The amount of compensation

I’m having issue the length of a contract is the culprit. I can’t see how it is. Too easy to overcome.

So it’s about the money ( it’s always about the money), imo and the only choices are 1) We lowballed 2) Weber wanted 8+ mil.

We shall see.

by Predator Don on Aug 2, 2011 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

So your saying......

That if its not a long term deal then somebody needs to leave????

I dont agree with that.

I think the preference would be a long term contract but not a necessity.

by jerljr on Aug 2, 2011 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not sure you are responding to me or Shea 4 Prez, but I wouldn’t think the length of the deal would be the stumbling block coming to an agreement.

Honestly, I’m having trouble believing the Preds would lowball, unless one thinks 6.25- 6.50 is lowball. I wouldn’t think it is.

by Predator Don on Aug 2, 2011 3:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

I would think that the preds wanted a long term contract for around 6.5, which I agree is not lowballing at all, but Weber probably wanted more on the back end or didn’t want to commit for that long at that amount.

But it is speculation.

I’m just saying if they sign a shorter contract for a reasonable amount its not the end of the world. A longer contract can be negotiated later.

by jerljr on Aug 2, 2011 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Aye

I’m saying that if it’s not a long term contract then somebody needs to leave.

A longer contract can be negotiated later.

Kinda like how both sides were going to get a deal done amicably soon?

The truth is always the right answer....

by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on Aug 2, 2011 5:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’ll put 20 bucks towards it.

split over 5 years.

by jerljr on Aug 2, 2011 5:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

+10 And I was disappointed at the number of negative votes in the poll. Why do we always look for the worse possible scenario when we haven’t a clue as what the issues are? Keep a positive outlook until you can’t. You worry much less that way and save your health.

"I am you, you are me, and we are all together" Beatles

by amyinsparta on Aug 2, 2011 3:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

i could not agree more!!

i love this team and the sport of hockey in general. if Shea goes and i hope he stays, i’ll still cheer whoever they put on the ice! i live in Paducah and after working in a warehouse all day i leave straight from work and drive 2 hours one way just to watch this team! i believe our best days are still ahead of us. i plan on bringing my son and hopefully one day his son to the games.star players will come and go we just have to accept that as a part of life. as much as i may not like it thats just the way it is. but when i see young players coming up and getting their big brake i love it. My only complaint with this team is i do not live closer where i can have season tickets!! i believe with all my heart one day we will carry the CUP down broadway!! just keep the faith Pred Nation!!!!! and remember GO PREDS!!!!!!

by bluegrassbaby on Aug 2, 2011 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

If you trade Weber, you’ll never, EVER, get equal value for what he’s worth now. So keep that in mind. However, if it’s a certainty that he’s going to try free agency in two years, the sooner is the better for trying to recover SOMETHING in value for him. I just doubt that Weber’s that convinced he wants out of Nashville and, until he is, why trade him? Pay him his $6-7 M for this season, keep negotiating and, if worse comes to worse, deal him to a desperate team when the time is right … say, next summer.

Lifelong Tennessean, Flyers' fan for life

by TNBrando on Aug 2, 2011 6:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

You mean Detroit…. LOL

Hold on to your butts....

by NikolaiW on Aug 2, 2011 6:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hmmmmmmm.....

Pavel Datsuk in a gold uniform…….

Hold on to your butts....

by NikolaiW on Aug 2, 2011 6:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't know

Weber seems to be a hot commodity, especially for some markets. Toss around some trade rumors of Weber to Toronto and see how many GMs come out of the woodwork with their bids.

by musamonster on Aug 2, 2011 9:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ok SWfP

You would rather trade Shea away then have him play here all of next season and try signing him after that or even before that? Did i get that right?

Why get rid of him when we could keep him for the full season and get what you can with him rather then get rid of him and then your back down to the whole “maybe we just squeak into the playoffs by a point or we end up out by 5pts +” We are far better off having him on the team for the season. Like i said he is still a RFA after next season so if the deal ends up being 1 year at $_ we still will have the option to match any offer that comes along.

