I've been curious for a while about the different setups that teams take to scoring their goals. I'm mainly wondering how a team's goals are usually distributed among the forward lines. This is more of an informational post, but I will make some observations that bring up plenty of questions about individual teams and their situations and chances of making playoffs.
To find the answers I've broken down goal scorers for each team using a database I found. I did not adjust for trades (Vanek's goals go to MTL since that is where he ended the season) and I did not adjust for injuries. I did not try to adjust for actual line usage. I simply applied the Top 3 Forwards in goals as Line 1, Next 3 F as Line 2, etc. I also tallied all Defensemen goals as it's own column.
Final Pts and Final Rank refer to League Standings Points and Overall League Standings Rank.
|1-3 F||4-6 F||7-9 F||Other F||Defense||Total Goals||FINAL PTS||FINAL RANK|
1) 1-3 F, 4-6 F, 7-9 F, and Total Goals all seem to be good indicators of a team making the playoffs. In each case, only 3 teams in the top 16 did not make the playoffs. So, offense gets you into the playoffs.
2) The Other F category (All Forwards that are no in the team's top 9 in goals scored) and Defense Goals does not seem to correlate with a team's chance to make the playoffs.
3) It appears to me that for most teams, the better your Top 3 F, the better your 4-9 are. It's not directly proportional, but it does appear to have an impact.
I may come back along with more analysis if I notice something else in the data.