x

Already member? Login first!

Comments / New

2016 NHL Draft: The Mother of All Draft Rankings

A Little Info On The Mother Of All Draft Rankings:

Only the top 30 of each ranking was used. This means that in the cases of The Draft Analyst’s and Craig Button’s draft rankings, only their top 30 were considered.

All players with a ranking outside of the top 30 were actually given a 31 as their ranking for the purpose of creating an average and standard deviation. So, any time you see N/A, that means a player wasn’t ranked inside the top 30 of the given draft expert’s ranking and N/A was then substituted by 31 in the calculations.

For those who haven’t had a stats class, the standard deviation reflects variability in the draft ranking. A higher standard deviation shows that the player’s rank was inconsistent. A lower standard deviation shows lower variability in the player’s draft ranking. This could reflect whether a player might rise/drop or get picked where they are ranked in the draft.

For instance:

Jesse Puljujarvi has a standard deviation of 0 and an average ranking of 3. This would lead you to believe, more likely than not, Puljujarvi will be picked 3rd overall. Jacob Chychrun, however, has an average ranking of 9.7 and a standard deviation of 5.1. Chychrun has been projected as a top 10 pick by many and as high as 4 by some but there is also a fair chance he could drop back as far as 13th or, less conservatively, even 15th overall.

So, Without Further Ado, The Mother Of All Draft Rankings:

First

Name

Last

Name

Position

McKeen’s

(May)

ISS

(May)

Sportsnet

(Damien

Cox)

The Draft

Analyst

(Steve

Kournianos)

Adam

Kimelman

(NHL.com)

Mike

Morealle

(NHL.com)

Craig

Button

(TSN)

Average

Ranking

Standard

Deviation

Aggregate

Ranking

Auston Matthews C 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1.1 0.4 1
Patrick Laine LW 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1.9 0.4 2
Jesse Puljujarvi RW 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3.0 0.0 3
Matthew Tkachuk LW 4 4 4 6 5 4 5 4.6 0.8 4
Pierre-Luke Dubois LW 8 5 5 5 6 5 4 5.4 1.3 5
Olli Juolevi LD 5 11 7 7 8 7 9 7.7 1.9 6
Alexander Nylander LW 6 6 6 8 9 9 10 7.7 1.7 7
Logan Brown C 9 7 9 12 7 6 7 8.1 2.0 8
Jakob Chychrun RD 13 8 14 4 4 8 17 9.7 5.1 9
Mikhail Sergachev LD 14 10 8 9 10 10 8 9.9 2.0 10
Clayton Keller C 11 12 13 11 11 14 6 11.1 2.5 11
Tyson Jost C 15 9 11 15 13 11 11 12.1 2.3 12
Michael McLeod C 7 13 19 10 14 13 19 13.6 4.4 13
Jake Bean LD 10 16 12 22 16 12 12 14.3 4.1 14
Charlie McAvoy RD 12 23 16 19 12 15 16 16.1 3.9 15
Luke Kunin RW/C 16 18 18 13 20 16 20 17.3 2.5 16
Kieffer Bellows LW/C 19 17 23 17 15 21 13 17.9 3.4 17
German Rubtsov C 22 15 15 16 25 25 14 18.9 4.9 18
Max Jones LW 17 14 20 14 18 19 N/A 19.0 5.8 19
Dante Fabbro RD 24 19 22 20 17 17 15 19.1 3.1 20
Julien Gauthier LW 20 21 17 18 24 18 N/A 21.3 4.9 21
Riley Tufte LW 21 22 21 N/A 21 24 N/A 24.4 4.6 22
Logan Stanley LD N/A 25 10 N/A 19 27 30 24.7 7.8 23
Brett Howden LW 26 20 N/A 28 30 26 18 25.6 4.9 24
Dennis Cholowski LD 18 N/A 30 N/A 22 20 26 25.4 5.5 25
Alex Debrincat RW/C N/A 26 25 24 23 N/A 21 25.9 3.8 26
Rasmus Asplund C/LW 23 N/A 26 26 N/A 22 N/A 27.1 3.9 27
Pascal Laberge RW 30 30 24 21 28 29 N/A 27.6 3.7 28
Tage Thompson C 25 24 28 N/A 29 23 N/A 27.3 3.3 29
Vitali Abramov LW N/A N/A N/A 23 27 30 23 28.0 3.7 30
Carter Hart G N/A N/A N/A 25 N/A N/A 24 29.1 3.2 31
Lucas Johansen LD 29 N/A N/A N/A 26 N/A N/A 30.0 1.9 32
Cam Dineen LD N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 22 29.7 3.4 33
Boris Katchouk LW N/A 27 N/A N/A N/A 28 N/A 30.0 1.7 34
Sam Steel C N/A N/A 29 27 N/A N/A N/A 30.1 1.6 35
Will Bitten C/RW N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 25 30.1 2.3 36
Jordan Kyrou C/RW 28 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 29 30.3 1.3 37
Adam Fox RD 27 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 30.4 1.5 38
Samuel Girard LD N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 27 30.4 1.5 39
Filip Gustavsson G N/A N/A 27 N/A N/A N/A N/A 30.4 1.5 40
Dillon Dube LW N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 28 30.6 1.1 41
Taylor Raddysh RW N/A 28 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 30.6 1.1 42
Jacob Moverare LD N/A 29 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 30.7 0.8 43
Tyler Benson LW N/A N/A N/A 29 N/A N/A N/A 30.7 0.8 44
Libor Hajek C N/A N/A N/A 30 N/A N/A N/A 30.9 0.4 45

Some Rankings as They Pertain to the Predators:

Players inside the Predators’ sweet spot along with their aggregate ranking:

  1. Michael McLeod (13)
  2. Jake Bean (14)
  3. Charlie McAvoy (15)
  4. Luke Kunin (16)
  5. Kieffer Bellows (17)
  6. German Rubtsov (18)
  7. Max Jones (19)
  8. Dante Fabbro (20)
  9. Julien Gauthier (21)

Players who were were ranked at the Predators’ 17th overall:

  • Kieffer Bellows (Aggregate Ranking, ISS, The Draft Analyst)
  • Dante Fabbro (Adam Kimelman, Mike Morealle)
  • Julien Gauthier (Sportsnet)
  • Max Jones (McKeen’s)
  • Jacob Chychrun (Craig Button)/

Players who averaged closest to the Predators’ 17th overall pick:

  • Luke Kunin – 0.3 Away
  • Charlie McAvoy – 0.9 Away
  • Kieffer Bellows – 0.9 Away
  • German Rubtsov – 1.9 Away
  • Max Jones – 2.0 Away/

David Poile mentioned that he was interested in picking up a defenseman in the first round of the draft. Well, Jake Bean, Charlie McAvoy, and Dante Fabbro are all ranked right around where the Predators are going to pick on one ranking or another. Logan Stanley could also be a dark horse for the Predators’ pick; all 6’7″ and 225 pounds of him.

Check out a familiar name at the 32nd spot. Yep, it’s Ryan Johansen’s younger brother Lucas Johansen. Look for his name to be called in the late first or early second round but sadly out of the Predators’ wheelhouse.

Talking Points