Realistically a 1 year deal out of this meeting is the best we could hope for. if its a 2 year deal then he becomes a UFA. Now we still have no clue what really went on in that meeting today and for all we know what we have read could be just hear say and not have any weight behind it. I am by no means opposed to paying him what he deserves because he is worth it and he is the public face of the team.

by Shadow23 on Aug 3, 2011 12:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

I should clarify — the smartest way to handle this, assuming Weber can’t be re-signed (which is the best scenario) is to start SHOPPING him (not necessarily trade him yet) RIGHT NOW. See if you can get everything you can out of his entry-level deal because, barring an offer sheet, you’ll still get something out of him for now. Once he becomes UFA, you get nothing for him. So now, take advantage of the fact he’s in Nashville and if he’s still on the fence at the end of 12/13 when he can walk for nothing, move him then. The one exception to this would be if some team offers me a crazy deal now that I don’t think I’ll get at the end of 12/13 – in that case, take the deal, because you’ll have to move Weber eventually. Sorry my earlier post was so unfocused.

Lifelong Tennessean, Flyers' fan for life

by TNBrando on Aug 3, 2011 3:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

Everybody really needs to settle down

This isn’t the end of anything. I thought the point of the off season was to get Shea Weber back into a Predators jersey? If that was through a normal contract, a matched offer sheet or a arbitrator’s ruling….who cares? Shea Weber will remain a Nashville Predator for the foreseeable future and as long as ownership and Poile do their jobs, if the team continues to have success and grow in that time period, it will make it that much easier to keep him again 1 or 2 years from now. Get a hold of yourself ya nervous nellies.

by lethargic on Aug 2, 2011 2:25 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

They can still negotiate after the decision maybe that was the goal all along to hear an unbiased opinion on the sticking point. Maybe his new agent is just trying to makes his bones on this negotiation. They are now in the spot light. The Predators are a team that consistently do NOT follow what the pundit say they are going to do and do not follow the norm if you will for anything involved in hockey so I am still not worried and I truly believe that this will all work out for the Predators and their fans and if it does not then Poile will be labeled an idiot and Weber will become the most hated man in town.

by Wendy H on Aug 2, 2011 2:42 PM EDT reply actions  

I was under the impression...

that the arbitrator had to pick either the team’s number, or the player’s number. Am I wrong?

If I am wrong, and the arbitrator can pick any number, then I wouldn’t be surprised if the Preds actually did offer $4.7 and Weber offered $8.5 (as reported on twitter). These numbers are basically worthless if the arbitrator can choose his own number. There is no risk on either side by throwing out a ridiculous number. And $4.7 and $8.5 are both ridiculous numbers.

by Griz-ATL on Aug 2, 2011 2:43 PM EDT reply actions  

The arbitrator can picked their number

If I was Weber and saw a figure of $4.7 million, I’d be pretty insulted.

Managing Editor of On the Forecheck, SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators, and HockeyGearHQ, a site devoted to news, reviews, and deals on hockey equipment and accessories. Catch me on Twitter, or join OTF on Facebook!

by Dirk Hoag on Aug 2, 2011 2:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Pick their own number, I mean

Managing Editor of On the Forecheck, SB Nation's blog covering the Nashville Predators, and HockeyGearHQ, a site devoted to news, reviews, and deals on hockey equipment and accessories. Catch me on Twitter, or join OTF on Facebook!

by Dirk Hoag on Aug 2, 2011 2:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

But you have to believe the Preds have offered a long-term deal in the $6-$7.5 range.

Like I said above, the 4.7 and 8.5 numbers (if they’re correct) are meaningless. $4.5 is about $2M too low and $8.5 is about $2M too high. Both sides need to keep their emotions out of it and realize it is a business transaction. “Being offended” shouldn’t be an option. Unfortunately, that’s hard to do. Ask Denny Lambert.

by Griz-ATL on Aug 2, 2011 3:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

$4.7M?

