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Round Two Review For The West

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With Detroit and Anaheim pushing their way into the Western Conference Final, it's time to recap the predictions made here a couple weeks back, to see how well they performed:

Detroit/San Jose: I picked Detroit (albeit in 7 games), based on an expected advantage of 6-7 shots per game, and strong goaltending from Dominik Hasek. That's pretty close to how things actually turned out, as the Red Wings outshot the Sharks by 7.7 shots per contest and Hasek (despite an exciting trip or two behind the net) generally outplayed Nabokov.


All the highlights from Detroit's series clinching win Monday night.

Anaheim/Vancouver: This was my lone miss of the second round, as I had called for a Canucks victory, since the Ducks weren't exactly lighting up the scoreboard as of late and faced the outstanding Roberto Luongo in net. While Luongo held up his end of the bargain, the Vancouver defense (ravaged by injury) gave up too many shots, particularly close-range shots, to consistently keep the Ducks down. Although the actual per-game numbers look quite high compared to expectations, remember that due to overtimes, the teams played about 20% more minutes than you'd usually have across five games, so that accounts for a good portion of the difference. The real deciding factor in this series, however, is the shooting percentages for Vancouver - did their collective sticks go cold, or did J.S. Giguerre deserve as much credit as is heaped on Luongo? I guess we'll see based on how Giguerre handles the Red Wings in the conference finals...



Here's how the Ducks finished off Vancouver in Game Five.



So far, this method has resulted in a 9-3 predictive record (6-2 in the 1st round, 3-1 in the second). Check back tomorrow for the Conference Final predictions...