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Pacific winner greatly influences West playoffs

Good stuff here (especially with the Sharks coming to town Saturday), so I'm moving this to the front page. - Dirk

People love to look ahead into the future, so with a crystal ball (more like a snow globe, but who's counting?), let's glance at the West standings as we sit with about six weeks to go before the gloves really come off.

Star-divide

1. Detroit (84 points, 21 games left) Twelve games left at home, nine on the road. Can't see them falling farther than second in the West.

2. Vancouver (82, 22) Thirteen at home, nine away from Vancouver. They're the road warriors of the West, with more wins away from home than any other Western foe. Flip a coin to see who gets the top seed in the West.

3. San Jose (69, 24) This one's in bold because their finish could have a big impact on how the first round shakes out. A deadline deal is crucial to the Sharks. Barring a collapse from one of the top two, they're not going any higher. In fact, this team could fall out of the top eight if it doesn't right the ship soon (3-6-1 last 10). But if they do get in and find themselves in one of the bottom three seeds, look out.

4. St. Louis (79, 23) Few experts point out that the Blues have as many home wins as the Red Wings do ("the streak" has something to do with that), but St. Louis is as tough at home as any team. That's the good news. The bad news is they're not so strong on the road (10-13-3 this year) and they only have eight more games at home the rest of the way. If they don't get the road record improved fast, home ice in the 1st round isn't assured.

5. Nashville (76, 22) Remaining schedule is balanced, with 11 home and away contests. Obviously getting home ice in the first round will be a huge boost. But this team plays well away from Bridgestone Arena as well, with more road wins in the West than anyone not named Vancouver. They can't afford to slip, though, because here comes...

6. Chicago (73, 21) Winners of the last 4, the Blackhawks have seemed to right the ship in time and could surge toward the #4 spot. If they stay at #6 and draw the Pacific winner, either Detroit or Vancouver will have a fight on their hands in round two.

7. Phoenix (69, 22) It seems like the Coyotes can't lose lately, winners of eight in the last 10. They would like to avoid another first-round matchup with Detroit, and can do themselves a big favor by winning the Pacific. It's definitely possible, although the Sharks have two games in hand.

8. Los Angeles (66, 22) Sinking ship. They give up the 2nd fewest goals in the West, giving them a ray of hope, but they can't score, either, making a deadline deal all the more crucial to their playoff hopes. Thirteen of the last 22 away from the Staples Center won't make the cause any easier.

Outside the top 8: The teams to watch are Dallas and Anaheim. The Northwest division teams will beat up on each other down the stretch, giving the Ducks an opportunity to leapfrog them. Dallas can also make a run, and winning the Pacific isn't a total stretch, either (they're only five points out).

Watch the Pacific Division closely the rest of the way. If the Sharks stay at #3, Chicago could take them out in round 1. If they fall and Phoenix wins the Pacific, all bets are off. The Sharks are my team to watch, especially if they get help at the deadline. Do I think they can win the West? No. But can they cause havoc among the top two? Ask Detroit.

The bottom line is this: The Preds could get some help from the Sharks, Coyotes and Blackhawks (assuming they can keep Chicago behind them) in getting second-round home-ice, which might just be the tipping point toward a deep run.

Poll
Which team will win the Pacific Division?
San Jose
81 votes
Phoenix
34 votes
Los Angeles
4 votes
Dallas
0 votes
Anaheim
5 votes

124 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 12 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Great write up!

What I’d like to see is Aneheim up to 8th to take on the Red Wings and beat them.

Canucks at 2 with the Yokes in 7 and beating them.

Chi losing to San Jose

Preds jumping over the Blues to 4th and taking on the Blues since we haven’t lost to this yet this year.

by rew182 on Feb 22, 2012 9:13 PM EST reply actions  

This is a good.

But I think we have a Ducks fan here…Someone voted the Ducks, but no one has voted LA or Dallas :\

Preds fan from Hamilton, Ontario!

by Klein(er) on Feb 22, 2012 9:22 PM EST reply actions  

I kinda feel like LA is going to start slipping soon...

but that isn’t really based on anything other than a gut feeling, because I haven’t been watching them at all. So who knows.

Hands go uuppp..... AND THEY STAY THERE!
-nashvillepredators-

by davisca on Feb 22, 2012 9:47 PM EST up reply actions  

If tonight was any indication...

they’re in for a hard landing.

I think the Pred’s best chance comes from coming 4th in the division and 6th overall. We’ve been good with the Blues this season, but I think I would rather have the Sharks. I don’t want to have to deal with the Hawks if we don’t have to.

by Sully_ on Feb 22, 2012 11:38 PM EST up reply actions  

Sharks cycling along the boards would kill us in a 7 game series.

Hello. My name is Bob and I do not know the Beatles.

by djzielin on Feb 23, 2012 12:23 AM EST up reply actions  

we do have a solution for that. It’s called 75.

In the name of the Pekka, the Rinne, and the Holy Octopus. Amen.

by Predadave on Feb 23, 2012 1:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Soooo, yea.....

I’ve run some sims using the most predictive stats we have right now and by all accounts it’s likely the sharks win the pacific. They would definetely have to have a collapse of epic proportions to lose. By my numbers, its possible although improbable. They (the sharks) have about an 18% chance of ending up a lower seed.

by SnarkSD on Feb 23, 2012 12:29 AM EST reply actions  

Check your facts
Los Angeles (66, 22) Sinking ship. They give up the fewest goals in the West

That would be the Blues, not the Kings.

The truth is neither libelous nor slanderous.
Reason and logic instead of hope and faith.
Pro athletes--it's not what they say, it's what they do.
General managers--it's not what they say, it's what they do.

by shoot the puck on Feb 23, 2012 12:59 AM EST reply actions  

You're right.

Misread the Blues number. Good catch. I tend to forget about the Blues, because I think they’re about to hit the skids. They’re not great on the road and they have a road-heavy remaining schedule.

I'm not looking for the 20 best guys. I'm looking for the 20 right ones.

by cbrooksy on Feb 23, 2012 10:30 AM EST up reply actions  

I like the way you talk

In the name of the Pekka, the Rinne, and the Holy Octopus. Amen.

by Predadave on Feb 23, 2012 1:14 PM EST up reply actions  

french fried taters

mmhmm

hockey connoisseur. t-shirt addict. not famous. nerd.

by Shawn Kehoe on Feb 23, 2012 3:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Cannot stop laughing...

Almost fell in the floor when I saw that.

I'm not looking for the 20 best guys. I'm looking for the 20 right ones.

by cbrooksy on Feb 23, 2012 2:39 PM EST reply actions  

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