Are you serious? Then Poile needs to be fired ASAP.

The truth is always the right answer....

by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on Aug 2, 2011 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think it’s great. That number is just as insane as Weber’s $8.5 and Poile wants Weber and his agent to know that.

by sefskillz on Aug 2, 2011 3:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

I doubt either of them are true

None of the information has been released. If they are correct… I agree. If Weber tried to get 8.5 then I think definitely low ball him to show how ridiculous he is being. Him and his new tinker toy agent. I think this could be his new agency trying to get some hype.

by Preds of State on Aug 2, 2011 3:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

maybe the information is only partly correct maybe as an opening for one of those ridiculous long term contracts the first year was only 4.7 and then went up from their on and on And would that not be a good rumor of the the agents of Shea Weber to have “leaked” thus having public opinion on your side

by Wendy H on Aug 2, 2011 3:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

And if Weber asked for $8.5M with a straight face....

….then he needs to be shown the door.

The truth is always the right answer....

by Pekka for Predator Pontiff on Aug 2, 2011 3:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed

7.5 at MOST. I think 6.5-7 is completely fair.

by Preds of State on Aug 2, 2011 3:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

That’s why the proposed numbers by each side are meaningless. The arbitrator can choose his own number. Everyone knows the “fair” range is $6-$7.5. I’m sure they’ve discussed a long-term deal somewhere in this range.

If the arbitrator had to choose one of the two proposals, then it would be interesting. We wouldn’t see ridiculous numbers thrown out there by each side.

by Griz-ATL on Aug 2, 2011 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

That’s why the proposed numbers by each side are meaningless. The arbitrator can choose his own number. Everyone knows the "fair" range is $6-$7.5. I’m sure they’ve discussed a long-term deal somewhere in this range.

I agree with this completely.

In Dinglebarn We Trust -- JftC

by Niesy on Aug 2, 2011 5:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not in the NHL

It’s baseball that has the one-number-or-the-other rule. (In fact, in finance, we call all-or-nothing provisions of that kind “baseball-style arbitration.”)

by silverpie on Aug 2, 2011 3:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Did the predators hire..

Mike Hamilton to handle the contract negotiations. This is crazy!!

by bvkv09 on Aug 2, 2011 2:51 PM EDT reply actions  

P.S.

#weberwatch is now also being referred to as #SHEAnanigans :P

by Preds of State on Aug 2, 2011 3:18 PM EDT reply actions  

ooooh I like!

Gonna miss you Joel Ward...

Go Predmirals!

by Poiju on Aug 2, 2011 3:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm still hoping a deal still gets done, and there wasn't a bashing of each in the arbitration...

but it’s still bad to be here right now. Hopefully something will be done.

Hockeymetricians, they're ever so pious. Are they doing real science or confirming their bias?

by DonBorvio on Aug 2, 2011 3:52 PM EDT reply actions  

I’m afraid, if a deal isn’t done, there may be no choice but to work on a trade.

If we end up picking up another d man, a trade will be done.

by Predator Don on Aug 2, 2011 4:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hope for the best,

prepare for the worst.

by NikolaiW on Aug 2, 2011 3:55 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

why is no one talking?

I see or hear nothing from either side. Were are all the Ca reporters trying to get a scoop? We want info!

by DHack on Aug 2, 2011 4:19 PM EDT reply actions  

I see a lot of people saying “the problem is term or money”… but I want to add that it could be the structure of the deal on witch they disagree. We know the CBA is going to change next year, there’s talk about prolonging RFA, limiting signing bonuses, maybe even a salary reroll?
In that context, would it be crazy from Weber to want a front-loaded deal? Does Poile have the money? And if the cap goes back to 60M next year… team won’t be able to pay so much.
Witout either side beeing greedy, it’not difficult to see the many problems they are facing.

by BECanucks on Aug 2, 2011 4:25 PM EDT reply actions  

I could see it regarding the CBA next year…..But if this is the case, then it’s still about the money, isn’t it???

by Predator Don on Aug 2, 2011 4:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

From Jersey

Good luck trying to keep him, but now that we are finally free of the stranglehold Rolston’s contract put our team in and our lack of a true #1 D-man speculation around our site is that there will be a big move coming soon…so you better keep that burly beast a Predator!

Of course I would love to see him stay in Nashville, I like your team a lot, no matter how strange the “gold-out” was or whatever you would like to call it, since when was that your primary color anyway? Haha I kid, good luck guys I was worried about the Parise hearing, I couldn’t imagine if it actually went to one!

Bleed Black & Red

by Goblechuk on Aug 2, 2011 4:30 PM EDT reply actions  

Jee, thanks for the support..... :p

Yea, I would be lying if I said I didn’t know any Preds fans who thought Parise would have looked good in that new “Gold” jersey. (You know who you are!!!) Lol. Yea, typically when teams get that kinda talent they like to lock it up. Hopefully we can get something worked out soon. Preferably BEFORE the arbitrator makes a decision. Look forward to playin you guys Oct 15th!!!

by NikolaiW on Aug 2, 2011 4:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

no matter what your opinion is......

I think this does hurt Poile’s and Weber’s image.

And it does put doubt in the fans minds on whether we will be able to sign Suter and Rinne next year.

by jerljr on Aug 2, 2011 4:44 PM EDT reply actions  

If the fans didn’t doubt that already the fans are pretty dumb.

by lethargic on Aug 2, 2011 4:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

I didn’t say it wasn’t obvious……LOL

by jerljr on Aug 2, 2011 4:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

They could save face.......

If they come out with a announcement that Weber has signed for 6.85 per for 5 years.

That would be nice.

I can dream

by jerljr on Aug 2, 2011 5:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

If your gonna dream,

Dream BIG! Preds for this years cup!!! You have to admit, we are a lot closer to it than after the fire sale. And regardless of what happens today, or in the next 48 hours, the Preds have got three aces, and hopefully more on the way up. They’ll be worth something one way or another. I think DP will get the team what it needs. He’s worked to hard developing this team from rock bottom, just a few years ago, to what it is now. Let us not forget HIS nomination last year. And nobody can say he hasn’t earned it. We’ve come a long way in a short time, and no matter what happens, the Preds are going to show up and compete with the best. And hopefully take them down!!

by NikolaiW on Aug 2, 2011 5:19 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Hope you're right...

That’s a lot riding on the ability of 5-6 rookies carrying the lion’s share this year, but I like your optimism. I’m sorry for being on the doom and gloom side lately, just frustrated by Poile and Weber all year saying they were in the ballpark, only to let it go into arbitration. Just plain sucks…

by HardCorePredFan316 on Aug 2, 2011 6:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Its sucks

I will agree with that. Remember though that our young players got some prime playoff experience last year, and did quite well considering. We have a good depth roster. Better than some teams COUGH the Ducks….And I hope the talent we have should be enough to compete and/or use as leverage for more (different) talent that would help us move to the next level. Lets face it, sooner or later we will have to sacrifice in the defensive aspect of the game to move forward offensively. And the better our offense is, the more pressure will be taken off our defense and goal tending. It will be different, but not all change is bad. Its just being ready for it.

Hold on to your butts....

by NikolaiW on Aug 2, 2011 6:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

  We lost quite a bit of that depth this off-season. Just saying.

Shadows only exist when something of substance appears first.......

by Grizzledbear on Aug 2, 2011 7:29 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

We've got

more depth coming. Experience, no. Depth, yes.

by musamonster on Aug 2, 2011 9:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

  Every team has inexperienced “depth”.

Shadows only exist when something of substance appears first.......

by Grizzledbear on Aug 2, 2011 11:53 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

What if this IS the plan?

With every player being locked up before their arbitration hearings (if not every one then almost every one), what if this is the actual plan Poile had all along? I read in I think in a Josh Cooper article that if the player if an RFA and goes to arbitration, then no UFA contracts can be used in comparisons during the case. This is a big-time factor in keeping Weber’s possible salary down. Take Stamkos for example, he is probably worth more than $7.5mil/year but was handicapped by not being an UFA. So this means we are not talking about market price as a UFA, but as an RFA. In this light Weber makes no more than $7mil guaranteed and probably closer to his original comparable Zack Parise’s $6mil.
Now, we come to next year. Everyone has been saying that the prospect of signing Suter, Rinne, and Weber in one summer is not favorable, but Weber is balking at a long-term contract without assurance of the organization’s commitment to signing a cap’s full of talent. By singing him again next year, we can show him the commitment by signing all three to long term deals at the same time. This erases Weber’s biggest concern while still keeping everyone happy.
Another factor to consider is the expiration of the CBA after the season. No one knows exactly what will happen with the new rules, but if the cap is lowered, then market salaries also will decrease slightly. That may save us a few extra bucks one each one. Combine that with a great deal more chatter about Radulov’s return next year, and we could be right where Poile wants us to be today.

by Predfan19 on Aug 2, 2011 6:01 PM EDT reply actions  

Just Released...

Weber wants 8 Mil… Preds offered 4.75 Mil. What a joke on both sides… Shea wants to be the highest paid, I understand that but 8 Mil is to high. The Preds only offered 4.75 Mil???? I bet that Dumb @$$ banner talking about “The Bold New Jerseys!” in Nashville cost at least half that. If that’s all the Preds offered then they really aren’t playing for a cup and are playing money ball (or puck). Shea deserves to be in highest paid bracket for D-Men and the Preds management know it! Well… Hope we win a cup this year because if not we will be talking about the team moving again in 2-3 years because we let our talent go.

by Smashville98 on Aug 2, 2011 6:11 PM EDT reply actions  

God, quit spazzing. This is how arbitration works: the player makes a case for the maximum value. The team makes a case for the minimum value. The arbiter decides on where in the middle the true value is, and it’ll probably be $6.5-7mil.

Hockeymetricians, they're ever so pious. Are they doing real science or confirming their bias?

by DonBorvio on Aug 2, 2011 6:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

???

You got a link???

Hold on to your butts....

by NikolaiW on Aug 2, 2011 6:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

I simplified it a bit, but the amounts ARE NOT REAL VALUES FOR A SIGNING. These are not the numbers either side were discussing up to this date, I can guarantee it. The are the values for the arbiter only.

Why? Because if Poile told a real world value like $6.5 and Weber went $8.5, the arbiter would likely come down right in the middle of $7.5. But by the Preds low-balling, and if they stated a good case, they have a chance of getting a $6-6.5 deal. Also, then THAT value would be the basis to do further negotiations.

Hockeymetricians, they're ever so pious. Are they doing real science or confirming their bias?

by DonBorvio on Aug 2, 2011 7:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

You say stop spazzing but....

It’s true and you know it. The Preds always used the excuse to say “we are a small market, we don’t have enough money to spend”. Now whats the excuse… We had a fire sale at the beginning of the FA year by letting the majority of our team go. Sign “mostly” scrubs at bottom of the barrel prices and still with money to burn have not signed our Captain and Face of the Franchise. Last I checked…we were supposed to go get a top forward and have Web signed… What do you know… NOTHING HAS HAPPENED! I honestly doubt the BIG 3 are here next year and if not I don’t blame them. The Preds are drinking the Titans Koolade in being Cheap!

by Smashville98 on Aug 3, 2011 12:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

Time for you

to become a Blue Jackets fan, my friend :)

by musamonster on Aug 3, 2011 2:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

This is really disappointing. Is this franchise ever going to put its money where its money is? I feel like the fans keep holding up their end of the bargain, only to be let down again and again. And I’m embarrassed to have thought Tom Cigarran et al. would be any different from Leipold.

by sbnationscreenname on Aug 2, 2011 6:38 PM EDT reply actions  

Just for comparative purposes

What are the current contracts of Zdeno Chara and Nicklas Lidstrom, his fellow Norris trophy candidates?

And while we’re checking those out, how about contracts of other elite defensemen?

This may just be a conspiracy by the NHL and Toronto of getting their superstar Canadian back in Canada by nominating him for the Norris and driving his price up. I bet his new agent jumped all over that.

by MekootLobo on Aug 2, 2011 6:39 PM EDT reply actions  

I liked my conspiracy theory better....

Thats what I’m really wondering. The other comment that made me curious was that somone didn’t know if Weber still said he wanted to stay in Nashville after he got his new agent. Makes me wonder if his agent made him start looking at bigger market teams. COUGH Detroit. After all they are going to be in sore need of a top defenseman soon. I wouldn’t put it past an agent to say, "Go ahead to arbitration and get what you can, and we’ll hold out for Lidstrom to retire and get an even bigger pay day in Detroit. Cause you know they got the money and will pay!" Just sayin…. I wouldn’t be suprised.

Hold on to your butts....

by NikolaiW on Aug 2, 2011 7:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

that's good.

Looking down the road … But while Detroit has money, they expect their players to take less than the highest possible salary they could get as unrestricted free agents. Datsyuk makes $6.7m. Zetterberg takes in $7.5m this year with a cap hit of $6m. And he’s a Conn Smythe trophy winner and widely regarded as the next team captain.

The Detroit pitch is this: “You’re not going to make as much money as you could if you signed elsewhere, but you are going to make a lot of money. And that way we’ll have money left over to surround you with other good players. You’ll get to play with Datsyuk and Zetterberg. We’re going to treat you well. You’ll play a fun style of hockey. You’ll win a lot, make the playoffs every year, and maybe win a Cup or two.”

by voline on Aug 2, 2011 9:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

http://tsn.ca/nhl/

Weber asked for a 1yr 8.5 mil contract

Poile offered 4 yrs at 4.75

What happens on the ice...stays on the ice...

by BrianAdsFan on Aug 2, 2011 6:40 PM EDT reply actions  

If I was Shea...

and Poile was negotitating that price with me all along, I would have got up, put my gear on, and fired my boomer at the Poile cardboard cutout until it looked like Swiss cheese…

What happens on the ice...stays on the ice...

by BrianAdsFan on Aug 2, 2011 6:43 PM EDT reply actions  

*negotiating

What happens on the ice...stays on the ice...

by BrianAdsFan on Aug 2, 2011 6:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

Comparables

Lidstrom $6.2m 2012 and cap hit
Chara $8.5m 2012 cap hit $6.9m
Keith $8m 2012 with $5.5 cap hit

If Weber is asking for $8.5m, that seems like the high end of his category, but not outrageous. Of course the team is low-balling in arbitration and Weber is um … high balling? They know the arbitrator will come down between the two positions.

by voline on Aug 2, 2011 6:56 PM EDT reply actions  

Seriously...

God, quit spazzing. This is how arbitration works: the player makes a case for the maximum value. The team makes a case for the minimum value. The arbiter decides on where in the middle the true value is, and it’ll probably be $6.5-7mil.

If this is really the case, then the above is the only believable explanation. Because there is no way Weber could believe he was getting $8.5 mill and there is no way David Poile could believe they could sign him for $4.75 mill.

Its like dealing with a car salesman… Except with a non bias third party deciding how much you pay. He lists an outrageous price and you low ball him and eventually (if you really want to buy the car, and he really wants to sell the car) the deal is made.

I have to believe things were different in earlier negotiations. I have more faith in the intelligence of both parties. Now we just have to hope, that like you and the car salesman, nobody takes anything personal once the deal is made….

Hold on to your butts....

by NikolaiW on Aug 2, 2011 6:59 PM EDT reply actions  

Both sides would have to be pretty stupid to want what TSN said. And at least two months without negotiating the price more and getting at least somewhat closer? That’s just simply impossible.

Hockeymetricians, they're ever so pious. Are they doing real science or confirming their bias?

by DonBorvio on Aug 2, 2011 7:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Maybe, depends on what impressions the arbiter received. But, judging by the market, it seems more likely that they would go into that range. Still, the two values stated are not real-world values.

Hockeymetricians, they're ever so pious. Are they doing real science or confirming their bias?

by DonBorvio on Aug 2, 2011 7:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

I wonder if the two sides know when the arbitrator’s ruling will come during the 48 hour window? Meaning, do they have any sense of how much time they have left? And does it really matter?

by predsbelonginblue on Aug 2, 2011 7:34 PM EDT reply actions  

Only if they are still trying to work out a deal does it matter.

Hockeymetricians, they're ever so pious. Are they doing real science or confirming their bias?

by DonBorvio on Aug 2, 2011 7:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

I would be curious to know if they are still negotiating. That might hint to us that they are still on good terms. Cause if they are still negotiating after presenting those numbers, you have to know those number weren’t serious.

Hold on to your butts....

by NikolaiW on Aug 2, 2011 7:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Annndd... they are not.

http://www.cbc.ca/sports/blogs/elliottefriedman/2011/08/predators-in-trouble-with-weber.html

None of the particulars (Weber, agents Kevin Epp/Jarrett Bousquet, Predators GM David Poile, AGM Paul Fenton or directory of hockey operations Brian Poile) were talking afterward.

Hockeymetricians, they're ever so pious. Are they doing real science or confirming their bias?

by DonBorvio on Aug 2, 2011 9:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

it twas not a good day to see that the Preds drafted my account this week for my season ticket installment payment. No sir, not a good day to see that….

by predsbelonginblue on Aug 2, 2011 7:37 PM EDT reply actions  

Let's start working on a trade.......

Absolutely love the Preds, season ticket holder, have all the bells, whistles, jerseys, hats, etc……That said, we can’t just blindly support Weber at a cost of everything else. If it turns out we have offered 7 years at 7mil per year, and he says no, then it is time to move on and get something ( a lot) for him. Remember, we have to sign Peks and Suter next year…..and Hornqvist, Tootoo, Koistitsyn, Blum, Lindback, and Crazy Kyle too! ( among others) Every year we have to sign someone. You can’t spend 20% of your budget on one player.
What could we get for Weber? Go through a list of players in the NHL now who would take for Weber now, and I’m sure you could come up with a dozen easy. We do have defensemen in the system that could step up now. I know they are not Weber yet, but where will they be in a year or two? We keep drafting defensemen every year, eventually they will play in the NHL.
If Weber wants to play for a winner, and wants to take his talents somewhere else, we might as well get a goal scorer back for him. Weber is from Vancouver, they want him, he goes back there every chance he gets. And Detroit is already positioning themselves to make a run at him next season. They would love to have Weber take over for a retiring Lindstrom.
Trade him to the Islanders or Panthers, that would teach him a lesson. When you put a ‘C’ on someone, it should mean something. Obviously it didn’t mean anything to him. this is like begging a girlfriend or boyfriend to stay with you when they don’t want to. It’s never going to end well. No one will be happy, and from what I am seeing is that more than half the fans are not on Weber’s side right now. If he makes it to the Meet the Preds event, it will be interesting to see what kind of reception he gets.

by Courtney26 on Aug 3, 2011 2:13 PM EDT reply actions  

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